ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AR • US03674X1063

39.09 USD
+0.26 (+0.67%)
At close: Mar 9, 2026
38.75 USD
-0.34 (-0.87%)
After Hours: 3/9/2026, 7:44:58 PM

This AR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

AR gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. AR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. AR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. AR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AR was profitable.
  • AR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AR 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AR had a positive operating cash flow.
AR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.79%, AR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AR's Return On Equity of 8.40% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AR outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
  • AR has a Return On Invested Capital (6.07%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.19%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.53%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.19%) for AR is below the current ROIC(6.07%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.79%
ROE 8.4%
ROIC 6.07%
ROA(3y)2.23%
ROA(5y)3.76%
ROE(3y)4.03%
ROE(5y)7.39%
ROIC(3y)3.19%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
AR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.03%, AR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AR has declined.
  • AR has a Operating Margin (17.83%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of AR (70.88%) is better than 81.16% of its industry peers.
  • AR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.83%
PM (TTM) 12.03%
GM 70.88%
OM growth 3Y-22.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-23.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.48%
GM growth 5Y1.89%
AR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

5

2. AR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AR has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AR has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AR Yearly Shares OutstandingAR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
AR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • AR has an Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is not the best score and indicates that AR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AR has a better Altman-Z score (2.01) than 64.73% of its industry peers.
  • AR has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.51. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as AR would need 2.51 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.51, AR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.19) than 74.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 2.51
Altman-Z 2.01
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.34%
AR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that AR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AR (0.55) is worse than 81.64% of its industry peers.
  • AR has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that AR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AR (0.55) is worse than 74.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
AR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

6

3. AR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 402.94% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.25% on average per year.
  • AR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 21.97%.
  • AR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)402.94%
EPS 3Y-32.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-25.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.97%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y8.61%
Sales Q2Q%20.78%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.06% on average per year.
  • AR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.02% yearly.
EPS Next Y107.56%
EPS Next 2Y59.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.46%
EPS Next 5Y1.06%
Revenue Next Year18.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.03%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B
AR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 2 4

5

4. AR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.86, the valuation of AR can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AR.
  • AR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.46.
  • AR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.01.
  • AR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AR is cheaper than 83.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.65.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.86
Fwd PE 11.01
AR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 62.80% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AR.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.62
EV/EBITDA 7.9
AR Per share dataAR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y59.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.46%

0

5. AR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP

NYSE:AR (3/9/2026, 7:44:58 PM)

After market: 38.75 -0.34 (-0.87%)

39.09

+0.26 (+0.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners87.75%
Inst Owner Change-0.29%
Ins Owners6.44%
Ins Owner Change0.05%
Market Cap12.06B
Revenue(TTM)5.28B
Net Income(TTM)634.42M
Analysts80
Price Target46.13 (18.01%)
Short Float %4.26%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.89%
Min EPS beat(2)-45.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-16.62%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-23.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.15%
Max EPS beat(4)-9.71%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-8.06%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.7%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.19%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.36%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.12%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.13%
PT rev (1m)-0.16%
PT rev (3m)4.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.76%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.86
Fwd PE 11.01
P/S 2.29
P/FCF 21.62
P/OCF 7.39
P/B 1.6
P/tB 1.6
EV/EBITDA 7.9
EPS(TTM)1.71
EY4.37%
EPS(NY)3.55
Fwd EY9.08%
FCF(TTM)1.81
FCFY4.62%
OCF(TTM)5.29
OCFY13.52%
SpS17.1
BVpS24.48
TBVpS24.48
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number30.69
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.79%
ROE 8.4%
ROCE 8.01%
ROIC 6.07%
ROICexc 6.07%
ROICexgc 6.07%
OM 17.83%
PM (TTM) 12.03%
GM 70.88%
FCFM 10.57%
ROA(3y)2.23%
ROA(5y)3.76%
ROE(3y)4.03%
ROE(5y)7.39%
ROIC(3y)3.19%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
ROICexc(3y)3.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.44%
ROICexgc(3y)3.19%
ROICexgc(5y)5.44%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.88%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.88%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-22.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-23.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.48%
GM growth 5Y1.89%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 2.51
Debt/EBITDA 0.83
Cap/Depr 142.42%
Cap/Sales 20.34%
Interest Coverage 10.68
Cash Conversion 96.26%
Profit Quality 87.9%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 2.01
F-Score9
WACC8.34%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)133.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)126.61%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.36%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)402.94%
EPS 3Y-32.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-25.86%
EPS Next Y107.56%
EPS Next 2Y59.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.46%
EPS Next 5Y1.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.97%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y8.61%
Sales Q2Q%20.78%
Revenue Next Year18.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.03%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2743.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.06%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year174.67%
EBIT Next 3Y42.8%
EBIT Next 5Y15.74%
FCF growth 1Y320.86%
FCF growth 3Y-35.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y92.04%
OCF growth 3Y-18.84%
OCF growth 5Y17.26%

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP / AR FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AR.


What is the valuation status of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) is 22.86 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.6.


What is the financial health of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) stock?

The financial health rating of ANTERO RESOURCES CORP (AR) is 5 / 10.