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Advantage Energy Ltd (AAV-DB.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AAV-DB - Toronto Stock Exchange - - Currency: CAD

104  0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

AAV-DB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While AAV-DB is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, AAV-DB is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AAV-DB had negative earnings in the past year.
AAV-DB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AAV-DB 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years AAV-DB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAV-DB.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -1.03%, AAV-DB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.87% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV-DB has a Return On Equity (-1.90%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AAV-DB has a Return On Invested Capital (1.57%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAV-DB is in line with the industry average of 7.23%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.48%) for AAV-DB is well above the current ROIC(1.57%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROIC 1.57%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAV-DB.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAV-DB has declined.
The Operating Margin of AAV-DB (11.37%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAV-DB has declined.
AAV-DB has a better Gross Margin (75.60%) than 91.00% of its industry peers.
AAV-DB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAV-DB.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AAV-DB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AAV-DB has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AAV-DB has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AAV-DB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAV-DB.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAV-DB.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

AAV-DB has an Altman-Z score of 7.62. This indicates that AAV-DB is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AAV-DB's Altman-Z score of 7.62 is amongst the best of the industry. AAV-DB outperforms 91.47% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 indicates that AAV-DB is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.50, AAV-DB is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 7.62
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC8.94%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAV-DB.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

AAV-DB has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV-DB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.51, AAV-DB is not doing good in the industry: 76.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AAV-DB has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV-DB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AAV-DB (0.51) is worse than 75.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAV-DB.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AAV-DB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -130.00%.
AAV-DB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.25% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 12.70% in the past year. This is quite good.
AAV-DB shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%

3.2 Future

AAV-DB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 121.81% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAV-DB.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AAV-DB.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAV-DB.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AAV-DB reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
AAV-DB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 71.01.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
AAV-DB is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 71.01
AAV-DB.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAV-DB.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -200 -400

4.2 Price Multiples

AAV-DB's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 63.5
AAV-DB.CA Per share dataAAV-DB.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AAV-DB's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAV-DB's earnings are expected to grow with 147.44% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AAV-DB!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Advantage Energy Ltd

TSX:AAV-DB (5/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

104

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23/amc
Inst Owners38.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.36%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.40B
Analysts77.14
Price Target142.3 (36.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-32.49%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-466.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-32.49%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-235.24%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-149.47%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-47.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.47%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.55%
PT rev (3m)-13.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 71.01
P/S 30.43
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 63.24
P/B 10.83
P/tB 10.87
EV/EBITDA 63.5
EPS(TTM)-0.18
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.46
Fwd EY1.41%
FCF(TTM)-0.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.64
OCFY1.58%
SpS3.42
BVpS9.6
TBVpS9.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROCE 2.46%
ROIC 1.57%
ROICexc 1.6%
ROICexgc 1.6%
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.63%
ROICexc(5y)6.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.64%
ROICexgc(5y)6.24%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-54.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.3%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.27%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.82
Cap/Depr 155.95%
Cap/Sales 59.63%
Interest Coverage 1.34
Cash Conversion 97%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 7.62
F-Score2
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)174.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)48.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-47.98%
EBIT growth 5Y10.11%
EBIT Next Year1571.64%
EBIT Next 3Y183.5%
EBIT Next 5Y128.43%
FCF growth 1Y-130.24%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.89%
OCF growth 3Y-0.85%
OCF growth 5Y6.86%