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ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:ALYA - CA01643B1067 - Common Stock

1.13 USD
+0.03 (+3.2%)
Last: 2/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM
1.07 USD
-0.06 (-5.31%)
After Hours: 2/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

ALYA gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 88 industry peers in the IT Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ALYA have multiple concerns. ALYA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ALYA has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year ALYA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ALYA had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALYA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
ALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.64%, ALYA is doing worse than 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ALYA has a worse Return On Equity (-23.93%) than 62.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • ALYA has a worse Gross Margin (27.81%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALYA has declined.
  • ALYA does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
ALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ALYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ALYA has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ALYA is higher compared to a year ago.
ALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingALYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
ALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.65, we must say that ALYA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.65, ALYA is not doing good in the industry: 67.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • ALYA has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.61. This is a neutral value as ALYA would need 4.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ALYA has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ALYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • ALYA has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.25) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Altman-Z 0.65
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.02%
ALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that ALYA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ALYA has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 87.06% of its industry peers.
  • ALYA has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that ALYA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, ALYA is not doing good in the industry: 87.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
ALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ALYA have decreased strongly by -181.25% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, ALYA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.53% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, ALYA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 29.23% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.70% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ALYA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ALYA reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALYA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ALYA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ALYA indicates a rather cheap valuation: ALYA is cheaper than 94.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.18
EV/EBITDA 20.98
ALYA Per share dataALYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ALYA's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ALYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A

NASDAQ:ALYA (2/8/2024, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 1.07 -0.06 (-5.31%)

1.13

+0.03 (+3.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)02-14
Earnings (Next)06-06
Inst Owners0.24%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap99.85M
Revenue(TTM)517.10M
Net Income(TTM)-41.90M
Analysts78.33
Price Target2 (76.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-163.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-201.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-126.26%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-281.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-747.6%
Max EPS beat(4)-51.8%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-139.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-89.58%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-158.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.92%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.34%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.15%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.66%
PT rev (1m)-1.16%
PT rev (3m)-20.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-112.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.26
P/FCF 4.18
P/OCF 4.06
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.98
EPS(TTM)-0.33
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.02
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.27
FCFY23.9%
OCF(TTM)0.28
OCFY24.64%
SpS4.34
BVpS1.47
TBVpS-0.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.64%
ROE -23.93%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.81%
FCFM 6.22%
ROA(3y)-5.69%
ROA(5y)-7.52%
ROE(3y)-13.29%
ROE(5y)-15.82%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 4.61
Debt/EBITDA 3.36
Cap/Depr 2.78%
Cap/Sales 0.19%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 253.01%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.65
F-Score6
WACC9.02%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)9.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y20.37%
EPS Next 2Y38.78%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.53%
Revenue growth 3Y23.28%
Revenue growth 5Y29.23%
Sales Q2Q%-8.07%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-1%
Revenue Next 3Y0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-136.84%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year369.78%
EBIT Next 3Y77.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y414.87%
FCF growth 3Y86.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y507.49%
OCF growth 3Y49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A / ALYA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ALYA.


What is the valuation status for ALYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A?

ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for ALYA stock?

The financial health rating of ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) is 2 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) stock?

The dividend rating of ALITHYA GROUP INC-CLASS A (ALYA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.