AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US05351W1036 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
AGR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGR while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, AGR is valued expensive at the moment. AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGR had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AGR has a Return On Assets (2.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.68%, AGR is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.48%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGR underperforms 82.22% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGR is significantly below the industry average of 45.26%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.48%) for AGR is above the 3 year average (1.86%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.4% | ||
| ROE | 5.68% | ||
| ROIC | 2.48% |
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
1.3 Margins
AGR has a Profit Margin (12.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGR's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
AGR has a worse Operating Margin (15.07%) than 75.56% of its industry peers.
AGR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGR has a better Gross Margin (74.78%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
AGR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.89% | ||
| GM | 74.78% |
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGR is destroying value.
AGR has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AGR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AGR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.56, AGR is doing worse than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AGR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.66 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGR outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
2.3 Liquidity
AGR has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGR (0.51) is worse than 88.89% of its industry peers.
AGR has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGR's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 84.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 91.39% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.02% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.35% in the last year.
AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
3.2 Future
AGR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.93% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AGR is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGR is on the same level as its industry peers.
AGR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
AGR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.71.
AGR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AGR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.76.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGR is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, AGR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.47, AGR pays a better dividend. On top of this AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.89% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AGR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGR pays out 60.70% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
36.02
+0.29 (+0.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners12.36%
Inst Owner Change-89.93%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change10727.1%
Market Cap13.94B
Analysts47.14
Price Target37.94 (5.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.89% |
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
DP60.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.91%
Min EPS beat(2)28.8%
Max EPS beat(2)65.02%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)31.76%
Min EPS beat(4)5.73%
Max EPS beat(4)65.02%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.77%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.33%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.51%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.71 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.65 | ||
| P/B | 0.71 | ||
| P/tB | 0.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-6.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.91%
SpS22.5
BVpS51.06
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.4% | ||
| ROE | 5.68% | ||
| ROCE | 3.31% | ||
| ROIC | 2.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.71% | ||
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.89% | ||
| GM | 74.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.89%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)2.08%
ROICexgc(5y)2.28%
ROCE(3y)2.4%
ROCE(5y)2.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.42%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.41%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 305.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 43.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 43.44% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score6
WACC6.31%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)260.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)271.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)36.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y88.24%
EBIT growth 3Y2.29%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.85%
EBIT Next Year129.76%
EBIT Next 3Y39.02%
EBIT Next 5Y24.63%
FCF growth 1Y-69.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.57%
OCF growth 3Y-10.64%
OCF growth 5Y-12.39%