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AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:AGR - US05351W1036 - Common Stock

36.02 USD
+0.29 (+0.81%)
Last: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
35.86 USD
-0.16 (-0.44%)
After Hours: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AGR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGR against 47 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGR while its profitability can be described as average. AGR is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. Finally AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGR had positive earnings in the past year.
AGR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AGR (2.40%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 5.68%, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.48%, AGR is doing worse than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.86%. This is below the industry average of 4.90%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.86%) for AGR is below the current ROIC(2.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROIC 2.48%
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
AGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4

1.3 Margins

AGR has a Profit Margin of 12.89%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGR outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
AGR's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.07%, AGR is doing worse than 75.56% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGR has a better Gross Margin (74.78%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
AGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
AGR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGR Yearly Shares OutstandingAGR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AGR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGR has a worse Altman-Z score (0.56) than 82.22% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.66, AGR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.56
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
AGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

AGR has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.51, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 88.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that AGR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGR (0.44) is worse than 84.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
AGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 91.39%, which is quite impressive.
AGR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.02% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.35% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AGR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.93% on average per year.
AGR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B
AGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46 indicates a correct valuation of AGR.
AGR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say AGR is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.71, the valuation of AGR can be described as correct.
AGR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.94), we can say AGR is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
AGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.35
AGR Per share dataAGR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.24, AGR pays a better dividend. On top of this AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, AGR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AGR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
AGR Yearly Dividends per shareAGR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

AGR pays out 60.70% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
AGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B
AGR Dividend Payout.AGR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AVANGRID INC

NYSE:AGR (12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.86 -0.16 (-0.44%)

36.02

+0.29 (+0.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)10-22 2024-10-22/amc
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst Owners12.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Analysts47.14
Price Target37.94 (5.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
DP60.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.91%
Min EPS beat(2)28.8%
Max EPS beat(2)65.02%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)31.76%
Min EPS beat(4)5.73%
Max EPS beat(4)65.02%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.77%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.33%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.51%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
P/S 1.6
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 12.65
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 10.35
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-6.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.91%
SpS22.5
BVpS51.06
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROCE 3.31%
ROIC 2.48%
ROICexc 2.49%
ROICexgc 2.71%
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.89%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)2.08%
ROICexgc(5y)2.28%
ROCE(3y)2.4%
ROCE(5y)2.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.42%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.41%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.15
Cap/Depr 305.96%
Cap/Sales 43.06%
Interest Coverage 3.23
Cash Conversion 43.44%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 0.56
F-Score6
WACC6.31%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)260.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)271.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)36.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y88.24%
EBIT growth 3Y2.29%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.85%
EBIT Next Year129.76%
EBIT Next 3Y39.02%
EBIT Next 5Y24.63%
FCF growth 1Y-69.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.57%
OCF growth 3Y-10.64%
OCF growth 5Y-12.39%