AAON INC (AAON) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AAON • US0003602069
Current stock price
80.88 USD
-0.37 (-0.46%)
At close:
81.6 USD
+0.72 (+0.89%)
After Hours:
This AAON fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AAON Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AAON had positive earnings in the past year.
- AAON had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years AAON has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years AAON had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AAON has a Return On Assets of 6.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: AAON outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
- AAON has a better Return On Equity (12.02%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 8.91%, AAON perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.38% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAON is above the industry average of 11.89%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) for AAON is well below the 3 year average (16.66%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AAON had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
1.3 Margins
- AAON's Profit Margin of 7.46% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AAON outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
- AAON's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AAON has a Operating Margin of 10.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAON outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
- AAON's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of AAON (26.75%) is worse than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAON has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% |
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
2. AAON Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAON is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AAON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- AAON has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for AAON is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.23 indicates that AAON is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.23, AAON belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- AAON has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AAON (0.45) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.23 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.08%
2.3 Liquidity
- AAON has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that AAON is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.63, AAON is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- AAON has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AAON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AAON has a better Quick ratio (1.84) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. AAON Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AAON have decreased strongly by -32.84% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.66% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has grown by 20.11% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- Measured over the past years, AAON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AAON will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.17% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. AAON Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 59.91, AAON can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- 76.19% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AAON, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.21. AAON is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.80 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AAON.
- AAON's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AAON is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.10, AAON is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AAON, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 31.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- AAON's earnings are expected to grow with 42.38% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.19
PEG (5Y)7.82
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
5. AAON Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.49%, AAON is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.77, AAON has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, AAON's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AAON is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.56%!
- AAON has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- AAON has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 30.30% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AAON. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of AAON is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP30.3%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
AAON Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
80.88
-0.37 (-0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners92.23%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap6.59B
Revenue(TTM)1.44B
Net Income(TTM)107.59M
Analysts86.15
Price Target120.16 (48.57%)
Short Float %10.98%
Short Ratio8.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
DP30.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-18 2026-03-18 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)4.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.77%
Max EPS beat(4)53.89%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.11%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.96%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)11.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.99%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.2%
PT rev (1m)2.26%
PT rev (3m)4.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-35.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.74%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.8 | ||
| P/S | 4.57 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12344.04 | ||
| P/B | 7.37 | ||
| P/tB | 9.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 31.21 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY1.67%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY2.51%
FCF(TTM)-2.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0.01%
SpS17.69
BVpS10.98
TBVpS8.95
PEG (NY)1.19
PEG (5Y)7.82
Graham Number18.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.15% | ||
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
ROICexc(3y)16.67%
ROICexc(5y)15.2%
ROICexgc(3y)19.97%
ROICexgc(5y)18.87%
ROCE(3y)20.18%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.84%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 258.73% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 0.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.23 |
F-Score3
WACC10.08%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)278.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.01%
EBIT growth 3Y4.87%
EBIT growth 5Y8.94%
EBIT Next Year117.82%
EBIT Next 3Y53.49%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-891.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-99.72%
OCF growth 3Y-79.42%
OCF growth 5Y-66.62%
AAON INC / AAON Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AAON INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AAON.
What is the valuation status of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AAON INC (AAON). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AAON stock?
AAON INC (AAON) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is AAON INC?
The financial health rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AAON INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AAON INC (AAON) is expected to grow by 50.52% in the next year.