ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination. This makes AGI very considerable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AGI has a Return On Assets of 4.80%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 7.15%, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.79% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.36%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.26% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 36.95%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.10% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI has a better Gross Margin (44.90%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.09. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI has a Altman-Z score of 4.09. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 68.59% of its industry peers.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI (1.42) is better than 84.62% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
AGI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.07) than 62.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Current ratio of 1.49. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 71.15% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.94, AGI is doing worse than 71.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 46.03%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 31.62%.
AGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
3.2 Future
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.76% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year33.8%
Revenue Next 2Y25.36%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.25 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.87, AGI is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.47 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGI.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.34. AGI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 60.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 54.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.39%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.84, AGI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.39% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
14.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
25.99
+0.59 (+2.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner Change0.11%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.93B
Analysts82.86
Price Target38.79 (49.25%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio2.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.39% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)8.28%
PT rev (3m)16.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.77%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.47 | ||
| P/S | 7.79 | ||
| P/FCF | 54.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.29 | ||
| P/B | 3.04 | ||
| P/tB | 3.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY3.54%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.72%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.82%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY5.78%
SpS3.34
BVpS8.56
TBVpS8.56
PEG (NY)0.54
PEG (5Y)0.95
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.09 |
F-Score3
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
Revenue Next Year33.8%
Revenue Next 2Y25.36%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.61%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%