AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AL - US00912X3026 - Common Stock
64.31 USD
-0.04 (-0.06%)
64.31 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AL. AL was compared to 50 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. AL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally AL also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AL was profitable.
- In the past year AL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- AL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of AL (2.90%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AL has a Return On Equity (11.59%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of AL (3.68%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AL is significantly below the industry average of 9.63%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.9% | ||
| ROE | 11.59% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
1.3 Margins
- AL has a better Profit Margin (33.24%) than 98.00% of its industry peers.
- AL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AL has a better Operating Margin (49.56%) than 98.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 33.24% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AL is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of AL (0.56) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- AL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- AL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: AL underperforms 74.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.62%
2.3 Liquidity
- AL has a Current Ratio of 0.27. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AL's Current ratio of 0.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AL is outperformed by 94.00% of its industry peers.
- AL has a Quick Ratio of 0.27. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AL has a worse Quick ratio (0.27) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.27 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- AL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.33%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, AL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.81% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.24% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.27% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- AL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y170.11%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.38%
Revenue Next 2Y7.24%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.08.
- AL's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AL is cheaper than 92.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say AL is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.67, which indicates a correct valuation of AL.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 92.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.29), we can say AL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 74.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.37%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.48.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.84, AL is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.24%!
- AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
- AL pays out 14.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- AL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.77%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
64.31
-0.04 (-0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)11-03 2025-11-03/amc
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Inst Owners91.24%
Inst Owner Change-0.69%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change-12.96%
Market Cap7.19B
Revenue(TTM)2.91B
Net Income(TTM)966.76M
Analysts80
Price Target62.48 (-2.85%)
Short Float %1.88%
Short Ratio1.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.37% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
DP14.77%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)159.76%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)317.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)83.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)47.77%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.34%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)39.24%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.43%
PT rev (1m)-1.21%
PT rev (3m)-1.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.67 | ||
| P/S | 2.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.11 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.16 |
EPS(TTM)6.38
EY9.92%
EPS(NY)5.08
Fwd EY7.9%
FCF(TTM)-10.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.66
OCFY24.35%
SpS26.02
BVpS74.63
TBVpS74.63
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.9% | ||
| ROE | 11.59% | ||
| ROCE | 4.55% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.07% | ||
| OM | 49.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 33.24% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
ROICexc(3y)3.9%
ROICexc(5y)3.88%
ROICexgc(3y)4.48%
ROICexgc(5y)4.46%
ROCE(3y)4.73%
ROCE(5y)4.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.06%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 238.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 99.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score9
WACC6.62%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)355.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)321.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)145.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)131.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.33%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%47.56%
EPS Next Y170.11%
EPS Next 2Y22.38%
EPS Next 3Y20.13%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.24%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%5.1%
Revenue Next Year8.38%
Revenue Next 2Y7.24%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.61%
EBIT growth 3Y9.14%
EBIT growth 5Y3.21%
EBIT Next Year180.46%
EBIT Next 3Y42.98%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y45.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y2.62%
OCF growth 3Y6.8%
OCF growth 5Y3.79%
AIR LEASE CORP / AL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.
What is the valuation status for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AL stock?
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is expected to grow by 170.11% in the next year.
Is the dividend of AIR LEASE CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.77%.