PLAYAGS INC (AGS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US72814N1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to AGS. AGS was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. AGS scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGS is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AGS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.19%, AGS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.04% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of AGS (43.49%) is better than 90.37% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AGS (10.71%) is better than 75.56% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGS is significantly below the industry average of 15.73%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.71%) for AGS is above the 3 year average (6.96%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.19% | ||
| ROE | 43.49% | ||
| ROIC | 10.71% |
ROA(3y)1.89%
ROA(5y)-1.79%
ROE(3y)8.99%
ROE(5y)-37.22%
ROIC(3y)6.96%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGS has a Profit Margin of 10.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGS outperforms 76.30% of its industry peers.
AGS's Operating Margin of 18.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGS outperforms 75.56% of its industry peers.
AGS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGS has a better Gross Margin (70.32%) than 84.44% of its industry peers.
AGS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.42% | ||
| GM | 70.32% |
OM growth 3Y28.67%
OM growth 5Y13.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.53%
GM growth 5Y-0.43%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGS is still creating some value.
AGS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGS has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AGS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.26, we must say that AGS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGS's Altman-Z score of 1.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGS is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
AGS has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.51. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGS would need 21.51 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGS's Debt to FCF ratio of 21.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGS outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.51 is on the high side and indicates that AGS has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 4.51, AGS is doing worse than 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.26 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.18%
2.3 Liquidity
AGS has a Current Ratio of 3.97. This indicates that AGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AGS has a Current ratio of 3.97. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGS outperforms 96.30% of its industry peers.
AGS has a Quick Ratio of 3.26. This indicates that AGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.26, AGS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.97 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 875.00% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 32.59% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, AGS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.32% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)875%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.59%
Revenue growth 3Y14.99%
Revenue growth 5Y5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-1.2%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -10.14% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.45% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-35.64%
EPS Next 2Y-13.06%
EPS Next 3Y-10.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.19%
Revenue Next 2Y4.66%
Revenue Next 3Y4.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.68 indicates a reasonable valuation of AGS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGS is valued cheaper than 94.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.24. AGS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
AGS is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.77.
78.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGS to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.42), we can say AGS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
91.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
74.81% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AGS may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AGS's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.14% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-13.06%
EPS Next 3Y-10.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
12.49
+0.01 (+0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.1%
Inst Owner Change-0.97%
Ins Owners3.55%
Ins Owner Change-2024.67%
Market Cap518.46M
Analysts45
Price Target12.75 (2.08%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)268.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-48.92%
Max EPS beat(2)585.95%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)98.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-91.02%
Max EPS beat(4)585.95%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)144.86%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)170%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)104.27%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.55%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.93%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.45%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)29.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.77 | ||
| P/S | 1.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.11 | ||
| P/B | 4.42 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.03 |
EPS(TTM)1.17
EY9.37%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY7.26%
FCF(TTM)0.6
FCFY4.81%
OCF(TTM)2.44
OCFY19.57%
SpS11.8
BVpS2.83
TBVpS-6.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.19% | ||
| ROE | 43.49% | ||
| ROCE | 13.55% | ||
| ROIC | 10.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 31.21% | ||
| OM | 18.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.42% | ||
| GM | 70.32% | ||
| FCFM | 5.09% |
ROA(3y)1.89%
ROA(5y)-1.79%
ROE(3y)8.99%
ROE(5y)-37.22%
ROIC(3y)6.96%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.25%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y25.89%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y44.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.89%
OM growth 3Y28.67%
OM growth 5Y13.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.53%
GM growth 5Y-0.43%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.51 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.64% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 60.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 48.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.97 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.26 |
F-Score8
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)87.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)19.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)875%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30%
EPS Next Y-35.64%
EPS Next 2Y-13.06%
EPS Next 3Y-10.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.59%
Revenue growth 3Y14.99%
Revenue growth 5Y5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-1.2%
Revenue Next Year4.19%
Revenue Next 2Y4.66%
Revenue Next 3Y4.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y35.06%
EBIT growth 3Y47.96%
EBIT growth 5Y19.35%
EBIT Next Year157.89%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y632.85%
FCF growth 3Y3.03%
FCF growth 5Y11.62%
OCF growth 1Y35.65%
OCF growth 3Y8.93%
OCF growth 5Y2.85%