ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:AIW • IT0005434615

Current stock price

4.29 EUR
0 (-0.12%)
Last:

This AIW.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AIW.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AIW had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AIW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years AIW has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AIW always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AIW.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAIW.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5M 10M

1.2 Ratios

  • AIW has a Return On Assets (5.88%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.81%, AIW is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AIW has a Return On Invested Capital (0.26%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AIW had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.25%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.77%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (0.26%) for AIW is well below the 3 year average (6.25%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AIW had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.88%
ROE 9.81%
ROIC 0.26%
ROA(3y)6.47%
ROA(5y)5.41%
ROE(3y)10.83%
ROE(5y)11.21%
ROIC(3y)6.25%
ROIC(5y)7.38%
AIW.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAIW.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • AIW has a Profit Margin of 16.46%. This is in the better half of the industry: AIW outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
  • AIW's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AIW has a Operating Margin (0.64%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AIW has declined.
  • AIW's Gross Margin of 52.61% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AIW is outperformed by 66.38% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AIW has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.64%
PM (TTM) 16.46%
GM 52.61%
OM growth 3Y-24.27%
OM growth 5Y-20.53%
PM growth 3Y18.54%
PM growth 5Y12.74%
GM growth 3Y-2.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.82%
AIW.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAIW.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

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4

2. AIW.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AIW is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AIW has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AIW has more shares outstanding
  • AIW has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AIW.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingAIW.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AIW.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAIW.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

2.2 Solvency

  • AIW has an Altman-Z score of 2.83. This is not the best score and indicates that AIW is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AIW has a Altman-Z score (2.83) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AIW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AIW's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.04 is amongst the best of the industry. AIW outperforms 81.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.04
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.83
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC8.51%
AIW.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAIW.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M 60M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that AIW should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.44, AIW perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that AIW should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AIW has a Quick ratio (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
AIW.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAIW.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

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5

3. AIW.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AIW shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -5.73%.
  • AIW shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.38% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, AIW shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.68% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 18.14% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.73%
EPS 3Y30.66%
EPS 5Y29.38%
EPS Q2Q%-42.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.68%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y18.14%
Sales Q2Q%-10.46%

3.2 Future

  • AIW is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.30% yearly.
  • AIW is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.65%
EPS Next 2Y16.32%
EPS Next 3Y7.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year14%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y13.96%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AIW.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAIW.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M
AIW.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAIW.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

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4

4. AIW.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.50, AIW is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AIW is valued cheaper than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AIW is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.96, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.47, the valuation of AIW can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AIW is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, AIW is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.5
Fwd PE 18.47
AIW.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAIW.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 61.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AIW, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.29
AIW.MI Per share dataAIW.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)0.56
EPS Next 2Y16.32%
EPS Next 3Y7.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AIW.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AIW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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AIW.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALMAWAVE SPA

BIT:AIW (12/15/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

4.29

0 (-0.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners3.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap128.61M
Revenue(TTM)46.58M
Net Income(TTM)7.67M
Analysts84
Price Target4.08 (-4.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.5
Fwd PE 18.47
P/S 2.76
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 11.74
P/B 1.64
P/tB 9.1
EV/EBITDA 17.29
EPS(TTM)0.26
EY6.06%
EPS(NY)0.23
Fwd EY5.41%
FCF(TTM)-0.12
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.37
OCFY8.52%
SpS1.55
BVpS2.61
TBVpS0.47
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)0.56
Graham Number3.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.88%
ROE 9.81%
ROCE 0.35%
ROIC 0.26%
ROICexc 0.28%
ROICexgc 1.43%
OM 0.64%
PM (TTM) 16.46%
GM 52.61%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.47%
ROA(5y)5.41%
ROE(3y)10.83%
ROE(5y)11.21%
ROIC(3y)6.25%
ROIC(5y)7.38%
ROICexc(3y)7.3%
ROICexc(5y)9.1%
ROICexgc(3y)35.3%
ROICexgc(5y)40.51%
ROCE(3y)8.33%
ROCE(5y)9.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-37.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.79%
OM growth 3Y-24.27%
OM growth 5Y-20.53%
PM growth 3Y18.54%
PM growth 5Y12.74%
GM growth 3Y-2.82%
GM growth 5Y-2.82%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.04
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.41
Cap/Depr 204.64%
Cap/Sales 31.14%
Interest Coverage 1.57
Cash Conversion 148.34%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 2.83
F-Score3
WACC8.51%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)180.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.73%
EPS 3Y30.66%
EPS 5Y29.38%
EPS Q2Q%-42.86%
EPS Next Y17.65%
EPS Next 2Y16.32%
EPS Next 3Y7.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.68%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5Y18.14%
Sales Q2Q%-10.46%
Revenue Next Year14%
Revenue Next 2Y14.02%
Revenue Next 3Y13.96%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-95.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-13.48%
EBIT growth 5Y-6.12%
EBIT Next Year116.67%
EBIT Next 3Y41.5%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-196.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.64%
OCF growth 3Y24.13%
OCF growth 5Y19.87%

ALMAWAVE SPA / AIW.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AIW.MI.


What is the valuation status for AIW stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALMAWAVE SPA?

ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) is 16.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.64.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AIW stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALMAWAVE SPA (AIW.MI) is expected to grow by 17.65% in the next year.