AIR CANADA (AC.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:AC • CA0089118776
Current stock price
18.71 CAD
+0.18 (+0.97%)
Last:
This AC.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AC.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AC had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AC had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AC reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Of the past 5 years AC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AC has a Return On Assets of 2.06%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of AC (24.86%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.31%, AC is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AC is in line with the industry average of 5.94%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 24.86% | ||
| ROIC | 5.31% |
ROA(3y)5.04%
ROA(5y)-0.48%
ROE(3y)127.6%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.58%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of AC (2.88%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Operating Margin of AC (4.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AC has a better Gross Margin (61.90%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AC has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.88% | ||
| GM | 61.9% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.01%
GM growth 5Y7.53%
2. AC.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AC is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AC has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, AC has less shares outstanding
- AC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AC has an Altman-Z score of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that AC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AC's Altman-Z score of 0.72 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AC is 15.50, which is on the high side as it means it would take AC, 15.50 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 15.50, AC is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.32 is on the high side and indicates that AC has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AC (3.32) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.38%
2.3 Liquidity
- AC has a Current Ratio of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that AC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AC's Current ratio of 0.56 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AC is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
- AC has a Quick Ratio of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that AC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AC has a Quick ratio of 0.53. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AC underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.53 |
3. AC.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AC have decreased strongly by -56.09% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.53% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, AC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 30.85% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.09%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%160%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.53%
Revenue growth 3Y10.56%
Revenue growth 5Y30.85%
Sales Q2Q%6.77%
3.2 Future
- AC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 41.28% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y41.7%
EPS Next 2Y29.61%
EPS Next 3Y28.61%
EPS Next 5Y41.28%
Revenue Next Year6.84%
Revenue Next 2Y6.52%
Revenue Next 3Y7.15%
Revenue Next 5Y6.11%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. AC.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.07, which indicates a correct valuation of AC.
- 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. AC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.52 indicates a reasonable valuation of AC.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AC indicates a rather cheap valuation: AC is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.68), we can say AC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AC is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- AC's earnings are expected to grow with 28.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.61%
EPS Next 3Y28.61%
5. AC.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
AC.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:AC (4/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
18.71
+0.18 (+0.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-01 2026-05-01/bmo
Inst Owners16.33%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.48B
Revenue(TTM)22.37B
Net Income(TTM)644.00M
Analysts75.83
Price Target24.48 (30.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)57.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.28%
Max EPS beat(2)138.14%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)28.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.28%
Max EPS beat(4)138.14%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-10.92%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.4%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.47%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.6%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.63%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.6%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.69%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)-7.14%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.52 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.5 | ||
| P/B | 2.12 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.82 |
EPS(TTM)1.55
EY8.28%
EPS(NY)2.2
Fwd EY11.74%
FCF(TTM)2.55
FCFY13.63%
OCF(TTM)12.48
OCFY66.71%
SpS76.35
BVpS8.84
TBVpS-6.64
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.56
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 24.86% | ||
| ROCE | 6.51% | ||
| ROIC | 5.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.93% | ||
| OM | 4.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.88% | ||
| GM | 61.9% | ||
| FCFM | 3.34% |
ROA(3y)5.04%
ROA(5y)-0.48%
ROE(3y)127.6%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.58%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.64%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)16.97%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.07%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.01%
GM growth 5Y7.53%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.5 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 144.63% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.88 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 117.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | 115.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.72 |
F-Score7
WACC7.38%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)127.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.66%
Profit Quality(3y)104.11%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.09%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%160%
EPS Next Y41.7%
EPS Next 2Y29.61%
EPS Next 3Y28.61%
EPS Next 5Y41.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.53%
Revenue growth 3Y10.56%
Revenue growth 5Y30.85%
Sales Q2Q%6.77%
Revenue Next Year6.84%
Revenue Next 2Y6.52%
Revenue Next 3Y7.15%
Revenue Next 5Y6.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.96%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year254.54%
EBIT Next 3Y64.42%
EBIT Next 5Y31.11%
FCF growth 1Y-42.27%
FCF growth 3Y-2.1%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.95%
OCF growth 3Y15.59%
OCF growth 5YN/A
AIR CANADA / AC.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AC.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for AIR CANADA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to AIR CANADA (AC.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of AC stock?
AIR CANADA (AC.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is AIR CANADA?
The financial health rating of AIR CANADA (AC.CA) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AIR CANADA (AC.CA) is expected to grow by 41.7% in the next year.