AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AL • US00912X3026

64.72 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Last: Mar 12, 2026, 09:35 AM
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This AL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall AL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AL against 46 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. AL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. AL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years AL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AL (3.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AL (12.32%) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • AL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.89%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AL outperforms 45.65% of its industry peers.
  • AL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.88%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.05%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.89%) for AL is above the 3 year average (3.88%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROIC 3.89%
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
AL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AL has a Profit Margin of 34.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AL outperforms 97.83% of its industry peers.
  • AL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AL has a better Operating Margin (50.53%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • AL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. AL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AL has more shares outstanding
  • AL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AL Yearly Shares OutstandingAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.60, we must say that AL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AL has a worse Altman-Z score (0.60) than 89.13% of its industry peers.
  • AL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.33, AL is not doing good in the industry: 78.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.6
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.88%
AL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AL has a Current ratio of 0.29. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AL underperforms 93.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.29, AL is doing worse than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
AL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 106.49%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.78% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 10.32% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • AL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%

3.2 Future

  • AL is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -9.21% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.14% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
AL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. AL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.25.
  • AL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AL is cheaper than 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, AL is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.75, the valuation of AL can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 93.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.27), we can say AL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.25
Fwd PE 12.75
AL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AL is valued a bit cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.64
AL Per share dataAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of AL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as AL's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.21% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. AL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, AL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AL is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of AL grows each year by 11.62%, which is quite nice.
  • AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
AL Yearly Dividends per shareAL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 13.66% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP13.66%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
AL Dividend Payout.AL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AIR LEASE CORP

NYSE:AL (3/12/2026, 9:35:32 AM)

64.72

+0.02 (+0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners91.24%
Inst Owner Change4.35%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change-11.84%
Market Cap7.23B
Revenue(TTM)3.02B
Net Income(TTM)1.04B
Analysts43.64
Price Target62.48 (-3.46%)
Short Float %3.02%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
DP13.66%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.12%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)23.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)85.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)41.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.99%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)38.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.25%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.25
Fwd PE 12.75
P/S 2.4
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.17
P/B 0.85
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 9.64
EPS(TTM)7
EY10.82%
EPS(NY)5.08
Fwd EY7.85%
FCF(TTM)-7.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.52
OCFY23.98%
SpS26.98
BVpS75.81
TBVpS75.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number109.27
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROCE 4.88%
ROIC 3.89%
ROICexc 3.95%
ROICexgc 4.28%
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.8%
ROICexgc(3y)4.46%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)4.86%
ROCE(5y)4.65%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.66%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.18
Cap/Depr 211.35%
Cap/Sales 85.75%
Interest Coverage 1.66
Cash Conversion 63.14%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 0.6
F-Score8
WACC6.88%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)318.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)317.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)129.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)130.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
EPS Next Y-27.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.22%
EBIT growth 3Y8.93%
EBIT growth 5Y6.33%
EBIT Next Year144.41%
EBIT Next 3Y22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.08%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.44%
OCF growth 3Y7.86%
OCF growth 5Y9.73%

AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.


What is the valuation status for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AL stock?

AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is expected to decline by -27.46% in the next year.


Is the dividend of AIR LEASE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 13.66%.