AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AL • US00912X3026
Current stock price
65 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
At close:
64.98 USD
-0.02 (-0.03%)
After Hours:
This AL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AL was profitable.
- AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- AL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of AL (3.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Return On Equity of AL (12.32%) is better than 65.96% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of AL (3.89%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AL is significantly below the industry average of 9.00%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (3.89%) for AL is above the 3 year average (3.88%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.18% | ||
| ROE | 12.32% | ||
| ROIC | 3.89% |
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
1.3 Margins
- AL's Profit Margin of 34.62% is amongst the best of the industry. AL outperforms 97.87% of its industry peers.
- AL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 50.53%, AL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 50.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. AL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AL is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for AL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- AL has an Altman-Z score of 0.60. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.60, AL is doing worse than 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
- AL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AL (2.33) is worse than 76.60% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.6 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.93%
2.3 Liquidity
- AL has a Current Ratio of 0.29. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of AL (0.29) is worse than 93.62% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.29, AL is not doing good in the industry: 87.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.29 |
3. AL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 106.49% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.78% on average per year.
- AL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.32%.
- Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.15% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-24.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. AL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.29, the valuation of AL can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 97.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.78.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.34, the valuation of AL can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AL is valued cheaper than 97.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, AL is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.34 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 76.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.66 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of AL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
5. AL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%, AL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.84.
- AL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of AL grows each year by 11.62%, which is quite nice.
- AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- AL pays out 13.66% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- AL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP13.66%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
AL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
65
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04
Inst Owners92.04%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.18%
Ins Owner Change-11.8%
Market Cap7.28B
Revenue(TTM)3.02B
Net Income(TTM)1.04B
Analysts43.64
Price Target66.3 (2%)
Short Float %3.39%
Short Ratio1.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
DP13.66%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date03-02 2026-03-02 (0.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.12%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)23.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)85.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)41.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.99%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)38.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.25%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.98%
PT rev (1m)6.12%
PT rev (3m)4.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.34 | ||
| P/S | 2.41 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.2 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.66 |
EPS(TTM)7
EY10.77%
EPS(NY)5.27
Fwd EY8.11%
FCF(TTM)-7.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.48
OCFY23.82%
SpS26.92
BVpS75.62
TBVpS75.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number109.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.18% | ||
| ROE | 12.32% | ||
| ROCE | 4.88% | ||
| ROIC | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.28% | ||
| OM | 50.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 34.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.8%
ROICexgc(3y)4.46%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)4.86%
ROCE(5y)4.65%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.66%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 211.35% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 85.75% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.66 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.14% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.6 |
F-Score8
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)318.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)317.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)129.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)130.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
EPS Next Y-24.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%
Revenue Next Year5.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.22%
EBIT growth 3Y8.93%
EBIT growth 5Y6.33%
EBIT Next Year144.41%
EBIT Next 3Y22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.08%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.44%
OCF growth 3Y7.86%
OCF growth 5Y9.73%
AIR LEASE CORP / AL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.
What is the valuation status for AL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?
AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 9.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.86.
How financially healthy is AIR LEASE CORP?
The financial health rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 1 / 10.