AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AER • NL0000687663
Current stock price
139.96 USD
+2.78 (+2.03%)
At close:
139.96 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AER fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AER Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AER was profitable.
- In the past year AER had a positive cash flow from operations.
- AER had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AER always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- AER's Return On Assets of 5.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AER outperforms 68.09% of its industry peers.
- AER has a better Return On Equity (20.47%) than 80.85% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.03%, AER is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.45% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AER is below the industry average of 9.00%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.03%) for AER is above the 3 year average (4.64%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.23% | ||
| ROE | 20.47% | ||
| ROIC | 5.03% |
ROA(3y)4.19%
ROA(5y)2.57%
ROE(3y)17.2%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)4.3%
1.3 Margins
- AER's Profit Margin of 48.73% is amongst the best of the industry. AER outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- AER's Operating Margin of 50.10% is amongst the best of the industry. AER outperforms 97.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AER has remained more or less at the same level.
- AER's Gross Margin of 91.59% is amongst the best of the industry. AER outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AER has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 50.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 48.73% | ||
| GM | 91.59% |
OM growth 3Y2.34%
OM growth 5Y-0.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
2. AER Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AER is destroying value.
- AER has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- AER has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- AER has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that AER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.88, AER is doing worse than 78.72% of the companies in the same industry.
- AER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- AER has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: AER underperforms 78.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC6.67%
2.3 Liquidity
- AER has a Current Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that AER is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AER's Current ratio of 1.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AER is outperformed by 78.72% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that AER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of AER (1.17) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 |
3. AER Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 27.04% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 19.23% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.79% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, AER shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.04%
EPS 3Y19.23%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y4.3%
Revenue growth 5Y11.81%
Sales Q2Q%8.3%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.39% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AER will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.91%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. AER Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.17.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AER is valued cheaper than 97.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- AER's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.58.
- AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.99.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AER is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AER to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.81), we can say AER is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AER is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of AER may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
5. AER Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AER has a yearly dividend return of 0.90%, which is pretty low.
- AER's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.84.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, AER's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
5.2 History
- AER has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 5.13% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AER. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP5.13%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
AER Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
139.96
+2.78 (+2.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-06 2026-02-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners94.63%
Inst Owner Change-2.77%
Ins Owners4.09%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap23.36B
Revenue(TTM)7.70B
Net Income(TTM)3.75B
Analysts80
Price Target166.39 (18.88%)
Short Float %1.05%
Short Ratio1.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
Yearly Dividend1.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP5.13%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-25 2026-02-25 (0.4)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.97%
Min EPS beat(2)10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)59.68%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)26.41%
Min EPS beat(4)3.01%
Max EPS beat(4)59.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)24.15%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)27.59%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)31.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.54%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.36%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.25%
PT rev (1m)0.77%
PT rev (3m)9.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.99 | ||
| P/S | 3.03 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.33 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | 1.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.01 |
EPS(TTM)15.27
EY10.91%
EPS(NY)15.56
Fwd EY11.12%
FCF(TTM)-4.08
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)32.32
OCFY23.09%
SpS46.12
BVpS109.8
TBVpS99.04
PEG (NY)4.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number194.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.23% | ||
| ROE | 20.47% | ||
| ROCE | 5.85% | ||
| ROIC | 5.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.14% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.3% | ||
| OM | 50.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 48.73% | ||
| GM | 91.59% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.19%
ROA(5y)2.57%
ROE(3y)17.2%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)4.3%
ROICexc(3y)4.74%
ROICexc(5y)4.4%
ROICexgc(3y)4.93%
ROICexgc(5y)4.63%
ROCE(3y)5.4%
ROCE(5y)5%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.18%
OM growth 3Y2.34%
OM growth 5Y-0.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.11
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 229.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 78.92% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score9
WACC6.67%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)245.72%
Cap/Depr(5y)200.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)69.76%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.04%
EPS 3Y19.23%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.5%
EPS Next Y1.91%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y4.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y4.3%
Revenue growth 5Y11.81%
Sales Q2Q%8.3%
Revenue Next Year-1.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.26%
EBIT growth 3Y6.73%
EBIT growth 5Y11.45%
EBIT Next Year45.09%
EBIT Next 3Y13.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y42.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.8%
OCF growth 3Y1.41%
OCF growth 5Y20.41%
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV / AER Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AER stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AER.
What is the valuation status for AER stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AER stock?
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) stock?
The financial health rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 2 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) stock?
The dividend rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 5.13%.