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ALGOMA CENTRAL CORP (ALC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:ALC - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0156441077 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

16.12  +0.12 (+0.75%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ALC. ALC was compared to 1 industry peers in the Marine Transportation industry. While ALC has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. ALC has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ALC had positive earnings in the past year.
ALC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ALC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years ALC had a positive operating cash flow.
ALC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFALC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

ALC has a better Return On Assets (5.01%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ALC has a better Return On Equity (9.76%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ALC has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.15%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ALC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.50%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.01%
ROE 9.76%
ROIC 3.15%
ROA(3y)6.99%
ROA(5y)6.31%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)11.68%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.89%
ALC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICALC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of ALC (12.21%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ALC has grown nicely.
ALC's Operating Margin of 9.70% is amongst the best of the industry. ALC outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
ALC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.53%, ALC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ALC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.7%
PM (TTM) 12.21%
GM 25.53%
OM growth 3Y-10.92%
OM growth 5Y0.76%
PM growth 3Y-1.71%
PM growth 5Y25.04%
GM growth 3Y-6.96%
GM growth 5Y-1.29%
ALC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsALC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ALC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ALC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ALC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
ALC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ALC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingALC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
ALC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsALC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

ALC has an Altman-Z score of 1.56. This is a bad value and indicates that ALC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.56, ALC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ALC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.68. This is a neutral value indicating ALC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
ALC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.68 is amongst the best of the industry. ALC outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.68
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.56
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC6.28%
ALC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFALC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

ALC has a Current Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that ALC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ALC (0.52) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that ALC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ALC has a better Quick ratio (0.48) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.48
ALC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesALC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ALC shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.65%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 31.03% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
ALC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.42%.
Measured over the past years, ALC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.37% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.65%
EPS 3Y6.07%
EPS 5Y31.03%
EPS Q2Q%-29.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.42%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y4.37%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ALC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -2.92% on average per year.
ALC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.17%
EPS Next 2Y-2.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
ALC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesALC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M
ALC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesALC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.64, the valuation of ALC can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ALC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.59. ALC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.64, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ALC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ALC is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.39, ALC is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.64
Fwd PE 7.64
ALC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsALC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ALC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.51
ALC.CA Per share dataALC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ALC has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ALC's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y-2.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.00%, ALC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ALC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.00. ALC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, ALC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5%

5.2 History

The dividend of ALC decreases each year by -8.00%.
ALC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ALC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareALC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

35.43% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ALC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ALC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP35.43%
EPS Next 2Y-2.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ALC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendALC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M
ALC.CA Dividend Payout.ALC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ALC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALGOMA CENTRAL CORP

TSX:ALC (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

16.12

+0.12 (+0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryMarine Transportation
Earnings (Last)05-02 2025-05-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-31 2025-07-31
Inst Owners16.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.23%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap653.99M
Analysts80
Price Target19.38 (20.22%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5%
Yearly Dividend0.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8%
DP35.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date05-16 2025-05-16 (0.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)35.88%
Min EPS beat(2)11.82%
Max EPS beat(2)59.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-46.22%
Max EPS beat(4)59.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)15.75%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)12.22%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.64
Fwd PE 7.64
P/S 0.93
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.02
P/B 0.75
P/tB 0.75
EV/EBITDA 7.51
EPS(TTM)2.11
EY13.09%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY13.09%
FCF(TTM)-0.15
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.01
OCFY24.87%
SpS17.29
BVpS21.61
TBVpS21.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.25
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.01%
ROE 9.76%
ROCE 4.88%
ROIC 3.15%
ROICexc 3.22%
ROICexgc 3.24%
OM 9.7%
PM (TTM) 12.21%
GM 25.53%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.99%
ROA(5y)6.31%
ROE(3y)12.45%
ROE(5y)11.68%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.89%
ROICexc(3y)4.77%
ROICexc(5y)5.29%
ROICexgc(3y)4.81%
ROICexgc(5y)5.33%
ROCE(3y)6.35%
ROCE(5y)6.86%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.04%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.36%
OM growth 3Y-10.92%
OM growth 5Y0.76%
PM growth 3Y-1.71%
PM growth 5Y25.04%
GM growth 3Y-6.96%
GM growth 5Y-1.29%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.68
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 231.4%
Cap/Sales 24.04%
Interest Coverage 2.57
Cash Conversion 115.47%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.48
Altman-Z 1.56
F-Score3
WACC6.28%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)105.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.98%
Profit Quality(3y)69.38%
Profit Quality(5y)109.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.65%
EPS 3Y6.07%
EPS 5Y31.03%
EPS Q2Q%-29.55%
EPS Next Y-11.17%
EPS Next 2Y-2.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.42%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y4.37%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13.15%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.01%
EBIT growth 5Y5.17%
EBIT Next Year89.75%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-108.48%
FCF growth 3Y-25.64%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y13.42%
OCF growth 3Y-1.46%
OCF growth 5Y2.43%