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ALUMIS INC (ALMS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ALMS - Nasdaq - US0223071020 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.33  -0.18 (-5.13%)

After market: 3.33 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall ALMS gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ALMS against 194 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. ALMS scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. ALMS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALMS had negative earnings in the past year.
ALMS had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
ALMS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALMS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2022 2023 2024 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

ALMS's Return On Assets of -131.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALMS is outperformed by 81.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of ALMS (-203.99%) is worse than 68.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -131.4%
ROE -203.99%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-120.91%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-222.13%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALMS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALMS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2022 2023 2024 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

ALMS does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ALMS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALMS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2022 2023 2024

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

Compared to 1 year ago, ALMS has more shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for ALMS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
ALMS Yearly Shares OutstandingALMS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
ALMS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALMS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -5.50, we must say that ALMS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ALMS's Altman-Z score of -5.50 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ALMS is outperformed by 62.37% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ALMS. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -5.5
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
ALMS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALMS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.73 indicates that ALMS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ALMS's Current ratio of 3.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ALMS outperforms 61.86% of its industry peers.
ALMS has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This indicates that ALMS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ALMS has a Quick ratio of 3.73. This is in the better half of the industry: ALMS outperforms 63.40% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 3.73
ALMS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALMS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

ALMS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -80.89%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-89.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

ALMS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.31% yearly.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y47.45%
EPS Next 2Y26.43%
EPS Next 3Y16.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
ALMS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALMS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2025 2026 2027 5M 10M 15M 20M
ALMS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALMS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -2 -4 -6 -8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALMS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year ALMS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ALMS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALMS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ALMS Per share dataALMS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ALMS's earnings are expected to grow with 16.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.43%
EPS Next 3Y16.31%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ALMS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ALUMIS INC

NASDAQ:ALMS (7/18/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 3.33 0 (0%)

3.33

-0.18 (-5.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)05-14 2025-05-14/amc
Earnings (Next)08-11 2025-08-11
Inst Owners19.45%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap343.62M
Analysts88.33
Price Target21.42 (543.24%)
Short Float %6.48%
Short Ratio4.33
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)31.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-20.07%
Max EPS beat(2)83.78%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-47.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-249.36%
Max EPS beat(4)83.78%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.18%
PT rev (3m)-3.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)225.96%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 19.76
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.04
P/tB 2.04
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-26.88
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-3.55
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.82
OCFYN/A
SpS0.17
BVpS1.63
TBVpS1.63
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -131.4%
ROE -203.99%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-120.91%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-222.13%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 49.86%
Cap/Sales 9.28%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 3.73
Altman-Z -5.5
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)455.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-89.62%
EPS Next Y47.45%
EPS Next 2Y26.43%
EPS Next 3Y16.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-90.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.37%
EBIT Next 3Y4.34%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-90.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-96.25%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A