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ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AAV - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA00791P1071 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

12  +0.05 (+0.42%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AAV scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAV was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. AAV has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AAV is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AAV has reported negative net income.
AAV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AAV 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AAV had a positive operating cash flow.
AAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

AAV has a Return On Assets (-1.03%) which is in line with its industry peers.
AAV has a Return On Equity of -1.90%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAV outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.57%, AAV is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.85% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.48%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.47%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.48%) for AAV is well above the current ROIC(1.57%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROIC 1.57%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
AAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

AAV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAV's Operating Margin of 11.37% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAV has declined.
AAV's Gross Margin of 75.60% is amongst the best of the industry. AAV outperforms 92.34% of its industry peers.
AAV's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
AAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AAV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
AAV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
AAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.81, we must say that AAV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.81, AAV is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.11% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AAV (0.50) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.81
ROIC/WACC0.19
WACC8.12%
AAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AAV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAV has a worse Current ratio (0.51) than 74.16% of its industry peers.
AAV has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AAV's Quick ratio of 0.51 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAV is outperformed by 73.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
AAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AAV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -130.00%.
AAV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.25% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AAV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.70% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AAV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%

3.2 Future

AAV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 121.81% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AAV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AAV. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.19, the valuation of AAV can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAV is valued a bit cheaper than 66.99% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.19
AAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AAV.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.24
AAV.CA Per share dataAAV.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AAV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAV's earnings are expected to grow with 147.44% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AAV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD

TSX:AAV (6/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

12

+0.05 (+0.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23/amc
Inst Owners38.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.36%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.01B
Analysts76
Price Target14.05 (17.08%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-32.49%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-466.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-32.49%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-235.24%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-149.47%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-47.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.47%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.62%
PT rev (3m)-1.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.19
P/S 3.51
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.3
P/B 1.25
P/tB 1.25
EV/EBITDA 9.24
EPS(TTM)-0.18
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.46
Fwd EY12.2%
FCF(TTM)-0.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.64
OCFY13.7%
SpS3.42
BVpS9.6
TBVpS9.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROCE 2.46%
ROIC 1.57%
ROICexc 1.6%
ROICexgc 1.6%
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.63%
ROICexc(5y)6.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.64%
ROICexgc(5y)6.24%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-54.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.3%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.27%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.82
Cap/Depr 155.95%
Cap/Sales 59.63%
Interest Coverage 1.34
Cash Conversion 97%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 0.81
F-Score2
WACC8.12%
ROIC/WACC0.19
Cap/Depr(3y)174.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)48.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-47.98%
EBIT growth 5Y10.11%
EBIT Next Year1571.64%
EBIT Next 3Y183.5%
EBIT Next 5Y128.43%
FCF growth 1Y-130.24%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.89%
OCF growth 3Y-0.85%
OCF growth 5Y6.86%