ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination! These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AGI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (4.80%) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.15%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.26% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) than 70.97% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 11.10%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.13%) for AGI is below the current ROIC(6.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
AGI has a Profit Margin of 18.36%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 88.39% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 36.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 92.26% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 44.90%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.16% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.35. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.35, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.61% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.42 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 85.81% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
AGI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC8.57%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.49, AGI is doing worse than 70.32% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.94 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.94, AGI is not doing good in the industry: 70.32% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 29.78% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 33.63% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
AGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.76% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 33.54 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 63.23% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 26.60.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.49 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.39. AGI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGI.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 63.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.37%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.85.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.57%!
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 14.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
27.5
+0.35 (+1.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner Change2.06%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.57B
Analysts81.67
Price Target35.39 (28.69%)
Short Float %0.96%
Short Ratio0.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)6.44%
PT rev (3m)26.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.49 | ||
| P/S | 8.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.31 | ||
| P/B | 3.21 | ||
| P/tB | 3.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.39 |
EPS(TTM)0.82
EY2.98%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.41%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.72%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY5.46%
SpS3.33
BVpS8.55
TBVpS8.55
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)1.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
F-Score3
WACC8.57%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.63%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%