ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:AE • US0063513081

37.98 USD
0 (0%)
Last: Feb 4, 2025, 08:25 PM

This AE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AE against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While AE seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. AE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AE has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year AE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AE has been profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years AE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • AE's Return On Assets of -2.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AE is outperformed by 79.02% of its industry peers.
  • AE's Return On Equity of -9.60% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AE is outperformed by 79.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.44%
ROE -9.6%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)1.38%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)3.79%
ROE(5y)3.49%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • AE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AE has grown nicely.
  • AE has a Gross Margin of 1.22%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AE underperforms 82.44% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AE has grown nicely.
  • AE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 1.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y4.85%
PM growth 3Y-57.03%
PM growth 5Y-46.01%
GM growth 3Y-10.03%
GM growth 5Y6.53%
AE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1 2 3

4

2. AE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • AE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AE Yearly Shares OutstandingAE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1M 2M 3M 4M
AE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • AE has an Altman-Z score of 8.80. This indicates that AE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AE's Altman-Z score of 8.80 is amongst the best of the industry. AE outperforms 93.66% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AE is 1.73, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AE, only 1.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.73, AE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that AE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AE (0.33) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 1.73
Altman-Z 8.8
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.95%
AE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that AE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AE (1.04) is worse than 61.95% of its industry peers.
  • AE has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that AE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AE has a Quick ratio of 0.89. This is in the lower half of the industry: AE underperforms 61.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.89
AE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

4

3. AE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AE shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.22%.
  • The earnings per share for AE have been decreasing by -34.75% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, AE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.04% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.42% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.22%
EPS 3Y-29.33%
EPS 5Y-34.75%
EPS Q2Q%-300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y38.99%
Revenue growth 5Y9.42%
Sales Q2Q%-8.61%

3.2 Future

  • AE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 54.47% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.55% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-58.42%
EPS Next 2Y54.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.64%
Revenue Next 2Y0.55%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B
AE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

3

4. AE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • AE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 106.88.
  • AE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AE is more expensive than 74.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AE to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.57), we can say AE is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 106.88
AE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • 87.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.68
EV/EBITDA 6.69
AE Per share dataAE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AE's earnings are expected to grow with 54.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. AE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC

NYSEARCA:AE (2/4/2025, 8:25:15 PM)

37.98

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-12
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners56.13%
Inst Owner Change-100%
Ins Owners2.8%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap97.61M
Revenue(TTM)2.78B
Net Income(TTM)-8.14M
Analysts40
Price Target38.76 (2.05%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend1
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.56%
DP-31.15%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years29
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-441.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-499.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-382.66%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-281.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-499.56%
Max EPS beat(4)44.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-171.84%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-95.78%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)605.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.63%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.35%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.76%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.14%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-9.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)312.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-59.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)-59.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)13.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 106.88
P/S 0.04
P/FCF 4.68
P/OCF 2.63
P/B 1.15
P/tB 1.37
EV/EBITDA 6.69
EPS(TTM)-3.16
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.36
Fwd EY0.94%
FCF(TTM)8.11
FCFY21.35%
OCF(TTM)14.45
OCFY38.05%
SpS1083.45
BVpS32.99
TBVpS27.77
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.44%
ROE -9.6%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 1.22%
FCFM 0.75%
ROA(3y)1.38%
ROA(5y)1.39%
ROE(3y)3.79%
ROE(5y)3.49%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y4.85%
PM growth 3Y-57.03%
PM growth 5Y-46.01%
GM growth 3Y-10.03%
GM growth 5Y6.53%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover8.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 1.73
Debt/EBITDA 1.71
Cap/Depr 65.55%
Cap/Sales 0.59%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 228.88%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 8.8
F-Score4
WACC8.95%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)46.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)104.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.2%
Profit Quality(3y)3142.19%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.22%
EPS 3Y-29.33%
EPS 5Y-34.75%
EPS Q2Q%-300%
EPS Next Y-58.42%
EPS Next 2Y54.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y38.99%
Revenue growth 5Y9.42%
Sales Q2Q%-8.61%
Revenue Next Year0.64%
Revenue Next 2Y0.55%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-70.8%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y14.73%
EBIT Next Year513.55%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-10.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y15.32%
OCF growth 1Y13.84%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.48%

ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC / AE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AE.


What is the valuation status for AE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE) stock?

ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE) stock?

The dividend rating of ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY INC (AE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -31.15%.