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ALUMIS INC (ALMS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ALMS - Nasdaq - US0223071020 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

4.14  -0.19 (-4.39%)

After market: 4.14 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to ALMS. ALMS was compared to 198 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. ALMS has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. ALMS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALMS had negative earnings in the past year.
ALMS had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
ALMS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALMS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2022 2023 2024 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -86.29%, ALMS is not doing good in the industry: 73.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
ALMS has a Return On Equity of -113.12%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALMS underperforms 60.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -86.29%
ROE -113.12%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-120.91%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-222.13%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALMS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALMS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2022 2023 2024 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

ALMS does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ALMS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALMS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2022 2023 2024

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALMS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ALMS has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
ALMS Yearly Shares OutstandingALMS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
ALMS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALMS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.97, we must say that ALMS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALMS has a Altman-Z score (-2.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
There is no outstanding debt for ALMS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.97
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
ALMS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALMS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

2.3 Liquidity

ALMS has a Current Ratio of 6.01. This indicates that ALMS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ALMS (6.01) is better than 76.26% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 6.01 indicates that ALMS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ALMS's Quick ratio of 6.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALMS outperforms 76.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.01
Quick Ratio 6.01
ALMS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALMS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ALMS have decreased strongly by -80.89% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%41.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

ALMS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.80% yearly.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y52.17%
EPS Next 2Y26.75%
EPS Next 3Y15.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
ALMS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALMS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2027 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
ALMS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALMS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -2 -4 -6 -8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALMS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year ALMS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALMS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALMS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ALMS Per share dataALMS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 -4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALMS's earnings are expected to grow with 15.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.75%
EPS Next 3Y15.8%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ALMS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ALUMIS INC

NASDAQ:ALMS (4/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 4.14 0 (0%)

4.14

-0.19 (-4.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)03-19 2025-03-19/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners67.25%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners1.2%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap225.26M
Analysts87.27
Price Target21.93 (429.71%)
Short Float %13.41%
Short Ratio4.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)40.65%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.48%
Max EPS beat(2)83.78%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-5.49%
PT rev (3m)-28.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S N/A
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.87
P/tB 0.87
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-5.5
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-4.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.72
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-4.69
OCFYN/A
SpS0
BVpS4.78
TBVpS4.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -86.29%
ROE -113.12%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-120.91%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-222.13%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 54.95%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.01
Quick Ratio 6.01
Altman-Z -2.97
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)455.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%41.74%
EPS Next Y52.17%
EPS Next 2Y26.75%
EPS Next 3Y15.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-90.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.37%
EBIT Next 3Y4.34%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-90.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-96.25%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A