AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AL - US00912X3026 - Common Stock
63.57 USD
+0.03 (+0.05%)
AL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 49 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While AL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. AL also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AL was profitable.
AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AL has a Return On Assets of 2.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AL outperforms 44.90% of its industry peers.
AL's Return On Equity of 11.22% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AL outperforms 53.06% of its industry peers.
AL has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.68%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AL underperforms 65.31% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AL is significantly below the industry average of 10.06%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.77% | ||
| ROE | 11.22% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
1.3 Margins
AL's Profit Margin of 32.13% is amongst the best of the industry. AL outperforms 97.96% of its industry peers.
AL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 49.99%, AL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.13% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.56, AL is not doing good in the industry: 91.84% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47 is on the high side and indicates that AL has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.47, AL is doing worse than 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.56%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.26 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AL has a Current ratio of 0.26. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AL underperforms 95.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.26 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AL has a Quick ratio of 0.26. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AL underperforms 91.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 28.27% over the past year.
AL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.81% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.15% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.27%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%311.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%9.65%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.57% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, AL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y176.52%
EPS Next 2Y23.56%
EPS Next 3Y29.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.77%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.61, the valuation of AL can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 91.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.29.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.28 indicates a correct valuation of AL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 83.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.80. AL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.56%
EPS Next 3Y29.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.72.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.38, AL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.24%!
AL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
AL pays out 15.48% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.48%
EPS Next 2Y23.56%
EPS Next 3Y29.57%
NYSE:AL (9/25/2025, 12:57:28 PM)
63.57
+0.03 (+0.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.86%
Inst Owner Change-5.18%
Ins Owners1.23%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap7.11B
Analysts80
Price Target63.24 (-0.52%)
Short Float %3.21%
Short Ratio2.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.24%
DP15.48%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)157.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(2)317.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)83.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)47.99%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)33.75%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)40.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.92%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.42%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.15%
PT rev (1m)-4.12%
PT rev (3m)5.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)24.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)31.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)40.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.03%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.28 | ||
| P/S | 2.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.05 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.28 |
EPS(TTM)5.99
EY9.42%
EPS(NY)5.18
Fwd EY8.14%
FCF(TTM)-18.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.69
OCFY24.68%
SpS25.7
BVpS73.58
TBVpS73.58
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.77% | ||
| ROE | 11.22% | ||
| ROCE | 4.55% | ||
| ROIC | 3.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.09% | ||
| OM | 49.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.13% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.85%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)3.62%
ROE(5y)4.99%
ROIC(3y)3.82%
ROIC(5y)3.74%
ROICexc(3y)3.9%
ROICexc(5y)3.88%
ROICexgc(3y)4.48%
ROICexgc(5y)4.46%
ROCE(3y)4.73%
ROCE(5y)4.62%
ROICexcg growth 3Y3.06%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-2.88%
PM growth 3Y-11.36%
PM growth 5Y-13.75%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 318.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 131.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.63 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score7
WACC6.56%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)355.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)321.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)145.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)131.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.27%
EPS 3Y-1.62%
EPS 5Y-7.81%
EPS Q2Q%311.11%
EPS Next Y176.52%
EPS Next 2Y23.56%
EPS Next 3Y29.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y9.39%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%9.65%
Revenue Next Year9.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.77%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.78%
EBIT growth 3Y9.14%
EBIT growth 5Y3.21%
EBIT Next Year178.86%
EBIT Next 3Y42.18%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y16.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y11.4%
OCF growth 3Y6.8%
OCF growth 5Y3.79%