ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AAWW • US0491642056

102.48 USD
+0.02 (+0.02%)
At close: Mar 17, 2023
102.51 USD
+0.03 (+0.03%)
After Hours: 3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AAWW fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AAWW scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAWW was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AAWW while its profitability can be described as average. AAWW is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. AAWW Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AAWW had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AAWW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • AAWW has a Return On Assets (5.31%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AAWW has a Return On Equity (11.61%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AAWW (7.65%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAWW is in line with the industry average of 12.02%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROIC 7.65%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • AAWW's Profit Margin of 7.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW outperforms 68.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAWW has declined.
  • AAWW's Operating Margin of 12.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • AAWW's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AAWW has a Gross Margin of 53.54%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AAWW outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • AAWW's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
AAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40

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2

2. AAWW Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAWW is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AAWW has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AAWW has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingAAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.96 indicates that AAWW is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AAWW has a Altman-Z score of 1.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAWW underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that AAWW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • AAWW has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.96
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC6.55%
AAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AAWW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AAWW has a worse Current ratio (0.96) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AAWW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AAWW's Quick ratio of 0.96 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW is outperformed by 68.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
AAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. AAWW Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AAWW have decreased strongly by -23.11% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AAWW shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 23.38% on average per year.
  • AAWW shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.86%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AAWW will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -30.91% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AAWW will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -11.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
AAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

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6

4. AAWW Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AAWW is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.21.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAWW is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.29, AAWW is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.24, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AAWW.
  • 100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AAWW, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.57. AAWW is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
AAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AAWW is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.94
AAWW Per share dataAAWW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AAWW's earnings are expected to decrease with -30.91% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AAWW Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AAWW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

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AAWW Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS

NASDAQ:AAWW (3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 102.51 +0.03 (+0.03%)

102.48

+0.02 (+0.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-23
Earnings (Next)05-03
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.93B
Revenue(TTM)4.55B
Net Income(TTM)355.88M
Analysts75
Price Target100.47 (-1.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.53%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.46%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.4%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.12%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.33%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
P/S 0.65
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 3.5
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.98
EV/EBITDA 4.94
EPS(TTM)14.21
EY13.87%
EPS(NY)14.16
Fwd EY13.82%
FCF(TTM)-0.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)29.26
OCFY28.55%
SpS158.88
BVpS107.04
TBVpS104.98
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 7.65%
ROICexc 8.88%
ROICexgc 8.99%
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.59%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y37.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.66%
ROICexc growth 3Y37.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y13%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.54
Cap/Depr 238.97%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.96
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)152.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-22.49%
EBIT growth 3Y43.45%
EBIT growth 5Y17.46%
EBIT Next Year65.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-102.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-9.24%
OCF growth 3Y40.77%
OCF growth 5Y20.36%

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS / AAWW FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AAWW.


What is the valuation status for AAWW stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 10 / 10 to ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) stock?

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) is 7.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AAWW stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) is expected to decline by -0.35% in the next year.