AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AER - NL0000687663 - Common Stock
144.14 USD
+0.19 (+0.13%)
144.14 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AER scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AER was compared to 50 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AER while its profitability can be described as average. AER is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AER was profitable.
AER had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AER reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years AER always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AER has a Return On Assets (5.27%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AER has a better Return On Equity (20.88%) than 78.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.13%, AER is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AER had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.47%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.63%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.13%) for AER is above the 3 year average (4.47%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.27% | ||
| ROE | 20.88% | ||
| ROIC | 5.13% |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)8.87%
ROE(5y)5.86%
ROIC(3y)4.47%
ROIC(5y)4.4%
1.3 Margins
AER has a better Profit Margin (50.40%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
AER's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AER's Operating Margin of 51.20% is amongst the best of the industry. AER outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AER has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 93.59%, AER belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AER's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 51.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 50.4% | ||
| GM | 93.59% |
OM growth 3Y-4.25%
OM growth 5Y-2.3%
PM growth 3Y13.61%
PM growth 5Y3.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-1.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AER is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AER has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AER has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AER has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.89, we must say that AER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AER's Altman-Z score of 0.89 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AER is outperformed by 84.00% of its industry peers.
AER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.43. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AER has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.43) than 78.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.89 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC6.85%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.28 indicates that AER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AER has a Current ratio of 1.28. This is in the lower half of the industry: AER underperforms 74.00% of its industry peers.
AER has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that AER is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.26, AER is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 25.13% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, AER shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.30% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AER shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.47% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AER shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.13%
EPS 3Y13.18%
EPS 5Y7.3%
EPS Q2Q%106.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.47%
Revenue growth 3Y12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.12%
Sales Q2Q%18.5%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AER will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.70% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.32% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y24.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.3%
EPS Next 3Y8.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.28%
Revenue Next 3Y1.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.75.
AER's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AER is cheaper than 94.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. AER is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.68.
AER's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AER is cheaper than 94.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.35, AER is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AER is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AER's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of AER may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y11.3%
EPS Next 3Y8.7%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.74%, AER is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AER's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 0.98.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.74, AER pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.74% |
5.2 History
AER does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AER pays out 5.07% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP5.07%
EPS Next 2Y11.3%
EPS Next 3Y8.7%
144.14
+0.19 (+0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.14%
Inst Owner Change3.98%
Ins Owners3.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap25.12B
Revenue(TTM)7.52B
Net Income(TTM)3.79B
Analysts80
Price Target152.21 (5.6%)
Short Float %1.91%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.74% |
Yearly Dividend0.72
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP5.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)31.34%
Min EPS beat(2)3.01%
Max EPS beat(2)59.68%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.69%
Min EPS beat(4)3.01%
Max EPS beat(4)59.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)26.05%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)29.5%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)26.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.54%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.33%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)13.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.97%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.68 | ||
| P/S | 3.34 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.6 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
EPS(TTM)14.79
EY10.26%
EPS(NY)14.89
Fwd EY10.33%
FCF(TTM)-0.94
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)31.32
OCFY21.73%
SpS43.15
BVpS104.15
TBVpS93.31
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number186.17
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.27% | ||
| ROE | 20.88% | ||
| ROCE | 5.8% | ||
| ROIC | 5.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.45% | ||
| OM | 51.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 50.4% | ||
| GM | 93.59% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)8.87%
ROE(5y)5.86%
ROIC(3y)4.47%
ROIC(5y)4.4%
ROICexc(3y)4.58%
ROICexc(5y)4.51%
ROICexgc(3y)4.81%
ROICexgc(5y)4.74%
ROCE(3y)5.06%
ROCE(5y)4.98%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.2%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.64%
OM growth 3Y-4.25%
OM growth 5Y-2.3%
PM growth 3Y13.61%
PM growth 5Y3.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-1.08%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 211.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 74.75% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.89 |
F-Score8
WACC6.85%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)223.23%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)78.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)59.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)25.13%
EPS 3Y13.18%
EPS 5Y7.3%
EPS Q2Q%106.22%
EPS Next Y24.28%
EPS Next 2Y11.3%
EPS Next 3Y8.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.47%
Revenue growth 3Y12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y9.12%
Sales Q2Q%18.5%
Revenue Next Year5.43%
Revenue Next 2Y2.28%
Revenue Next 3Y1.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.01%
EBIT growth 3Y7.89%
EBIT growth 5Y6.61%
EBIT Next Year88.18%
EBIT Next 3Y18.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y11.54%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y0.82%
OCF growth 3Y13.75%
OCF growth 5Y11.85%
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV / AER FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AER stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AER.
Can you provide the valuation status for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV?
AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AER stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 9.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.38.
Can you provide the financial health for AER stock?
The financial health rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 2 / 10.