AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AL - US00912X3026 - Common Stock
63.93 USD
+0.12 (+0.19%)
AL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 51 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. AL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally AL also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AL was profitable.
In the past year AL had a positive cash flow from operations.
AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.90%, AL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.06% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 11.59%, AL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.68%, AL is doing worse than 60.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AL is significantly below the industry average of 10.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.9% | ||
| ROE | 11.59% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 33.24%, AL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.04% of the companies in the same industry.
AL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 49.56%, AL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.04% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 33.24% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AL is destroying value.
AL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AL has a worse Altman-Z score (0.56) than 82.35% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.42 is on the high side and indicates that AL has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AL (2.42) is worse than 76.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.27 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AL's Current ratio of 0.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AL is outperformed by 94.12% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.27 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AL's Quick ratio of 0.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AL is outperformed by 90.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.27 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.33%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.81% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.24% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, AL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.63% on average per year.
AL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y175.34%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.02%
Revenue Next 3Y7.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.02, which indicates a very decent valuation of AL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.35.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.32 indicates a correct valuation of AL.
AL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AL is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 33.72. AL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AL is valued a bit cheaper than 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.14 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.24.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, AL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AL grows each year by 15.24%, which is quite nice.
AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
AL pays out 14.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
AL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.77%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
NYSE:AL (11/12/2025, 2:32:48 PM)
63.93
+0.12 (+0.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.86%
Inst Owner Change-9.48%
Ins Owners1.23%
Ins Owner Change-1.22%
Market Cap7.15B
Revenue(TTM)2.91B
Net Income(TTM)966.76M
Analysts80
Price Target63.24 (-1.08%)
Short Float %1.72%
Short Ratio0.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
DP14.77%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)159.76%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)317.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)83.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)47.77%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.34%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)39.24%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.43%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.12%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)36.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.32 | ||
| P/S | 2.46 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.08 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.14 |
EPS(TTM)6.38
EY9.98%
EPS(NY)5.19
Fwd EY8.12%
FCF(TTM)-10.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.66
OCFY24.5%
SpS26.02
BVpS74.63
TBVpS74.63
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.9% | ||
| ROE | 11.59% | ||
| ROCE | 4.55% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.07% | ||
| OM | 49.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 33.24% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
ROICexc(3y)3.9%
ROICexc(5y)3.88%
ROICexgc(3y)4.48%
ROICexgc(5y)4.46%
ROCE(3y)4.73%
ROCE(5y)4.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.06%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 99.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score9
WACC6.57%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)355.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)321.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)145.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)131.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
EPS Next Y175.34%
EPS Next 2Y23.75%
EPS Next 3Y29.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
Revenue Next Year9.46%
Revenue Next 2Y8.02%
Revenue Next 3Y7.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.61%
EBIT growth 3Y9.14%
EBIT growth 5Y3.21%
EBIT Next Year178.86%
EBIT Next 3Y42.18%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y45.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y2.62%
OCF growth 3Y6.8%
OCF growth 5Y3.79%
AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.
What is the valuation status of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AL stock?
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 10.02 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.86.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AL stock?
The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.77%.