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KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - BIT:1KDP - US49271V1008 - Common Stock

21.83 EUR
-0.43 (-1.91%)
Last: 10/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, 1KDP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1KDP was compared to 26 industry peers in the Beverages industry. 1KDP has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. 1KDP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1KDP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year 1KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years 1KDP has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years 1KDP had a positive operating cash flow.
1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

1KDP has a worse Return On Assets (2.83%) than 65.52% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of 1KDP (6.15%) is worse than 65.52% of its industry peers.
1KDP has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.48%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 75.86% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1KDP is in line with the industry average of 7.35%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.40%) for 1KDP is below the current ROIC(5.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROIC 5.48%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1KDP (9.75%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1KDP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1KDP has a Operating Margin of 21.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Gross Margin value of 54.93%, 1KDP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1KDP is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1KDP has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, 1KDP has less shares outstanding
1KDP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1KDP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1KDP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.28, we must say that 1KDP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
1KDP has a Altman-Z score of 1.28. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 86.21% of its industry peers.
1KDP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.64. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1KDP would need 10.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1KDP (10.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that 1KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
1KDP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.64. This is in the better half of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Altman-Z 1.28
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC6.57%
1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

1KDP has a Current Ratio of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that 1KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1KDP has a Current ratio of 0.64. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 96.55% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.38, 1KDP is not doing good in the industry: 79.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.53%.
Measured over the past years, 1KDP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.49% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.63% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.53%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%8.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%6.14%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1KDP will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.06% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.48% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1KDP is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.77.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1KDP is valued a bit cheaper than 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.77, 1KDP is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.60, the valuation of 1KDP can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1KDP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.23, 1KDP is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.77
Fwd PE 11.6
1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1KDP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1KDP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.99
EV/EBITDA 12.29
1KDP.MI Per share data1KDP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)1.34
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%.
1KDP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.82.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, 1KDP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of 1KDP grows each year by 7.69%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

1KDP pays out 79.95% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP79.95%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

BIT:1KDP (10/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

21.83

-0.43 (-1.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)07-24 2025-07-24/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-27 2025-10-27/bmo
Inst Owners95.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap29.65B
Revenue(TTM)15.76B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts75
Price Target30.9 (41.55%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%
Yearly Dividend0.74
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP79.95%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.22%
Max EPS beat(2)8.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.55%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.3%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.66%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.42%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)-16.96%
PT rev (3m)-16.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.77
Fwd PE 11.6
P/S 2.2
P/FCF 21.99
P/OCF 16.36
P/B 1.39
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.29
EPS(TTM)1.71
EY7.83%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY8.62%
FCF(TTM)0.99
FCFY4.55%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY6.11%
SpS9.93
BVpS15.75
TBVpS-12.03
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)1.34
Graham Number24.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROCE 7.32%
ROIC 5.48%
ROICexc 5.53%
ROICexgc 65.34%
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
FCFM 9.99%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Debt/EBITDA 4.01
Cap/Depr 95.76%
Cap/Sales 3.44%
Interest Coverage 6.16
Cash Conversion 52.7%
Profit Quality 102.54%
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.28
F-Score6
WACC6.57%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.53%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%8.89%
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%6.14%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year22.18%
EBIT Next 3Y10.39%
EBIT Next 5Y5%
FCF growth 1Y0.77%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y8.56%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%