ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall AGI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated AGI against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings would make AGI suitable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AGI has a better Return On Assets (4.80%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Return On Equity of 7.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 72.08% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.70%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.48% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is below the industry average of 8.83%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 18.36%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.66% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of AGI (36.95%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Gross Margin of 44.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 85.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AGI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.20. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.20, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.83% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 84.42% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.07) than 66.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.2 |
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGI (1.49) is worse than 70.13% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio of 0.94. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.78% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 33.63% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 33.73% on average per year.
AGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y33.73%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y17.19%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 31.32, the valuation of AGI can be described as expensive.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.91), we can say AGI is valued slightly more expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.26, the valuation of AGI can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AGI.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.85, AGI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGI.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.99% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 54.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.40%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.00, AGI has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.40, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
14.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
25.68
-0.42 (-1.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner Change1.83%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.80B
Analysts81.67
Price Target33.25 (29.48%)
Short Float %0.89%
Short Ratio0.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.53%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.78%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.89%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)16.92%
PT rev (3m)31.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.43%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.26 | ||
| P/S | 7.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 54.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.09 | ||
| P/B | 3 | ||
| P/tB | 3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
EPS(TTM)0.82
EY3.19%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.79%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.84%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY5.85%
SpS3.33
BVpS8.56
TBVpS8.56
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)1.05
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.2 |
F-Score3
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y33.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y17.19%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year103.31%
EBIT Next 3Y40.55%
EBIT Next 5Y32.44%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%