AAON INC (AAON) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AAON • US0003602069
Current stock price
87.83 USD
+3.82 (+4.55%)
At close:
87.83 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AAON fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AAON Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AAON had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AAON had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years AAON has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years AAON always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- AAON has a Return On Assets of 6.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: AAON outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of AAON (12.02%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- AAON has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAON outperforms 52.38% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAON is above the industry average of 11.89%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.66%) for AAON is well above the current ROIC(8.91%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of AAON (7.46%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAON has declined.
- The Operating Margin of AAON (10.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAON has declined.
- With a Gross Margin value of 26.75%, AAON is not doing good in the industry: 61.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- AAON's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% |
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
2. AAON Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AAON is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AAON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- AAON has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AAON has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.64 indicates that AAON is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.64, AAON belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45 indicates that AAON is not too dependend on debt financing.
- AAON has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.45. This is in the better half of the industry: AAON outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC10.39%
2.3 Liquidity
- AAON has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that AAON is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- AAON has a better Current ratio (2.63) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
- AAON has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AAON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AAON has a better Quick ratio (1.84) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. AAON Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AAON shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.84%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.66% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, AAON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 20.11%.
- Measured over the past years, AAON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
3.2 Future
- AAON is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 36.17% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AAON will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. AAON Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 65.06, AAON can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- AAON's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AAON is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.61, AAON is valued quite expensively.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.22, AAON can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAON indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AAON is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.79. AAON is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AAON indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AAON is more expensive than 78.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAON's earnings are expected to grow with 42.38% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)8.49
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
5. AAON Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AAON has a yearly dividend return of 0.50%, which is pretty low.
- AAON's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 0.77.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, AAON's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of AAON grows each year by 9.56%, which is quite nice.
- AAON has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 30.30% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AAON. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- AAON's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP30.3%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
AAON Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
87.83
+3.82 (+4.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners92.23%
Inst Owner Change3.77%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap7.16B
Revenue(TTM)1.44B
Net Income(TTM)107.59M
Analysts86.15
Price Target117.5 (33.78%)
Short Float %11.69%
Short Ratio8.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
DP30.3%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-18 2026-03-18 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(2)12.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.77%
Max EPS beat(4)53.89%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.42%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)6.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)11.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.99%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-35.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.74%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 65.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 43.22 | ||
| P/S | 4.96 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 13404.76 | ||
| P/B | 8 | ||
| P/tB | 9.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.59 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY1.54%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY2.31%
FCF(TTM)-2.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0.01%
SpS17.69
BVpS10.98
TBVpS8.95
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)8.49
Graham Number18.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.15% | ||
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
ROICexc(3y)16.67%
ROICexc(5y)15.2%
ROICexgc(3y)19.97%
ROICexgc(5y)18.87%
ROCE(3y)20.18%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.84%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 258.73% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 0.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.64 |
F-Score3
WACC10.39%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)278.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.01%
EBIT growth 3Y4.87%
EBIT growth 5Y8.94%
EBIT Next Year117.82%
EBIT Next 3Y53.49%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-891.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-99.72%
OCF growth 3Y-79.42%
OCF growth 5Y-66.62%
AAON INC / AAON Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AAON INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AAON.
What is the valuation status of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AAON INC (AAON). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AAON INC?
AAON INC (AAON) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for AAON stock?
The financial health rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
The dividend rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 30.3%.