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ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock

3.77 USD
+0.06 (+1.62%)
Last: 8/22/2025, 6:30:00 PM
3.79 USD
+0.02 (+0.53%)
After Hours: 8/22/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

AMBP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMBP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AMBP was profitable.
In the past year AMBP had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AMBP reported negative net income in multiple years.
AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

AMBP has a Return On Assets of -0.31%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMBP underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AMBP (5.37%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.55%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.37%) for AMBP is above the 3 year average (4.21%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.31%
ROE N/A
ROIC 5.37%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
AMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

AMBP has a worse Operating Margin (5.22%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMBP has declined.
AMBP's Gross Margin of 13.13% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 86.36% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AMBP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.22%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.13%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
AMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 15

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMBP is creating some value.
AMBP has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AMBP has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AMBP is higher compared to a year ago.
AMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingAMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
AMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.24, we must say that AMBP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMBP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.24) than 86.36% of its industry peers.
AMBP has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMBP would need 12.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMBP's Debt to FCF ratio of 12.79 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 12.79
Altman-Z -0.24
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC5.25%
AMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

AMBP has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that AMBP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.13, AMBP is doing worse than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.86, AMBP is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 0.86
AMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 50.00% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 8.39% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)50%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.39%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%15.57%

3.2 Future

AMBP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.82% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y18.31%
EPS Next 3Y17.82%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
AMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.1 0.2 0.3

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.95 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMBP.
AMBP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
AMBP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.96, AMBP is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.82), we can say AMBP is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.95
Fwd PE 14.96
AMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

AMBP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMBP is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AMBP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AMBP is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.39
EV/EBITDA 7.61
AMBP Per share dataAMBP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 17.82% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.31%
EPS Next 3Y17.82%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.36%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.14, AMBP pays a better dividend. On top of this AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, AMBP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.36%

5.2 History

AMBP has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
AMBP Yearly Dividends per shareAMBP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

AMBP has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-1552.94%
EPS Next 2Y18.31%
EPS Next 3Y17.82%
AMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M

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ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA

NYSE:AMBP (8/22/2025, 6:30:00 PM)

After market: 3.79 +0.02 (+0.53%)

3.77

+0.06 (+1.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)07-24 2025-07-24/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-22 2025-10-22/bmo
Inst Owners18.16%
Inst Owner Change-0.19%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.25B
Analysts53.33
Price Target4.47 (18.57%)
Short Float %2.51%
Short Ratio1.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.36%
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1552.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date08-07 2025-08-07 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)326.28%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)645.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)176.05%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)125.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)102.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.1%
PT rev (1m)18.31%
PT rev (3m)17.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.95
Fwd PE 14.96
P/S 0.43
P/FCF 7.39
P/OCF 4.96
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.61
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY5.57%
EPS(NY)0.25
Fwd EY6.68%
FCF(TTM)0.51
FCFY13.54%
OCF(TTM)0.76
OCFY20.15%
SpS8.75
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)2.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.31%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.8%
ROIC 5.37%
ROICexc 6.32%
ROICexgc 9.85%
OM 5.22%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.13%
FCFM 5.83%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 12.79
Debt/EBITDA 5.24
Cap/Depr 32.96%
Cap/Sales 2.85%
Interest Coverage 1.4
Cash Conversion 62.62%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z -0.24
F-Score6
WACC5.25%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)50%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%33.33%
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y18.31%
EPS Next 3Y17.82%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.39%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%15.57%
Revenue Next Year10.63%
Revenue Next 2Y6.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year239.9%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y244.55%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y46.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%