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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC (AESI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AESI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6420451089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

13.53  -0.77 (-5.38%)

After market: 13.6 +0.07 (+0.52%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to AESI. AESI was compared to 62 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. AESI has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AESI has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AESI had positive earnings in the past year.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AESI reported negative net income in multiple years.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

AESI has a better Return On Assets (8.36%) than 75.81% of its industry peers.
AESI has a better Return On Equity (12.15%) than 62.90% of its industry peers.
AESI's Return On Invested Capital of 17.92% is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 95.16% of its industry peers.
AESI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.66%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.27%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.92%) for AESI is above the 3 year average (17.66%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROIC 17.92%
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

AESI's Profit Margin of 17.17% is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 95.16% of its industry peers.
AESI has a better Operating Margin (43.18%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AESI (51.11%) is better than 91.94% of its industry peers.
AESI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
AESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AESI is creating value.
There is no outstanding debt for AESI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AESI Yearly Shares OutstandingAESI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

AESI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AESI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.20) than 67.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.66%
AESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

AESI has a Current Ratio of 3.44. This indicates that AESI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AESI's Current ratio of 3.44 is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 85.48% of its industry peers.
AESI has a Quick Ratio of 3.04. This indicates that AESI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AESI has a Quick ratio of 3.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 90.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
AESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AESI have decreased strongly by -59.24% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.99% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AESI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y86.65%
EPS Next 2Y61.87%
EPS Next 3Y38.58%
EPS Next 5Y36.99%
Revenue Next Year19.61%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y9.6%
Revenue Next 5Y8.43%

3.3 Evolution

AESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B
AESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.14, the valuation of AESI can be described as rather expensive.
AESI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AESI is more expensive than 62.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.88. AESI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.33 indicates a reasonable valuation of AESI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AESI.
AESI is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 11.33
AESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

AESI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.33
AESI Per share dataAESI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AESI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AESI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AESI's earnings are expected to grow with 38.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y61.87%
EPS Next 3Y38.58%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.06%, AESI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of AESI has falen by -41.07%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
AESI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.32. AESI pays more dividend than 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
AESI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.45.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.06%

5.2 History

AESI has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AESI Yearly Dividends per shareAESI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

58.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AESI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP58.96%
EPS Next 2Y61.87%
EPS Next 3Y38.58%
AESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M
AESI Dividend Payout.AESI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AESI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC

NYSE:AESI (4/30/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 13.6 +0.07 (+0.52%)

13.53

-0.77 (-5.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners62.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners17.77%
Ins Owner Change1.02%
Market Cap1.67B
Analysts75.29
Price Target22.1 (63.34%)
Short Float %20.31%
Short Ratio8.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.06%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP58.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-21 2025-02-21 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-39%
Min EPS beat(4)-95.63%
Max EPS beat(4)0.04%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-12.36%
PT rev (3m)-7.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 11.33
P/S 2.72
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.59
P/B 1.93
P/tB 1.93
EV/EBITDA 5.33
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY4.73%
EPS(NY)1.19
Fwd EY8.83%
FCF(TTM)-0.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.42
OCFY17.88%
SpS4.97
BVpS7.02
TBVpS7.02
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROCE 22.68%
ROIC 17.92%
ROICexc 21.84%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.48%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)22.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.56
Cap/Depr 877.86%
Cap/Sales 59.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)423.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)29.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
EPS Next Y86.65%
EPS Next 2Y61.87%
EPS Next 3Y38.58%
EPS Next 5Y36.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%
Revenue Next Year19.61%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y9.6%
Revenue Next 5Y8.43%
EBIT growth 1Y14.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2127.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.73%
EBIT Next 3Y19.06%
EBIT Next 5Y13.38%
FCF growth 1Y-157.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y188.25%
OCF growth 5YN/A