ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall AGI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated AGI against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one! This makes AGI very considerable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (4.80%) is better than 74.68% of its industry peers.
AGI's Return On Equity of 7.15% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
AGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) than 70.78% of its industry peers.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.67%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.13%) for AGI is below the current ROIC(6.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AGI (18.36%) is better than 88.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 36.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 91.56% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.90%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.32. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI has a Altman-Z score of 4.32. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.42, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.01% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.07) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.32 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC8.54%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AGI has a worse Current ratio (1.49) than 70.78% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.94, AGI is doing worse than 70.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 51.85%, which is quite impressive.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.78% yearly.
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 33.63%.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 27.76% on average per year.
AGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.91, AGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.45.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.14, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AGI.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.90. AGI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 65.58% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 57.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)1.11
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.38%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.98.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
14.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
26.99
+0.02 (+0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner Change2.06%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.35B
Analysts81.67
Price Target35.82 (32.72%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)7.73%
PT rev (3m)26.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.14 | ||
| P/S | 8.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 57.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.97 | ||
| P/B | 3.16 | ||
| P/tB | 3.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.29 |
EPS(TTM)0.82
EY3.04%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.51%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.75%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY5.57%
SpS3.33
BVpS8.55
TBVpS8.55
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)1.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.32 |
F-Score3
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.61%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%