AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AL • US00912X3026

64.52 USD
-0.09 (-0.14%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
64.53 USD
+0.01 (+0.02%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall AL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AL against 47 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While AL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. AL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AL 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AL had a positive operating cash flow.
AL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • AL has a Return On Assets (3.18%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.32%, AL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AL has a Return On Invested Capital (3.89%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AL is significantly below the industry average of 9.12%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.88%) for AL is below the current ROIC(3.89%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROIC 3.89%
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
AL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AL has a better Profit Margin (34.62%) than 97.87% of its industry peers.
  • AL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 50.53%, AL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. AL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AL Yearly Shares OutstandingAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.60, we must say that AL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AL (0.60) is worse than 80.85% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.33 is on the high side and indicates that AL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AL's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.33 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AL is outperformed by 76.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.6
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.87%
AL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AL's Current ratio of 0.29 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AL is outperformed by 91.49% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.29, AL is not doing good in the industry: 85.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
AL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 106.49% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.78% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, AL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.32% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -9.21% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.14% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
AL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. AL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.22, which indicates a very decent valuation of AL.
  • 95.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.29), we can say AL is valued rather cheaply.
  • AL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.71.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 91.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.22
Fwd PE 12.71
AL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AL is cheaper than 76.60% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.64
AL Per share dataAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AL's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.21% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. AL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%.
  • AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.00.
  • AL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of AL grows each year by 11.62%, which is quite nice.
  • AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
AL Yearly Dividends per shareAL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • AL pays out 13.66% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP13.66%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
AL Dividend Payout.AL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AIR LEASE CORP

NYSE:AL (3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 64.53 +0.01 (+0.02%)

64.52

-0.09 (-0.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners91.24%
Inst Owner Change4.36%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change-11.84%
Market Cap7.21B
Revenue(TTM)3.02B
Net Income(TTM)1.04B
Analysts43.64
Price Target62.48 (-3.16%)
Short Float %3.02%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
DP13.66%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.12%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)23.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)85.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)41.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.99%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)38.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.25%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.22
Fwd PE 12.71
P/S 2.39
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.16
P/B 0.85
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 9.64
EPS(TTM)7
EY10.85%
EPS(NY)5.08
Fwd EY7.87%
FCF(TTM)-7.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.52
OCFY24.05%
SpS26.98
BVpS75.81
TBVpS75.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
Graham Number109.27
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROCE 4.88%
ROIC 3.89%
ROICexc 3.95%
ROICexgc 4.28%
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.8%
ROICexgc(3y)4.46%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)4.86%
ROCE(5y)4.65%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.66%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.18
Cap/Depr 211.35%
Cap/Sales 85.75%
Interest Coverage 1.66
Cash Conversion 63.14%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 0.6
F-Score8
WACC6.87%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)318.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)317.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)129.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)130.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
EPS Next Y-27.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.22%
EBIT growth 3Y8.93%
EBIT growth 5Y6.33%
EBIT Next Year144.41%
EBIT Next 3Y22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.08%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.44%
OCF growth 3Y7.86%
OCF growth 5Y9.73%

AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.


What is the valuation status for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AL stock?

AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is expected to decline by -27.46% in the next year.


Is the dividend of AIR LEASE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 13.66%.