ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ADTN • US00486H1059

Current stock price

16.93 USD
+0.19 (+1.14%)
At close:
16.9895 USD
+0.06 (+0.35%)
After Hours:

This ADTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. ADTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ADTN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • ADTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • ADTN had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: ADTN reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
ADTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M -300M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -3.79%, ADTN is not doing good in the industry: 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -31.31%, ADTN is not doing good in the industry: 82.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.79%
ROE -31.31%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-19.68%
ROA(5y)-12.13%
ROE(3y)-146.01%
ROE(5y)-88.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ADTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.29%, ADTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADTN has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for ADTN so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 38.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.25%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
ADTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. ADTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ADTN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ADTN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ADTN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ADTN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ADTN Yearly Shares OutstandingADTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
ADTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that ADTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.05, ADTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.60. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ADTN would need 3.60 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ADTN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.60. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADTN outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • ADTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.50. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • ADTN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.50. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ADTN underperforms 89.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.5
Debt/FCF 3.6
Altman-Z 1.05
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.83%
ADTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.76 indicates that ADTN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ADTN (1.76) is worse than 67.39% of its industry peers.
  • ADTN has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that ADTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ADTN has a Quick ratio of 1.16. This is in the lower half of the industry: ADTN underperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.76
Quick Ratio 1.16
ADTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. ADTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADTN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 177.42%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.59% on average over the past years.
  • ADTN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.46%.
  • Measured over the past years, ADTN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.42%
EPS 3Y-27.12%
EPS 5Y-1.59%
EPS Q2Q%92.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.46%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y16.43%
Sales Q2Q%20.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 77.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ADTN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.88% on average per year.
EPS Next Y107.64%
EPS Next 2Y77.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.61%
Revenue Next 3Y8.13%
Revenue Next 5Y7.88%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ADTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
ADTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 -1

More info and screens

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4

4. ADTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 70.54, ADTN can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ADTN's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ADTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say ADTN is valued expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.97 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ADTN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADTN is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.24, ADTN is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.54
Fwd PE 33.97
ADTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 71.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADTN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ADTN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.58
EV/EBITDA 18.3
ADTN Per share dataADTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ADTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ADTN's earnings are expected to grow with 77.14% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y77.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. ADTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.65%, ADTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • ADTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.91. ADTN pays more dividend than 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, ADTN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.65%

5.2 History

  • ADTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ADTN Yearly Dividends per shareADTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y77.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ADTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100M -200M -300M -400M

More info and screens

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ADTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:ADTN (4/24/2026, 8:20:14 PM)

After market: 16.9895 +0.06 (+0.35%)

16.93

+0.19 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryCommunications Equipment
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners94.56%
Inst Owner Change0.86%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change12.43%
Market Cap1.37B
Revenue(TTM)1.08B
Net Income(TTM)-45.66M
Analysts77.5
Price Target14 (-17.31%)
Short Float %10.37%
Short Ratio4.92
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.65%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)35.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-20.42%
Max EPS beat(2)91.3%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)42.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)198.04%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)22.54%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-86.43%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-45.49%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.23%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.23%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)9.08%
PT rev (3m)15.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.54
Fwd PE 33.97
P/S 1.26
P/FCF 22.58
P/OCF 10.53
P/B 9.37
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 18.3
EPS(TTM)0.24
EY1.42%
EPS(NY)0.5
Fwd EY2.94%
FCF(TTM)0.75
FCFY4.43%
OCF(TTM)1.61
OCFY9.5%
SpS13.43
BVpS1.81
TBVpS-2.58
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.1238 (-81.55%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.79%
ROE -31.31%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 38.29%
FCFM 5.58%
ROA(3y)-19.68%
ROA(5y)-12.13%
ROE(3y)-146.01%
ROE(5y)-88.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.25%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.5
Debt/FCF 3.6
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 74.84%
Cap/Sales 6.39%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 169.26%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.76
Quick Ratio 1.16
Altman-Z 1.05
F-Score5
WACC9.83%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)62.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)49.61%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.02%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.42%
EPS 3Y-27.12%
EPS 5Y-1.59%
EPS Q2Q%92.24%
EPS Next Y107.64%
EPS Next 2Y77.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.46%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y16.43%
Sales Q2Q%20.06%
Revenue Next Year9.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.61%
Revenue Next 3Y8.13%
Revenue Next 5Y7.88%
EBIT growth 1Y81.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year245.88%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y57.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.29%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC / ADTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ADTN.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ADTN stock?

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN) is expected to grow by 107.64% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADTN stock?

The dividend rating of ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC (ADTN) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.