ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AGI - CA0115321089 - Common Stock
34.64 USD
+0.46 (+1.35%)
34.89 USD
+0.25 (+0.72%)
AGI gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination! With these ratings, AGI could be worth investigating further for growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (6.26%) is better than 80.77% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.24%, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.50%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.72% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.87%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.50%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 22.99%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.10% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI's Operating Margin of 39.49% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AGI (46.89%) is better than 84.62% of its industry peers.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 5.45. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 5.45, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.87% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.59, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.59 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
AGI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 64.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.45 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.58%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a worse Current ratio (1.49) than 70.51% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGI (1.00) is worse than 67.31% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.03% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 34.51%.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.53% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.53% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y77.93%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
EPS Next 5Y25.53%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.65, AGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 67.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.67.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.06 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGI.
60.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.13. AGI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGI.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 64.74% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 82.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 33.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)1.26
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.29%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.48.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.29, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.29% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
10.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP10.76%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
34.64
+0.46 (+1.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.34%
Inst Owner Change-4.66%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.57B
Analysts82.86
Price Target37.81 (9.15%)
Short Float %1.31%
Short Ratio1.6
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.29% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP10.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)5.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)10.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.25%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.26%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.92%
PT rev (1m)0.23%
PT rev (3m)5.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)31.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.06 | ||
| P/S | 9.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 82.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.88 | ||
| P/B | 3.88 | ||
| P/tB | 3.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.7 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY2.66%
EPS(NY)1.92
Fwd EY5.54%
FCF(TTM)0.42
FCFY1.21%
OCF(TTM)1.51
OCFY4.37%
SpS3.59
BVpS8.92
TBVpS8.92
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)1.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROCE | 11.71% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.1% | ||
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% | ||
| FCFM | 11.72% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.33 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 209.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.45 |
F-Score6
WACC8.58%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
EPS Next Y77.93%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
EPS Next 5Y25.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
EBIT growth 1Y58.93%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year130.73%
EBIT Next 3Y43.63%
EBIT Next 5Y33.55%
FCF growth 1Y94.18%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y54.41%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%