ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - CA0115321089 - Common Stock
32.52 USD
-0.41 (-1.25%)
32.52 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one! With these ratings, AGI could be worth investigating further for growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AGI has a better Return On Assets (6.26%) than 80.65% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AGI (9.24%) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.50%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 72.26% of its industry peers.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.00%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.50%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
AGI has a Profit Margin of 22.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 88.39% of its industry peers.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 39.49%, AGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.97% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI's Gross Margin of 46.89% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 85.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 5.21. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 5.21, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.26% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.59. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.59 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.59. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 83.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
AGI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI's Current ratio of 1.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 69.68% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGI has a worse Quick ratio (1.00) than 67.10% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.03% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 29.78% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.51%.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.53% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.53% on average per year.
EPS Next Y79.83%
EPS Next 2Y52.61%
EPS Next 3Y31.12%
EPS Next 5Y25.53%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 35.35, the valuation of AGI can be described as expensive.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 65.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.02, AGI is valued a bit more expensive.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.24, AGI is valued on the expensive side.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.66, AGI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 61.94% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 77.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.81 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 31.12% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)1.19
EPS Next 2Y52.61%
EPS Next 3Y31.12%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.31%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.74, AGI has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.45, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.31% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 10.76% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP10.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.61%
EPS Next 3Y31.12%
32.52
-0.41 (-1.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner Change-4.66%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.67B
Analysts82.86
Price Target37.73 (16.02%)
Short Float %1.39%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.31% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP10.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)5.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)10.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.25%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.26%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.92%
PT rev (1m)-2.74%
PT rev (3m)6.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)31.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)17.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.24 | ||
| P/S | 9.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 77.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.47 | ||
| P/B | 3.64 | ||
| P/tB | 3.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.81 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY2.83%
EPS(NY)1.89
Fwd EY5.8%
FCF(TTM)0.42
FCFY1.29%
OCF(TTM)1.51
OCFY4.66%
SpS3.59
BVpS8.93
TBVpS8.93
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)1.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROCE | 11.71% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.1% | ||
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% | ||
| FCFM | 11.72% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.33 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 209.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.21 |
F-Score6
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
EPS Next Y79.83%
EPS Next 2Y52.61%
EPS Next 3Y31.12%
EPS Next 5Y25.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
EBIT growth 1Y58.93%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y33.55%
FCF growth 1Y94.18%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y54.41%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%