AIR LEASE CORP (AL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AL • US00912X3026

Current stock price

65 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
At close:
64.98 USD
-0.02 (-0.03%)
After Hours:

This AL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. AL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AL was profitable.
  • AL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • AL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AL (3.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AL (12.32%) is better than 65.96% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AL (3.89%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AL is significantly below the industry average of 9.00%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.89%) for AL is above the 3 year average (3.88%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROIC 3.89%
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
AL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AL's Profit Margin of 34.62% is amongst the best of the industry. AL outperforms 97.87% of its industry peers.
  • AL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 50.53%, AL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1

2. AL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AL Yearly Shares OutstandingAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • AL has an Altman-Z score of 0.60. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.60, AL is doing worse than 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AL (2.33) is worse than 76.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.6
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.93%
AL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AL has a Current Ratio of 0.29. This is a bad value and indicates that AL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AL (0.29) is worse than 93.62% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that AL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.29, AL is not doing good in the industry: 87.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
AL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

5

3. AL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 106.49% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.78% on average per year.
  • AL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.32%.
  • Measured over the past years, AL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.15% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-24.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
AL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6 8

5

4. AL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.29, the valuation of AL can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AL indicates a rather cheap valuation: AL is cheaper than 97.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.78.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.34, the valuation of AL can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AL is valued cheaper than 97.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, AL is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.29
Fwd PE 12.34
AL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 76.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.66
AL Per share dataAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of AL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%

6

5. AL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%, AL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • AL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.84.
  • AL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of AL grows each year by 11.62%, which is quite nice.
  • AL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
AL Yearly Dividends per shareAL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • AL pays out 13.66% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP13.66%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
AL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
AL Dividend Payout.AL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AIR LEASE CORP

NYSE:AL (4/7/2026, 9:17:47 PM)

After market: 64.98 -0.02 (-0.03%)

65

+0.02 (+0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners92.04%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.18%
Ins Owner Change-11.8%
Market Cap7.28B
Revenue(TTM)3.02B
Net Income(TTM)1.04B
Analysts43.64
Price Target66.3 (2%)
Short Float %3.39%
Short Ratio1.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.62%
DP13.66%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.12%
Min EPS beat(2)2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)23.89%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)85.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.74%
Max EPS beat(4)317.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)41.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)34.99%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)38.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.92%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.25%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.98%
PT rev (1m)6.12%
PT rev (3m)4.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.29
Fwd PE 12.34
P/S 2.41
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.2
P/B 0.86
P/tB 0.86
EV/EBITDA 9.66
EPS(TTM)7
EY10.77%
EPS(NY)5.27
Fwd EY8.11%
FCF(TTM)-7.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)15.48
OCFY23.82%
SpS26.92
BVpS75.62
TBVpS75.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number109.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.18%
ROE 12.32%
ROCE 4.88%
ROIC 3.89%
ROICexc 3.95%
ROICexgc 4.28%
OM 50.53%
PM (TTM) 34.62%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.45%
ROE(3y)8.42%
ROE(5y)5.8%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)3.71%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)3.8%
ROICexgc(3y)4.46%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)4.86%
ROCE(5y)4.65%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.66%
OM growth 3Y-0.23%
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.85%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.18
Cap/Depr 211.35%
Cap/Sales 85.75%
Interest Coverage 1.66
Cash Conversion 63.14%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.29
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 0.6
F-Score8
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)318.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)317.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)129.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)130.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.49%
EPS 3Y5.86%
EPS 5Y9.78%
EPS Q2Q%69.66%
EPS Next Y-24.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.66%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.32%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y8.39%
Sales Q2Q%15.08%
Revenue Next Year5.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.22%
EBIT growth 3Y8.93%
EBIT growth 5Y6.33%
EBIT Next Year144.41%
EBIT Next 3Y22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y65.08%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.44%
OCF growth 3Y7.86%
OCF growth 5Y9.73%

AIR LEASE CORP / AL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AL.


What is the valuation status for AL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AIR LEASE CORP (AL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AIR LEASE CORP (AL) stock?

AIR LEASE CORP (AL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 9.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.86.


How financially healthy is AIR LEASE CORP?

The financial health rating of AIR LEASE CORP (AL) is 1 / 10.