ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGRO - LU0584671464 - Common Stock
8.43 USD
-0.1 (-1.17%)
8.43 USD
0 (0%)
AGRO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. AGRO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- AGRO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 0.64%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO has a Return On Equity (1.71%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AGRO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (0.13%) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
1.3 Margins
- AGRO has a Profit Margin of 1.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
- AGRO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 17.72%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% |
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
- AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AGRO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of AGRO (1.17) is worse than 70.11% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 30.19, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 71.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.02%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of AGRO (1.56) is better than 79.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.45% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.85% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AGRO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.73.
- AGRO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.54, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.73, the valuation of AGRO can be described as very reasonable.
- 85.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.31, AGRO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGRO is valued cheaper than 81.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- 70.11% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.42%, AGRO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.43. AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, AGRO pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
5.2 History
- AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
8.43
-0.1 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11/amc
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap843.76M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.2 (21%)
Short Float %6.71%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-5.66%
PT rev (3m)-9.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)29.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)29.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.73 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.79 | ||
| P/B | 0.61 | ||
| P/tB | 0.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.57 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.34%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY9.32%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.3%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY35.81%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROCE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.15% | ||
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% | ||
| FCFM | 3.84% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.91 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 227.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score5
WACC4.02%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%
ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.
Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?
ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -89.93% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.