ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AHT - US0441037944 - REIT
3.97 USD
-0.12 (-2.93%)
4.45 USD
+0.48 (+12.09%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to AHT. AHT was compared to 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. AHT has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AHT does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AHT has reported negative net income.
In the past year AHT had a positive cash flow from operations.
AHT had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In multiple years AHT reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -8.56%, AHT is not doing good in the industry: 87.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Invested Capital of AHT (1.78%) is worse than 70.31% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AHT is in line with the industry average of 3.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.56% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 1.78% |
ROA(3y)-4.04%
ROA(5y)-6.51%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AHT has a worse Operating Margin (5.55%) than 84.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AHT has declined.
AHT's Gross Margin of 25.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AHT is outperformed by 91.41% of its industry peers.
AHT's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.19% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-9.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.26%
GM growth 5Y-4.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AHT is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AHT has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AHT has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AHT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AHT has an Altman-Z score of -0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that AHT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.92, AHT is not doing good in the industry: 89.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC6.73%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that AHT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AHT (0.62) is worse than 73.44% of its industry peers.
AHT has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that AHT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.60, AHT is not doing good in the industry: 75.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AHT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -372.51%.
The Revenue for AHT has decreased by -14.26% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, AHT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-372.51%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.26%
Revenue growth 3Y13.33%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.84%
Sales Q2Q%-3.81%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AHT will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -42.92% on average per year.
AHT is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y-78.5%
EPS Next 2Y-42.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.98%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AHT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AHT. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
AHT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AHT's earnings are expected to decrease with -42.92% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-42.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AHT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
3.97
-0.12 (-2.93%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners20.68%
Inst Owner Change2.13%
Ins Owners1.56%
Ins Owner Change-2.86%
Market Cap24.34M
Revenue(TTM)1.17B
Net Income(TTM)-261.99M
Analysts45
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %0.85%
Short Ratio1.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend4.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)-44.99%
DP-8.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)32.25%
Min EPS beat(2)7.45%
Max EPS beat(2)57.05%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-49.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-250.49%
Max EPS beat(4)57.05%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.98%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)5.04%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)9.13%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.16%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.44%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.29%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.02 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 3.89 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.73 |
EPS(TTM)-33.17
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-39.16
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-12.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.02
OCFY25.68%
SpS184.57
BVpS-46.05
TBVpS-46.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.56% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 2.26% | ||
| ROIC | 1.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.88% | ||
| OM | 5.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.19% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.04%
ROA(5y)-6.51%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.2%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.56%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.55%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-9.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.26%
GM growth 5Y-4.13%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 14.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 56.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 2.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.92 |
F-Score2
WACC6.73%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)65.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-372.51%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32.77%
EPS Next Y-78.5%
EPS Next 2Y-42.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.26%
Revenue growth 3Y13.33%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.84%
Sales Q2Q%-3.81%
Revenue Next Year-3.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.98%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-31.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-14.16%
EBIT Next Year200%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y13.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-84.38%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST / AHT FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AHT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to AHT.
What is the valuation status of ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST?
ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AHT stock?
The dividend rating of ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST (AHT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -8.59%.