AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AL • US00912X3026

64.65 USD
+0.06 (+0.09%)
At close: Feb 3, 2026
64.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

AL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 50 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While AL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally AL also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AL was profitable.
  • AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AL 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • AL's Return On Assets of 2.90% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AL outperforms 46.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of AL (11.59%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.68%, AL is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AL is significantly below the industry average of 9.63%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 11.59%
ROIC 3.68%
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
AL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AL has a Profit Margin of 33.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AL outperforms 98.00% of its industry peers.
  • AL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 49.56%, AL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 49.56%
PM (TTM) 33.24%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

More info and screens

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AL has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AL Yearly Shares OutstandingAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • AL has an Altman-Z score of 0.57. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AL (0.57) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • AL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: AL underperforms 74.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.42
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.57
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC6.65%
AL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.27 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AL (0.27) is worse than 94.00% of its industry peers.
  • AL has a Quick Ratio of 0.27. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AL (0.27) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.27
Quick Ratio 0.27
AL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.33%, which is quite impressive.
  • AL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.81% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, AL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.24% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.27% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%

3.2 Future

  • AL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.13% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y170.11%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.63%
Revenue Next 2Y7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y7.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
AL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4 6 8

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.13 indicates a reasonable valuation of AL.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AL is valued cheaper than 92.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.73, the valuation of AL can be described as correct.
  • 92.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.51. AL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.13
Fwd PE 12.73
AL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.17
AL Per share dataAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%

More info and screens

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.88, AL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, AL is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.24%!
  • AL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • AL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
AL Yearly Dividends per shareAL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 14.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of AL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP14.77%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
AL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B
AL Dividend Payout.AL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AIR LEASE CORP

NYSE:AL (2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 64.65 0 (0%)

64.65

+0.06 (+0.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)11-03
Earnings (Next)02-12
Inst Owners91.24%
Inst Owner Change-1.61%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change-12.96%
Market Cap7.23B
Revenue(TTM)2.91B
Net Income(TTM)966.76M
Analysts80
Price Target62.48 (-3.36%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
DP14.77%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)159.76%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)317.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)83.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)47.77%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.34%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)39.24%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.43%
PT rev (1m)-1.21%
PT rev (3m)-1.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.13
Fwd PE 12.73
P/S 2.48
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.13
P/B 0.87
P/tB 0.87
EV/EBITDA 10.17
EPS(TTM)6.38
EY9.87%
EPS(NY)5.08
Fwd EY7.85%
FCF(TTM)-10.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.66
OCFY24.23%
SpS26.02
BVpS74.63
TBVpS74.63
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 11.59%
ROCE 4.55%
ROIC 3.68%
ROICexc 3.73%
ROICexgc 4.07%
OM 49.56%
PM (TTM) 33.24%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
ROICexc(3y)3.9%
ROICexc(5y)3.88%
ROICexgc(3y)4.48%
ROICexgc(5y)4.46%
ROCE(3y)4.73%
ROCE(5y)4.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.06%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.42
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.62
Cap/Depr 238.59%
Cap/Sales 99.17%
Interest Coverage 1.57
Cash Conversion 66.05%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.27
Quick Ratio 0.27
Altman-Z 0.57
F-Score9
WACC6.65%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)355.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)321.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)145.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)131.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
EPS Next Y170.11%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
Revenue Next Year8.63%
Revenue Next 2Y7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y7.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.61%
EBIT growth 3Y9.14%
EBIT growth 5Y3.21%
EBIT Next Year180.46%
EBIT Next 3Y42.98%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y45.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y2.62%
OCF growth 3Y6.8%
OCF growth 5Y3.79%

AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.


What is the valuation status for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AL stock?

AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is expected to grow by 170.11% in the next year.


Is the dividend of AIR LEASE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.77%.