ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 153 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one! With these ratings, AGI could be worth investigating further for growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (5.33%) is better than 75.16% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.93%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.55% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.59%) than 69.93% of its industry peers.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is below the industry average of 8.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.59%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.33% | ||
| ROE | 7.93% | ||
| ROIC | 6.59% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AGI (21.11%) is better than 88.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of AGI (37.48%) is better than 92.81% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI's Gross Margin of 44.23% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 84.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 37.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.11% | ||
| GM | 44.23% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AGI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.56. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.56, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.90% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.18. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.18, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.62% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.74
WACC8.85%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI's Current ratio of 1.51 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 70.59% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI's Quick ratio of 0.96 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 69.93% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 29.78% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 31.62%.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.73% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y33.73%
Revenue Next Year25.41%
Revenue Next 2Y17.5%
Revenue Next 3Y14.21%
Revenue Next 5Y17.19%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 31.38, the valuation of AGI can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 62.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.85. AGI is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.30, AGI is valued on the expensive side.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 62.75% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 20.77.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.35%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, AGI has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.35, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.35% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
12.35% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP12.35%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
25.73
-2.79 (-9.78%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.32%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.82B
Analysts81.82
Price Target32.96 (28.1%)
Short Float %1.35%
Short Ratio1.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.35% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP12.35%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.66%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)5.52%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)0.9%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.94%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)17.59%
PT rev (3m)30.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.3 | ||
| P/S | 8.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.43 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.37 | ||
| P/B | 3.02 | ||
| P/tB | 3.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.82
EY3.19%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.78%
FCF(TTM)0.58
FCFY2.25%
OCF(TTM)1.57
OCFY6.11%
SpS3.2
BVpS8.52
TBVpS8.52
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)1.05
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.33% | ||
| ROE | 7.93% | ||
| ROCE | 10.29% | ||
| ROIC | 6.59% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 37.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.11% | ||
| GM | 44.23% | ||
| FCFM | 18.08% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 191.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 85.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.56 |
F-Score4
WACC8.85%
ROIC/WACC0.74
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y33.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.62%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year25.41%
Revenue Next 2Y17.5%
Revenue Next 3Y14.21%
Revenue Next 5Y17.19%
EBIT growth 1Y58.69%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year103.31%
EBIT Next 3Y40.55%
EBIT Next 5Y32.44%
FCF growth 1Y96.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y39.86%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%