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ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:AAWW - US0491642056 - Common Stock

102.48 USD
+0.02 (+0.02%)
Last: 3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM
102.51 USD
+0.03 (+0.03%)
After Hours: 3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AAWW scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAWW was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AAWW while its profitability can be described as average. AAWW has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AAWW was profitable.
AAWW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AAWW 4 years were profitable.
AAWW had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 5.31%, AAWW perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 11.61%, AAWW perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.65%, AAWW is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAWW is in line with the industry average of 12.36%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROIC 7.65%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

AAWW has a better Profit Margin (7.82%) than 68.75% of its industry peers.
AAWW's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAWW's Operating Margin of 12.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
AAWW's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
AAWW has a Gross Margin of 53.54%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AAWW outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAWW has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
AAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAWW is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAWW has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
AAWW has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingAAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

AAWW has an Altman-Z score of 1.96. This is not the best score and indicates that AAWW is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AAWW (1.96) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that AAWW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AAWW's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.96
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC6.55%
AAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AAWW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAWW has a worse Current ratio (0.96) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AAWW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.96, AAWW is not doing good in the industry: 68.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
AAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AAWW shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -23.11%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 23.38% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 12.86% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -30.91% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -11.30% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
AAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.21, the valuation of AAWW can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAWW is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.61. AAWW is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.24, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AAWW.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AAWW, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AAWW is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.01, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
AAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AAWW indicates a rather cheap valuation: AAWW is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.94
AAWW Per share dataAAWW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AAWW's earnings are expected to decrease with -30.91% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AAWW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS

NASDAQ:AAWW (3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 102.51 +0.03 (+0.03%)

102.48

+0.02 (+0.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-23 2023-02-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-03 2023-05-03/bmo
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.93B
Revenue(TTM)4.55B
Net Income(TTM)355.88M
Analysts75
Price Target100.47 (-1.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.53%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.46%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.4%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.12%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.33%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
P/S 0.65
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 3.5
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.98
EV/EBITDA 4.94
EPS(TTM)14.21
EY13.87%
EPS(NY)14.16
Fwd EY13.82%
FCF(TTM)-0.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)29.26
OCFY28.55%
SpS158.88
BVpS107.04
TBVpS104.98
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 7.65%
ROICexc 8.88%
ROICexgc 8.99%
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.59%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y37.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.66%
ROICexc growth 3Y37.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y13%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.54
Cap/Depr 238.97%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.96
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)152.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-22.49%
EBIT growth 3Y43.45%
EBIT growth 5Y17.46%
EBIT Next Year65.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-102.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-9.24%
OCF growth 3Y40.77%
OCF growth 5Y20.36%

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS / AAWW FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AAWW.


What is the valuation status of ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 10 / 10 to ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) stock?

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AAWW stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) is 7.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.


Can you provide the financial health for AAWW stock?

The financial health rating of ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) is 3 / 10.