ALICO INC (ALCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ALCO • US0162301040

Current stock price

38.47 USD
+0.71 (+1.88%)
At close:
38.47 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ALCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. ALCO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ALCO had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ALCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ALCO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: ALCO reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
ALCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50M -100M -150M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • ALCO has a worse Return On Assets (-72.65%) than 87.36% of its industry peers.
  • ALCO has a worse Return On Equity (-142.19%) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -72.65%
ROE -142.19%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-23.64%
ROA(5y)-11.96%
ROE(3y)-46.49%
ROE(5y)-24.02%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ALCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ALCO does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ALCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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5

2. ALCO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ALCO does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ALCO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ALCO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ALCO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ALCO Yearly Shares OutstandingALCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2M 4M 6M 8M
ALCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.43, we must say that ALCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ALCO has a Altman-Z score of -0.43. This is in the lower half of the industry: ALCO underperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
  • ALCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.43. This is a neutral value as ALCO would need 4.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ALCO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.43. This is in the better half of the industry: ALCO outperforms 77.01% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86 indicates that ALCO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.86, ALCO is not doing good in the industry: 65.52% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 4.43
Altman-Z -0.43
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.75%
ALCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 14.39 indicates that ALCO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • ALCO has a Current ratio of 14.39. This is amongst the best in the industry. ALCO outperforms 98.85% of its industry peers.
  • ALCO has a Quick Ratio of 13.02. This indicates that ALCO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ALCO's Quick ratio of 13.02 is amongst the best of the industry. ALCO outperforms 98.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 14.39
Quick Ratio 13.02
ALCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

1

3. ALCO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ALCO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -2128.36%.
  • ALCO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -41.36%.
  • The Revenue for ALCO have been decreasing by -13.78% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2128.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-104.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-41.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-21.73%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.78%
Sales Q2Q%-88.83%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 34.57% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -29.19% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y94.76%
EPS Next 2Y43.2%
EPS Next 3Y34.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-80.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-69.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-52.51%
Revenue Next 5Y-29.19%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ALCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 50M 100M 150M
ALCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 -5 -10 -15

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3

4. ALCO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ALCO. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 51.67, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ALCO.
  • ALCO's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.28. ALCO is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 51.67
ALCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ALCO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ALCO is cheaper than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.28
EV/EBITDA N/A
ALCO Per share dataALCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ALCO's earnings are expected to grow with 34.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.2%
EPS Next 3Y34.57%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. ALCO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.53%, ALCO is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • ALCO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.49.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, ALCO's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ALCO decreases each year by -9.48%.
  • ALCO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of ALCO decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
ALCO Yearly Dividends per shareALCO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of ALCO are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ALCO will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-1.08%
EPS Next 2Y43.2%
EPS Next 3Y34.57%
ALCO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALCO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50M -100M

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ALCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALICO INC

NASDAQ:ALCO (3/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 38.47 0 (0%)

38.47

+0.71 (+1.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners62.59%
Inst Owner Change0.55%
Ins Owners10.34%
Ins Owner Change0.22%
Market Cap294.68M
Revenue(TTM)29.06M
Net Income(TTM)-141.65M
Analysts82.5
Price Target43.86 (14.01%)
Short Float %2.04%
Short Ratio4.49
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.53%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.48%
DP-1.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-98.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-179.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.65%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-914.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-2892.92%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.65%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-425.47%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-549.43%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-409.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)74.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.72%
Max Revenue beat(2)162.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)30.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-20.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)162.09%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)28.54%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)13.62%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.96%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)254%
EPS NQ rev (3m)134.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)81.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 51.67
P/S 10.14
P/FCF 15.28
P/OCF 13.24
P/B 2.96
P/tB 3.03
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-14.93
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.74
Fwd EY1.94%
FCF(TTM)2.52
FCFY6.54%
OCF(TTM)2.91
OCFY7.55%
SpS3.79
BVpS13
TBVpS12.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -72.65%
ROE -142.19%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM 66.35%
ROA(3y)-23.64%
ROA(5y)-11.96%
ROE(3y)-46.49%
ROE(5y)-24.02%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 4.43
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 1.66%
Cap/Sales 10.23%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 14.39
Quick Ratio 13.02
Altman-Z -0.43
F-Score4
WACC7.75%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)77.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)103.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)31.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)27.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2128.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-104.55%
EPS Next Y94.76%
EPS Next 2Y43.2%
EPS Next 3Y34.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-41.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-21.73%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.78%
Sales Q2Q%-88.83%
Revenue Next Year-80.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-69.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-52.51%
Revenue Next 5Y-29.19%
EBIT growth 1Y-231%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year101.45%
EBIT Next 3Y33.1%
EBIT Next 5Y16.34%
FCF growth 1Y172.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y328.18%
OCF growth 3Y45.6%
OCF growth 5Y80.52%

ALICO INC / ALCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALICO INC (ALCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ALCO.


What is the valuation status of ALICO INC (ALCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ALICO INC (ALCO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALICO INC?

ALICO INC (ALCO) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ALCO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALICO INC (ALCO) is expected to grow by 94.76% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ALICO INC (ALCO) stock?

The dividend rating of ALICO INC (ALCO) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.08%.