ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AMBP • LU2369833749

4.6 USD
-0.12 (-2.54%)
At close: Mar 5, 2026
4.69 USD
+0.09 (+1.96%)
After Hours: 3/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AMBP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to AMBP. AMBP was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. AMBP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, AMBP is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. AMBP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AMBP was profitable.
  • AMBP had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • AMBP had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAMBP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • AMBP's Return On Assets of -0.20% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • AMBP's Return On Invested Capital of 5.43% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.2%
ROE N/A
ROIC 5.43%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAMBP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • AMBP's Operating Margin of 5.02% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AMBP is outperformed by 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AMBP has declined.
  • AMBP has a worse Gross Margin (12.68%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • AMBP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.68%
OM growth 3Y-3.99%
OM growth 5Y-5.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y-4.64%
AMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAMBP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. AMBP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AMBP is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for AMBP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingAMBP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
AMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAMBP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • AMBP has an Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is a bad value and indicates that AMBP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AMBP has a Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is in the lower half of the industry: AMBP underperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.21
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC5.49%
AMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAMBP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.07 indicates that AMBP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.07, AMBP is not doing good in the industry: 81.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that AMBP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AMBP has a worse Quick ratio (0.75) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.75
AMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAMBP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AMBP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.67% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for AMBP have been decreasing by -11.21% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, AMBP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.00% in the last year.
  • AMBP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3Y-11.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12%
Revenue growth 3Y5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y9.76%
Sales Q2Q%12.64%

3.2 Future

  • AMBP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.75% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.88% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y17.97%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B
AMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAMBP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.1 0.2 0.3

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. AMBP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.90, AMBP is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AMBP is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.74. AMBP is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.57, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AMBP.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AMBP.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.82. AMBP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.9
Fwd PE 18.57
AMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAMBP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AMBP Per share dataAMBP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AMBP's earnings are expected to grow with 13.75% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AMBP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AMBP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.70%, which is a nice return.
  • AMBP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.25. AMBP pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AMBP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 8.7%

5.2 History

  • AMBP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of AMBP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
AMBP Yearly Dividends per shareAMBP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
AMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAMBP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AMBP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA

NYSE:AMBP (3/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.69 +0.09 (+1.96%)

4.6

-0.12 (-2.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners18.35%
Inst Owner Change9.43%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.75B
Revenue(TTM)5.50B
Net Income(TTM)-11.00M
Analysts53.85
Price Target4.54 (-1.3%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio2.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 8.7%
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)32.55%
Min EPS beat(2)11.36%
Max EPS beat(2)53.75%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)179.42%
Min EPS beat(4)7.02%
Max EPS beat(4)645.54%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)218.04%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)136.67%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)102.25%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.22%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.68%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.09%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.9
Fwd PE 18.57
P/S 0.5
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY4.57%
EPS(NY)0.25
Fwd EY5.39%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS9.2
BVpS-0.55
TBVpS-2.62
PEG (NY)1.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.2%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.88%
ROIC 5.43%
ROICexc 5.81%
ROICexgc 8.67%
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 12.68%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-3.99%
OM growth 5Y-5.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.09%
GM growth 5Y-4.64%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.75
Altman-Z -0.21
F-ScoreN/A
WACC5.49%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.67%
EPS 3Y-11.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y17.97%
EPS Next 2Y19.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12%
Revenue growth 3Y5.44%
Revenue growth 5Y9.76%
Sales Q2Q%12.64%
Revenue Next Year5.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y23.77%
EBIT growth 3Y1.24%
EBIT growth 5Y3.71%
EBIT Next Year187.99%
EBIT Next 3Y46.64%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA / AMBP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AMBP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AMBP.


Can you provide the valuation status for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA?

The financial health rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AMBP stock?

The dividend rating of ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING SA (AMBP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.