AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AER - NL0000687663 - Common Stock
121.06 USD
-0.84 (-0.69%)
121.06 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AER scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AER was compared to 50 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. AER has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AER has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AER was profitable.
In the past year AER had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AER reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AER had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AER has a Return On Assets of 4.00%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AER outperforms 56.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 16.43%, AER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AER has a Return On Invested Capital (4.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AER had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.47%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.21%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.62%) for AER is above the 3 year average (4.47%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4% | ||
| ROE | 16.43% | ||
| ROIC | 4.62% |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)8.87%
ROE(5y)5.86%
ROIC(3y)4.47%
ROIC(5y)4.4%
1.3 Margins
AER has a better Profit Margin (39.91%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
AER's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AER has a better Operating Margin (48.14%) than 98.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AER has declined.
AER has a Gross Margin of 91.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AER outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
AER's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 48.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 39.91% | ||
| GM | 91.01% |
OM growth 3Y-4.25%
OM growth 5Y-2.3%
PM growth 3Y13.61%
PM growth 5Y3.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-1.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AER has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AER has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AER has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AER has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AER has an Altman-Z score of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that AER is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.81, AER is not doing good in the industry: 82.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.57. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AER has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.57. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AER underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.57 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC6.16%
2.3 Liquidity
AER has a Current Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that AER is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AER's Current ratio of 1.50 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AER is outperformed by 62.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.48 indicates that AER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.48, AER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AER shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.30%.
AER shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.30% yearly.
AER shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.86%.
Measured over the past years, AER shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.3%
EPS 3Y13.18%
EPS 5Y7.3%
EPS Q2Q%-5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.86%
Revenue growth 3Y12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.12%
Sales Q2Q%-3.65%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.06% on average over the next years.
AER is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.4%
Revenue Next 2Y2.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.90.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AER indicates a rather cheap valuation: AER is cheaper than 94.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AER is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.08, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.91 indicates a reasonable valuation of AER.
94.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AER, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AER's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.09.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AER is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of AER may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)1.36
EPS Next 2Y6.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AER has a yearly dividend return of 0.88%, which is pretty low.
AER's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.85.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, AER's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.88% |
5.2 History
AER is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
6.56% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AER. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP6.56%
EPS Next 2Y6.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.06%
121.06
-0.84 (-0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.94%
Inst Owner Change-0.55%
Ins Owners3.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap21.10B
Revenue(TTM)7.39B
Net Income(TTM)2.95B
Analysts80
Price Target134.64 (11.22%)
Short Float %1.75%
Short Ratio2.04
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.88% |
Yearly Dividend0.72
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP6.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.85%
Min EPS beat(2)3.01%
Max EPS beat(2)32.7%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)15.53%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(4)32.7%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)27.6%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)29.37%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)25.17%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.56%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.28%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.67%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.13%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 | ||
| P/S | 2.86 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 3.97 | ||
| P/B | 1.18 | ||
| P/tB | 1.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.44 |
EPS(TTM)12.23
EY10.1%
EPS(NY)13.58
Fwd EY11.22%
FCF(TTM)-5.82
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)30.52
OCFY25.21%
SpS42.4
BVpS102.99
TBVpS91.34
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)1.36
Graham Number168.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4% | ||
| ROE | 16.43% | ||
| ROCE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.98% | ||
| OM | 48.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 39.91% | ||
| GM | 91.01% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)8.87%
ROE(5y)5.86%
ROIC(3y)4.47%
ROIC(5y)4.4%
ROICexc(3y)4.58%
ROICexc(5y)4.51%
ROICexgc(3y)4.81%
ROICexgc(5y)4.74%
ROCE(3y)5.06%
ROCE(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.2%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.64%
OM growth 3Y-4.25%
OM growth 5Y-2.3%
PM growth 3Y13.61%
PM growth 5Y3.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-1.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.57 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 239.97% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 85.71% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.81 |
F-Score6
WACC6.16%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)223.23%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)78.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)59.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.3%
EPS 3Y13.18%
EPS 5Y7.3%
EPS Q2Q%-5.98%
EPS Next Y10.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.29%
EPS Next 3Y6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.86%
Revenue growth 3Y12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.12%
Sales Q2Q%-3.65%
Revenue Next Year1.4%
Revenue Next 2Y2.02%
Revenue Next 3Y1.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1.96%
EBIT growth 3Y7.89%
EBIT growth 5Y6.61%
EBIT Next Year79.4%
EBIT Next 3Y18.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-8765.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1.91%
OCF growth 3Y13.75%
OCF growth 5Y11.85%
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV / AER FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AER stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AER.
Can you provide the valuation status for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV?
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AER stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 9.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.18.
Can you provide the financial health for AER stock?
The financial health rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 2 / 10.