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ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AAV - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA00791P1071 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

12.13  +0.13 (+1.08%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AAV gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AAV against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While AAV is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AAV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AAV has reported negative net income.
In the past year AAV had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AAV 4 years were profitable.
AAV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

AAV has a Return On Assets of -1.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAV outperforms 49.76% of its industry peers.
AAV has a Return On Equity of -1.90%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAV outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
AAV's Return On Invested Capital of 1.57% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV outperforms 47.85% of its industry peers.
AAV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.48%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.47%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.48%) for AAV is well above the current ROIC(1.57%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROIC 1.57%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
AAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAV has declined.
AAV's Operating Margin of 11.37% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
AAV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 75.60%, AAV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.34% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAV has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
AAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AAV is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AAV has less shares outstanding
AAV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
AAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.82, we must say that AAV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AAV's Altman-Z score of 0.82 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV outperforms 53.11% of its industry peers.
AAV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.50, AAV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.82
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.17%
AAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AAV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, AAV is doing worse than 74.16% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AAV (0.51) is worse than 73.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
AAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AAV have decreased strongly by -130.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AAV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.25% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 12.70% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, AAV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AAV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 121.81% on average per year.
AAV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AAV reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.28, the valuation of AAV can be described as very reasonable.
AAV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AAV is cheaper than 66.99% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAV to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.13), we can say AAV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.28
AAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60

4.2 Price Multiples

AAV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.31
AAV.CA Per share dataAAV.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AAV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AAV's earnings are expected to grow with 147.44% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AAV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD

TSX:AAV (6/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

12.13

+0.13 (+1.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23/amc
Inst Owners35.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.03B
Analysts76
Price Target14.05 (15.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-32.49%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-466.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-32.49%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-235.24%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-149.47%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-47.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.47%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.28
P/S 3.55
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.38
P/B 1.26
P/tB 1.27
EV/EBITDA 9.31
EPS(TTM)-0.18
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.46
Fwd EY12.07%
FCF(TTM)-0.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.64
OCFY13.56%
SpS3.42
BVpS9.6
TBVpS9.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROCE 2.46%
ROIC 1.57%
ROICexc 1.6%
ROICexgc 1.6%
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.63%
ROICexc(5y)6.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.64%
ROICexgc(5y)6.24%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-54.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.3%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.27%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.82
Cap/Depr 155.95%
Cap/Sales 59.63%
Interest Coverage 1.34
Cash Conversion 97%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 0.82
F-Score2
WACC7.17%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)174.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)48.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-47.98%
EBIT growth 5Y10.11%
EBIT Next Year1571.64%
EBIT Next 3Y183.5%
EBIT Next 5Y128.43%
FCF growth 1Y-130.24%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.89%
OCF growth 3Y-0.85%
OCF growth 5Y6.86%