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ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR (ACH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ACH - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0222761092 - ADR - Currency: USD

9.04  -0.06 (-0.66%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall ACH gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated ACH against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ACH has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ACH has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ACH was profitable.
ACH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFACH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.08%
ROE 9.9%
ROIC 6.96%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ACH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICACH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.95%
PM (TTM) 2.04%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ACH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsACH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4 6 8

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ACH is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ACH has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
ACH has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ACH Yearly Shares OutstandingACH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M
ACH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsACH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50B 100B 150B 200B

2.2 Solvency

ACH has an Altman-Z score of 2.06. This is not the best score and indicates that ACH is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99 indicates that ACH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.06
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC7.35%
ACH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFACH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

ACH has a Current Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that ACH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates that ACH may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.72
ACH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesACH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20B 40B 60B 80B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 918.18% over the past year.
ACH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 64.61% yearly.
ACH shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 32.22%.
ACH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.34% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)918.18%
EPS 3Y92.26%
EPS 5Y64.61%
EPS Q2Q%12.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y13.34%
Sales Q2Q%2.37%

3.2 Future

ACH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.60% yearly.
ACH is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.39%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
EPS Next 5Y17.6%
Revenue Next Year14.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.19%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ACH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesACH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100B 200B 300B
ACH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesACH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.78, the valuation of ACH can be described as very reasonable.
ACH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.16, the valuation of ACH can be described as very cheap.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.94, ACH is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 7.16
ACH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsACH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ACH Per share dataACH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ACH's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ACH's earnings are expected to grow with 17.60% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.14
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%

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1

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ACH has a yearly dividend return of 0.70%, which is pretty low.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.70, ACH pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.36.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%

5.2 History

ACH is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
ACH Yearly Dividends per shareACH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

ACH pays out 52.89% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP52.89%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
ACH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendACH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ACH Dividend Payout.ACH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ACH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR

NYSE:ACH (9/1/2022, 8:04:00 PM)

9.04

-0.06 (-0.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-24 2022-08-24
Earnings (Next)10-24 2022-10-24
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.20B
Analysts76
Price Target12.39 (37.06%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP52.89%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 7.16
P/S 0.15
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.71
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY11.39%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY13.96%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS62.07
BVpS12.76
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.08%
ROE 9.9%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 6.96%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc 7.89%
OM 4.95%
PM (TTM) 2.04%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y0%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 2.06
F-Score6
WACC7.35%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)918.18%
EPS 3Y92.26%
EPS 5Y64.61%
EPS Q2Q%12.59%
EPS Next Y18.39%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
EPS Next 5Y17.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y13.34%
Sales Q2Q%2.37%
Revenue Next Year14.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.19%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A