ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AMBP - LU2369833749 - Common Stock
3.57 USD
+0.03 (+0.85%)
3.5501 USD
-0.02 (-0.56%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AMBP. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AMBP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AMBP was profitable.
In the past year AMBP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AMBP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years AMBP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AMBP's Return On Assets of -0.31% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMBP has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.37%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMBP outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AMBP is below the industry average of 7.18%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.21%) for AMBP is below the current ROIC(5.37%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.31% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
1.3 Margins
AMBP has a Operating Margin of 5.22%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMBP underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
AMBP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 13.13%, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 86.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.13% |
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AMBP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
AMBP has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMBP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMBP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AMBP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.25) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
AMBP has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AMBP would need 12.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AMBP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 12.79. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AMBP outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.25 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC5.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that AMBP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.13, AMBP is doing worse than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AMBP's Quick ratio of 0.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.25% over the past year.
AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.00%.
Measured over the past years, AMBP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
3.2 Future
AMBP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.04% yearly.
AMBP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.46%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.00, AMBP is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AMBP is on the same level as its industry peers.
AMBP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.11, which indicates a correct valuation of AMBP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AMBP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.55, AMBP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.11 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AMBP is valued a bit cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AMBP is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.49 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 15.04% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)4.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.30%, AMBP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.54, AMBP pays a better dividend. On top of this AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.3% |
5.2 History
AMBP has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AMBP has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-1552.94%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
3.57
+0.03 (+0.85%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners18.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.63%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.13B
Revenue(TTM)4.91B
Net Income(TTM)-17000000
Analysts53.33
Price Target4.35 (21.85%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio3.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.3% |
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1552.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)326.28%
Min EPS beat(2)7.02%
Max EPS beat(2)645.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)176.05%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)202.66%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)125.22%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)102.99%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.77%
PT rev (3m)-1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.11 | ||
| P/S | 0.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 7 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.7 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.49 |
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY5.88%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY6.62%
FCF(TTM)0.51
FCFY14.29%
OCF(TTM)0.76
OCFY21.28%
SpS8.75
BVpS-0.24
TBVpS-2.28
PEG (NY)4.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.31% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 6.8% | ||
| ROIC | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.32% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.85% | ||
| OM | 5.22% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 13.13% | ||
| FCFM | 5.83% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)0.14%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.21%
ROIC(5y)4.92%
ROICexc(3y)4.83%
ROICexc(5y)5.78%
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)11.55%
ROCE(3y)5.33%
ROCE(5y)6.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.63%
OM growth 3Y-16.72%
OM growth 5Y-6.53%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 32.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.4 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 62.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.25 |
F-Score6
WACC5.22%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)96.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.64%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y3.46%
EPS Next 2Y14.57%
EPS Next 3Y15.04%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y7.98%
Sales Q2Q%8.76%
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.25%
EBIT growth 5Y0.92%
EBIT Next Year239.9%
EBIT Next 3Y55.15%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y244.55%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.47%
OCF growth 1Y46.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.59%
OCF growth 5Y3.6%
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AMBP.
What is the valuation status of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?
ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) stock?
The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 3 / 10.
Is the dividend of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA sustainable?
The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1552.94%.