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SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1SPOT - Euronext Milan - LU1778762911 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

561.7  -10.7 (-1.87%)

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to 1SPOT. 1SPOT was compared to 49 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. 1SPOT has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, 1SPOT is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1SPOT had positive earnings in the past year.
1SPOT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years 1SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years 1SPOT had a positive operating cash flow.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of 1SPOT (9.19%) is better than 91.84% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.66%, 1SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.63% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 21.54%, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.19%
ROE 18.66%
ROIC 21.54%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1SPOT (7.19%) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a Operating Margin of 10.51%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1SPOT outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
1SPOT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 31.10%, 1SPOT is not doing good in the industry: 73.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1SPOT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.51%
PM (TTM) 7.19%
GM 31.1%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1SPOT is creating value.
1SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1SPOT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1SPOT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

1SPOT has an Altman-Z score of 12.40. This indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
1SPOT's Altman-Z score of 12.40 is amongst the best of the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 91.84% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1SPOT is 0.81, which is an excellent value as it means it would take 1SPOT, only 0.81 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1SPOT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.81. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 93.88% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.07, 1SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.81
Altman-Z 12.4
ROIC/WACC2.84
WACC7.59%
1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

1SPOT has a Current Ratio of 1.48. This is a normal value and indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1SPOT has a Current ratio of 1.48. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 81.63% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a Quick Ratio of 1.48. This is a normal value and indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1SPOT has a Quick ratio of 1.48. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 81.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 1.48
1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 4575.00% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, 1SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.24% in the last year.
1SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4575%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%10.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.24%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%15.24%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1SPOT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 31.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1SPOT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y59.35%
EPS Next 2Y52.77%
EPS Next 3Y43.02%
EPS Next 5Y31.41%
Revenue Next Year13.66%
Revenue Next 2Y14.79%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y12.71%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10 15 20

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1SPOT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.12.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1SPOT.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.91, 1SPOT is valued quite expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.68 indicates a quite expensive valuation of 1SPOT.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1SPOT.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1SPOT to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.85), we can say 1SPOT is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100.12
Fwd PE 43.68
1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1SPOT is valued a bit more expensive than 63.27% of the companies in the same industry.
1SPOT's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.04
EV/EBITDA 58.3
1SPOT.MI Per share data1SPOT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of 1SPOT may justify a higher PE ratio.
1SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 43.02% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.77%
EPS Next 3Y43.02%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1SPOT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

BIT:1SPOT (5/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

561.7

-10.7 (-1.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)04-29 2025-04-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23/bmo
Inst Owners67.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap114.99B
Analysts76.89
Price Target585.06 (4.16%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-52.29%
Max EPS beat(2)-13.1%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.82%
Min EPS beat(4)-52.29%
Max EPS beat(4)23.46%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)45.94%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)23.18%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)27.54%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.75%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.07%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.92%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.1%
PT rev (3m)28.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100.12
Fwd PE 43.68
P/S 7.09
P/FCF 44.04
P/OCF 43.74
P/B 18.41
P/tB 22.78
EV/EBITDA 58.3
EPS(TTM)5.61
EY1%
EPS(NY)12.86
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)12.75
FCFY2.27%
OCF(TTM)12.84
OCFY2.29%
SpS79.27
BVpS30.52
TBVpS24.66
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.19%
ROE 18.66%
ROCE 25.38%
ROIC 21.54%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 10.51%
PM (TTM) 7.19%
GM 31.1%
FCFM 16.09%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y291.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.81
Debt/EBITDA 0.25
Cap/Depr 15.38%
Cap/Sales 0.11%
Interest Coverage 42.65
Cash Conversion 144.21%
Profit Quality 223.93%
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 1.48
Altman-Z 12.4
F-Score7
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC2.84
Cap/Depr(3y)10.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)33.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4575%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%10.31%
EPS Next Y59.35%
EPS Next 2Y52.77%
EPS Next 3Y43.02%
EPS Next 5Y31.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.24%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%15.24%
Revenue Next Year13.66%
Revenue Next 2Y14.79%
Revenue Next 3Y14%
Revenue Next 5Y12.71%
EBIT growth 1Y909.47%
EBIT growth 3Y143.94%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year92.3%
EBIT Next 3Y45.72%
EBIT Next 5Y36.38%
FCF growth 1Y5019.61%
FCF growth 3Y102.27%
FCF growth 5Y39.14%
OCF growth 1Y3766.18%
OCF growth 3Y85.41%
OCF growth 5Y32.05%