ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
4.29 USD
+0.17 (+4.13%)
4.29 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AMBP. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AMBP have multiple concerns. AMBP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- AMBP had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AMBP had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AMBP reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Each year in the past 5 years AMBP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of -0.15%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- AMBP has a Return On Invested Capital (5.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.62%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.45%) for AMBP is above the 3 year average (4.21%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.18%, AMBP is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AMBP has a worse Gross Margin (12.96%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMBP has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMBP is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AMBP remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- AMBP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AMBP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.19, we must say that AMBP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of -0.19, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 95.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- AMBP has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.63. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMBP would need 12.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- AMBP has a Debt to FCF ratio (12.63) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.19 |
ROIC/WACC1
WACC5.45%
2.3 Liquidity
- AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AMBP has a worse Current ratio (1.13) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.86, AMBP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.25% over the past year.
- The Revenue has grown by 10.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- AMBP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.34%
Revenue Next 3Y5.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 20.43, the valuation of AMBP can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AMBP is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AMBP to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.32), we can say AMBP is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.67 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMBP.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.30. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMBP is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMBP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 16.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.11%, which is a nice return.
- AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.35. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.86, AMBP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.11% |
5.2 History
- AMBP has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of AMBP are negative and hence is the payout ratio. AMBP will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-3300%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
4.29
+0.17 (+4.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)10-23 2025-10-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-26 2026-02-26/amc
Inst Owners18.35%
Inst Owner Change0.4%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.56B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)-8.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.54 (5.83%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio2.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.11% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3300%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.19%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)11.36%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)175.99%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.02%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)128.72%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)99.97%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.27%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.04%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.01%
PT rev (1m)4.35%
PT rev (3m)1.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)44.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.67 | ||
| P/S | 0.48 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.3 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.5 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.82 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY4.9%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY5.66%
FCF(TTM)0.52
FCFY12.05%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY18.17%
SpS8.94
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.15% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.9% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10% | ||
| OM | 5.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 12.96% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 34.13% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.19 |
F-Score5
WACC5.45%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y10.82%
EPS Next 2Y16.13%
EPS Next 3Y16.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.34%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year11.9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.34%
Revenue Next 3Y5.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y33.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year244.05%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y2031.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y1.08%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
Can you provide the valuation status for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
How financially healthy is ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMBP stock?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3300%.