AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:APEI - US02913V1035 - Common Stock
34.96 USD
+0.36 (+1.04%)
34.96 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to APEI. APEI was compared to 78 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. APEI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. APEI has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year APEI was profitable.
In the past year APEI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years APEI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years APEI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of APEI (3.61%) is better than 65.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.12%, APEI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.10% of the companies in the same industry.
APEI's Return On Invested Capital of 7.08% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 78.21% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for APEI is significantly below the industry average of 9.31%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.08%) for APEI is above the 3 year average (3.11%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7.12% | ||
| ROIC | 7.08% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
1.3 Margins
APEI has a Profit Margin (3.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of APEI has declined.
APEI's Operating Margin of 7.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. APEI outperforms 60.26% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of APEI has declined.
APEI has a better Gross Margin (53.39%) than 64.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of APEI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.01% | ||
| GM | 53.39% |
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so APEI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for APEI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, APEI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, APEI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.18 indicates that APEI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.18, APEI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of APEI is 1.88, which is an excellent value as it means it would take APEI, only 1.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.88, APEI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that APEI is not too dependend on debt financing.
APEI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.18 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC8.61%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.83 indicates that APEI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.83, APEI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.90% of the companies in the same industry.
APEI has a Quick Ratio of 2.83. This indicates that APEI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.83, APEI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 80.82% over the past year.
APEI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -8.13% yearly.
Looking at the last year, APEI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, APEI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.88% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.82%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%650%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.59%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 58.17% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, APEI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.48, APEI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
APEI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.34, APEI is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.25, APEI is valued correctly.
APEI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. APEI is cheaper than 67.95% of the companies in the same industry.
APEI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.43.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
APEI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. APEI is cheaper than 74.36% of the companies in the same industry.
APEI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. APEI is cheaper than 79.49% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
APEI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as APEI's earnings are expected to grow with 58.17% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
APEI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
34.96
+0.36 (+1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.56%
Inst Owner Change-2.82%
Ins Owners4.06%
Ins Owner Change-22.35%
Market Cap631.73M
Revenue(TTM)624.56M
Net Income(TTM)19.37M
Analysts82.86
Price Target39.49 (12.96%)
Short Float %6.49%
Short Ratio4.9
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP29.63%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)123.5%
Min EPS beat(2)74.48%
Max EPS beat(2)172.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)77.28%
Min EPS beat(4)15.09%
Max EPS beat(4)172.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)36.65%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-50.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)155.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.25%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.44%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.62%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-136.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.25 | ||
| P/S | 0.98 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.36 | ||
| P/B | 2.32 | ||
| P/tB | 3.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.36 |
EPS(TTM)1.32
EY3.78%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY6.15%
FCF(TTM)2.78
FCFY7.95%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY10.68%
SpS35.67
BVpS15.07
TBVpS10.21
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number21.15
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.61% | ||
| ROE | 7.12% | ||
| ROCE | 10.68% | ||
| ROIC | 7.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.08% | ||
| OM | 7.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.01% | ||
| GM | 53.39% | ||
| FCFM | 7.79% |
ROA(3y)-8.83%
ROA(5y)-3.79%
ROE(3y)-15.94%
ROE(5y)-7.48%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)3.6%
ROICexc(3y)4.28%
ROICexc(5y)7.29%
ROICexgc(3y)5.95%
ROICexgc(5y)12.03%
ROCE(3y)4.69%
ROCE(5y)5.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.02%
OM growth 3Y-6.39%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3Y-27.64%
PM growth 5Y-14.35%
GM growth 3Y-3.61%
GM growth 5Y-2.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.2
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.8 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 259.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.18 |
F-Score8
WACC8.61%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)70.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)62.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)80.82%
EPS 3Y-10.67%
EPS 5Y-8.13%
EPS Q2Q%650%
EPS Next Y40.36%
EPS Next 2Y72.87%
EPS Next 3Y58.17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.59%
Revenue Next Year4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y32.47%
EBIT growth 3Y6.95%
EBIT growth 5Y13.38%
EBIT Next Year196.75%
EBIT Next 3Y55.39%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1621.67%
FCF growth 3Y84.29%
FCF growth 5Y-2.23%
OCF growth 1Y447.29%
OCF growth 3Y44.29%
OCF growth 5Y4.96%
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION / APEI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to APEI.
What is the valuation status of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION?
AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is 26.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.32.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for APEI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION (APEI) is expected to grow by 40.36% in the next year.