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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ALYA - Nasdaq - CA01643B1067 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.13  +0.03 (+3.2%)

After market: 1.07 -0.06 (-5.31%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, ALYA scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ALYA was compared to 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. ALYA has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ALYA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALYA had negative earnings in the past year.
ALYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ALYA had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALYA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
ALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

ALYA has a Return On Assets of -9.64%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALYA underperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -23.93%, ALYA is doing worse than 62.35% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

ALYA has a Gross Margin of 27.81%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALYA underperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALYA has declined.
ALYA does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
ALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ALYA has more shares outstanding
ALYA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ALYA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
ALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.65, we must say that ALYA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALYA has a Altman-Z score of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALYA underperforms 67.06% of its industry peers.
ALYA has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.61. This is a neutral value as ALYA would need 4.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.61, ALYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.29% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25 indicates that ALYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
ALYA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.25. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ALYA outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Altman-Z 0.65
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.02%
ALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

ALYA has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that ALYA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ALYA's Current ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALYA is outperformed by 87.06% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that ALYA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ALYA (0.69) is worse than 87.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
ALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ALYA have decreased strongly by -181.25% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.53% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 29.23% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.70% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, ALYA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALYA. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year ALYA is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ALYA is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ALYA indicates a rather cheap valuation: ALYA is cheaper than 94.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.18
EV/EBITDA 20.98
ALYA Per share dataALYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALYA's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ALYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A

NASDAQ:ALYA (2/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 1.07 -0.06 (-5.31%)

1.13

+0.03 (+3.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-14 2024-02-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-06 2024-06-06/amc
Inst Owners0.24%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap99.85M
Analysts78.33
Price Target2 (76.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-163.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-201.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-126.26%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-281.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-747.6%
Max EPS beat(4)-51.8%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-139.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-89.58%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-158.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.92%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.15%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.66%
PT rev (1m)-1.16%
PT rev (3m)-20.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-112.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.26
P/FCF 4.18
P/OCF 4.06
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.98
EPS(TTM)-0.33
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.02
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.27
FCFY23.9%
OCF(TTM)0.28
OCFY24.64%
SpS4.34
BVpS1.47
TBVpS-0.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
FCFM 6.22%
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Debt/EBITDA 3.36
Cap/Depr 2.78%
Cap/Sales 0.19%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 253.01%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.65
F-Score6
WACC9.02%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)9.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-136.84%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year369.78%
EBIT Next 3Y77.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y414.87%
FCF growth 3Y86.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y507.49%
OCF growth 3Y49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A