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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC (AESI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AESI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6420451089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

13.775  +0.41 (+3.03%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AESI scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AESI was compared to 63 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. While AESI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AESI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AESI had positive earnings in the past year.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AESI reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years AESI 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 8.36%, AESI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
AESI's Return On Equity of 12.15% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AESI outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 17.92%, AESI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AESI is significantly above the industry average of 8.44%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.66%) for AESI is below the current ROIC(17.92%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROIC 17.92%
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

AESI has a better Profit Margin (17.17%) than 93.65% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 43.18%, AESI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
AESI has a better Gross Margin (51.11%) than 92.06% of its industry peers.
AESI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
AESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AESI is creating value.
There is no outstanding debt for AESI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AESI Yearly Shares OutstandingAESI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

AESI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.20, AESI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC2.12
WACC8.46%
AESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.44 indicates that AESI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AESI has a better Current ratio (3.44) than 84.13% of its industry peers.
AESI has a Quick Ratio of 3.04. This indicates that AESI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AESI has a Quick ratio of 3.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 92.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
AESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AESI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -78.33%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-78.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-96.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%54.46%

3.2 Future

AESI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.30% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.24%
EPS Next 2Y20.15%
EPS Next 3Y36.74%
EPS Next 5Y23.3%
Revenue Next Year10.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.79%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%

3.3 Evolution

AESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AESI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.32.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AESI is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AESI to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.15), we can say AESI is valued slightly more expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.91 indicates a correct valuation of AESI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AESI.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.60. AESI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.32
Fwd PE 14.91
AESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

AESI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.27
AESI Per share dataAESI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of AESI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AESI's earnings are expected to grow with 36.74% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.15%
EPS Next 3Y36.74%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AESI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.22%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.70, AESI pays a better dividend. On top of this AESI pays more dividend than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, AESI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.22%

5.2 History

AESI has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AESI Yearly Dividends per shareAESI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

58.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AESI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP58.96%
EPS Next 2Y20.15%
EPS Next 3Y36.74%
AESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M
AESI Dividend Payout.AESI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AESI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC

NYSE:AESI (7/1/2025, 3:08:59 PM)

13.775

+0.41 (+3.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners71.97%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners17.49%
Ins Owner Change1.62%
Market Cap1.70B
Analysts76.67
Price Target16.69 (21.16%)
Short Float %25.42%
Short Ratio10.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.22%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP58.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date05-15 2025-05-15 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-39%
Min EPS beat(4)-95.63%
Max EPS beat(4)0.04%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-22.89%
PT rev (3m)-29.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.32
Fwd PE 14.91
P/S 2.77
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.7
P/B 1.96
P/tB 1.96
EV/EBITDA 5.27
EPS(TTM)0.39
EY2.83%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY6.71%
FCF(TTM)-0.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.42
OCFY17.56%
SpS4.97
BVpS7.02
TBVpS7.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROCE 22.68%
ROIC 17.92%
ROICexc 21.84%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.48%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)22.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.56
Cap/Depr 877.86%
Cap/Sales 59.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC2.12
Cap/Depr(3y)423.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)29.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-78.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-96.15%
EPS Next Y-14.24%
EPS Next 2Y20.15%
EPS Next 3Y36.74%
EPS Next 5Y23.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%54.46%
Revenue Next Year10.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.79%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%
EBIT growth 1Y14.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2127.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.73%
EBIT Next 3Y11.52%
EBIT Next 5Y9.48%
FCF growth 1Y-157.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y188.25%
OCF growth 5YN/A