ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMBP • LU2369833749

4.375 USD
-0.14 (-3.21%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 01:43 PM
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This AMBP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to AMBP. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMBP is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. AMBP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AMBP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years AMBP reported 4 times negative net income.
  • Of the past 5 years AMBP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AMBP (-0.20%) is worse than 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • AMBP has a Return On Invested Capital (5.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.2%
ROE N/A
ROIC 5.43%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • AMBP has a worse Operating Margin (5.02%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMBP has declined.
  • AMBP has a worse Gross Margin (12.68%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMBP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.68%
OM growth 3Y-3.99%
OM growth 5Y-5.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y-4.64%
AMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. AMBP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMBP is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for AMBP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingAMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
AMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.21, we must say that AMBP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AMBP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.21) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.21
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC5.48%
AMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AMBP has a Current ratio of 1.07. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AMBP underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AMBP has a Quick ratio of 0.75. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMBP underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.75
AMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AMBP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.67% over the past year.
  • AMBP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -11.21% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, AMBP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.00% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.76% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3Y-11.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12%
Revenue growth 3Y5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y9.76%
Sales Q2Q%12.64%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.75% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • AMBP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.88% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.97%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B
AMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.1 0.2 0.3

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2

4. AMBP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.83 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMBP.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AMBP indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AMBP is more expensive than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.29. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.66, AMBP is valued on the expensive side.
  • AMBP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • AMBP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.83
Fwd PE 17.66
AMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AMBP Per share dataAMBP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 13.75% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AMBP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.70%, AMBP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.35, AMBP pays a better dividend. On top of this AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 8.7%

5.2 History

  • AMBP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of AMBP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
AMBP Yearly Dividends per shareAMBP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
AMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AMBP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA

NYSE:AMBP (3/9/2026, 1:43:55 PM)

4.375

-0.14 (-3.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners20.23%
Inst Owner Change9.33%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)5.50B
Net Income(TTM)-11.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.54 (3.77%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio2.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 8.7%
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)32.55%
Min EPS beat(2)11.36%
Max EPS beat(2)53.75%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)179.42%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)218.04%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)136.67%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)102.25%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.22%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.68%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.09%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.83
Fwd PE 17.66
P/S 0.48
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY4.8%
EPS(NY)0.25
Fwd EY5.66%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS9.2
BVpS-0.55
TBVpS-2.62
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.2%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.88%
ROIC 5.43%
ROICexc 5.81%
ROICexgc 8.67%
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.68%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-3.99%
OM growth 5Y-5.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y-4.64%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.75
Altman-Z -0.21
F-ScoreN/A
WACC5.48%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3Y-11.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y17.97%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12%
Revenue growth 3Y5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y9.76%
Sales Q2Q%12.64%
Revenue Next Year5.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y23.77%
EBIT growth 3Y1.24%
EBIT growth 5Y3.71%
EBIT Next Year187.99%
EBIT Next 3Y46.64%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AMBP.


Can you provide the valuation status for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMBP stock?

The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.