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SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - BIT:1SPOT - LU1778762911 - Common Stock

560.5 EUR
-18.3 (-3.16%)
Last: 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to 1SPOT. 1SPOT was compared to 43 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. 1SPOT is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. 1SPOT is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1SPOT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year 1SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years 1SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
In the past 5 years 1SPOT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.99%, 1SPOT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.07% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1SPOT (12.16%) is better than 72.09% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a better Return On Invested Capital (21.90%) than 93.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 12.16%
ROIC 21.9%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

1SPOT has a Profit Margin of 4.85%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1SPOT outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of 1SPOT (11.11%) is better than 69.77% of its industry peers.
1SPOT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 31.63%, 1SPOT is not doing good in the industry: 76.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1SPOT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.11%
PM (TTM) 4.85%
GM 31.63%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1SPOT is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1SPOT has more shares outstanding
1SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1SPOT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 11.49 indicates that 1SPOT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
1SPOT has a Altman-Z score of 11.49. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 95.35% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.84. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.84 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.84, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
1SPOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of 1SPOT (0.07) is better than 88.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.84
Altman-Z 11.49
ROIC/WACC2.93
WACC7.47%
1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.47 indicates that 1SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
1SPOT has a Current ratio of 1.47. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 81.40% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of 1SPOT (1.47) is better than 81.40% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 28.67% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 14.80% in the past year. This is quite good.
1SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-131.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.8%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%10.14%

3.2 Future

1SPOT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.95% yearly.
1SPOT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.85%
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%
EPS Next 5Y28.95%
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y13.26%
Revenue Next 5Y12.06%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 10 20

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 145.21 indicates a quite expensive valuation of 1SPOT.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1SPOT.
1SPOT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 47.41 indicates a quite expensive valuation of 1SPOT.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1SPOT.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.35. 1SPOT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 145.21
Fwd PE 47.41
1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

65.12% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1SPOT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
1SPOT's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 40.69
EV/EBITDA 52.56
1SPOT.MI Per share data1SPOT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1SPOT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
1SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 41.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)37.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1SPOT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

BIT:1SPOT (11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

560.5

-18.3 (-3.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)07-29 2025-07-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Inst Owners70.11%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.2%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap114.74B
Revenue(TTM)16.61B
Net Income(TTM)806.00M
Analysts78.3
Price Target650.71 (16.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-87%
Min EPS beat(2)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-52.29%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-51.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(4)-13.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)48.3%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)15.65%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)16.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.16%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.2%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.7%
PT rev (1m)2.11%
PT rev (3m)9.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 145.21
Fwd PE 47.41
P/S 6.91
P/FCF 40.69
P/OCF 40.32
P/B 17.31
P/tB 20.8
EV/EBITDA 52.56
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY0.69%
EPS(NY)11.82
Fwd EY2.11%
FCF(TTM)13.78
FCFY2.46%
OCF(TTM)13.9
OCFY2.48%
SpS81.15
BVpS32.37
TBVpS26.95
PEG (NY)37.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number53.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 12.16%
ROCE 25.81%
ROIC 21.9%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 11.11%
PM (TTM) 4.85%
GM 31.63%
FCFM 16.97%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y291.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.84
Debt/EBITDA 0.23
Cap/Depr 23.01%
Cap/Sales 0.16%
Interest Coverage 49.89
Cash Conversion 145.28%
Profit Quality 349.88%
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 11.49
F-Score6
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC2.93
Cap/Depr(3y)10.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)33.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-131.58%
EPS Next Y3.85%
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%
EPS Next 5Y28.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.8%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%10.14%
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y13.26%
Revenue Next 5Y12.06%
EBIT growth 1Y225.57%
EBIT growth 3Y143.94%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year63.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.76%
EBIT Next 5Y30.29%
FCF growth 1Y9971.43%
FCF growth 3Y102.27%
FCF growth 5Y39.14%
OCF growth 1Y6676.19%
OCF growth 3Y85.41%
OCF growth 5Y32.05%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / 1SPOT.MI FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to 1SPOT.MI.


What is the valuation status of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1SPOT stock?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) is expected to grow by 3.85% in the next year.