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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ALYA - Nasdaq - CA01643B1067 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.13  +0.03 (+3.2%)

After market: 1.07 -0.06 (-5.31%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to ALYA. ALYA was compared to 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ALYA have multiple concerns. ALYA is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ALYA has reported negative net income.
In the past year ALYA had a positive cash flow from operations.
ALYA had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In multiple years ALYA reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
ALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

ALYA has a worse Return On Assets (-9.64%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
ALYA's Return On Equity of -23.93% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALYA is outperformed by 62.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

ALYA's Gross Margin of 27.81% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALYA is outperformed by 64.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALYA has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for ALYA so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
ALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
ALYA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ALYA has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ALYA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
ALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.65, we must say that ALYA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALYA has a Altman-Z score of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALYA underperforms 67.06% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALYA is 4.61, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ALYA, 4.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ALYA (4.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25 indicates that ALYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.25, ALYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Altman-Z 0.65
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.02%
ALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

ALYA has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that ALYA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.69, ALYA is not doing good in the industry: 87.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that ALYA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, ALYA is not doing good in the industry: 87.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
ALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ALYA have decreased strongly by -181.25% in the last year.
ALYA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.53%.
The Revenue has been growing by 29.23% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ALYA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 28.70% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ALYA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ALYA reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALYA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50

4.2 Price Multiples

ALYA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
ALYA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ALYA is cheaper than 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.18
EV/EBITDA 20.98
ALYA Per share dataALYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALYA's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ALYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A

NASDAQ:ALYA (2/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 1.07 -0.06 (-5.31%)

1.13

+0.03 (+3.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-14 2024-02-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-06 2024-06-06/amc
Inst Owners0.24%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap99.85M
Analysts78.33
Price Target2 (76.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-163.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-201.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-126.26%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-281.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-747.6%
Max EPS beat(4)-51.8%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-139.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-89.58%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-158.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.92%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.15%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.66%
PT rev (1m)-1.16%
PT rev (3m)-20.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-112.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.26
P/FCF 4.18
P/OCF 4.06
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.98
EPS(TTM)-0.33
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.02
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.27
FCFY23.9%
OCF(TTM)0.28
OCFY24.64%
SpS4.34
BVpS1.47
TBVpS-0.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
FCFM 6.22%
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Debt/EBITDA 3.36
Cap/Depr 2.78%
Cap/Sales 0.19%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 253.01%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.65
F-Score6
WACC9.02%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)9.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-136.84%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year369.78%
EBIT Next 3Y77.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y414.87%
FCF growth 3Y86.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y507.49%
OCF growth 3Y49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A