AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AL - US00912X3026 - Common Stock
63.76 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Taking everything into account, AL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AL was compared to 51 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While AL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally AL also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AL was profitable.
AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AL has a Return On Assets (2.77%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AL (11.22%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AL (3.68%) is worse than 62.75% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AL is significantly below the industry average of 10.20%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.77% | ||
| ROE | 11.22% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
1.3 Margins
AL has a Profit Margin of 32.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AL outperforms 98.04% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AL has declined.
AL's Operating Margin of 49.99% is amongst the best of the industry. AL outperforms 98.04% of its industry peers.
AL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.13% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AL has an Altman-Z score of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.56, AL is not doing good in the industry: 82.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47 is on the high side and indicates that AL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.47, AL is not doing good in the industry: 78.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.56%
2.3 Liquidity
AL has a Current Ratio of 0.26. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.26, AL is not doing good in the industry: 94.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.26 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.26, AL is doing worse than 90.20% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 47.15%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, AL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.81% on average per year.
AL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.81%.
AL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)47.15%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%57.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.63% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y175.34%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.02%
Revenue Next 3Y7.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.87, the valuation of AL can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AL is valued cheaper than 92.16% of the companies in the same industry.
AL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.13.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.28, the valuation of AL can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 84.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.35), we can say AL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AL is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.63% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%.
AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.97.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.24%!
AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
AL pays out 15.48% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.48%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
NYSE:AL (11/6/2025, 11:48:16 AM)
63.76
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.86%
Inst Owner Change-5.43%
Ins Owners1.23%
Ins Owner Change-0.6%
Market Cap7.13B
Revenue(TTM)2.73B
Net Income(TTM)923.03M
Analysts80
Price Target63.24 (-0.82%)
Short Float %1.72%
Short Ratio0.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
DP15.48%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)157.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(2)317.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)83.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)47.99%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)33.75%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)40.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.92%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.42%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.15%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)37.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.28 | ||
| P/S | 2.48 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.06 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.29 |
EPS(TTM)6.46
EY10.13%
EPS(NY)5.19
Fwd EY8.14%
FCF(TTM)-18.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.69
OCFY24.61%
SpS25.7
BVpS73.58
TBVpS73.58
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.42
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.77% | ||
| ROE | 11.22% | ||
| ROCE | 4.55% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.09% | ||
| OM | 49.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.13% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
ROICexc(3y)3.9%
ROICexc(5y)3.88%
ROICexgc(3y)4.48%
ROICexgc(5y)4.46%
ROCE(3y)4.73%
ROCE(5y)4.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.06%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 318.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 131.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.63 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score7
WACC6.56%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)355.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)321.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)145.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)131.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)47.15%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%57.32%
EPS Next Y175.34%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.02%
Revenue Next 3Y7.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.78%
EBIT growth 3Y9.14%
EBIT growth 5Y3.21%
EBIT Next Year178.86%
EBIT Next 3Y42.18%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y16.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y11.4%
OCF growth 3Y6.8%
OCF growth 5Y3.79%
AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.
What is the valuation status of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AL stock?
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 9.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.87.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AL stock?
The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.48%.