KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - BIT:1KDP - US49271V1008 - Common Stock
32.435 EUR
+32.44 (+Infinity%)
Taking everything into account, 1KDP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1KDP was compared to 27 industry peers in the Beverages industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 1KDP while its profitability can be described as average. 1KDP has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year 1KDP was profitable.
In the past year 1KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years 1KDP has been profitable.
In the past 5 years 1KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.70%, 1KDP is doing worse than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1KDP (5.94%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1KDP (5.58%) is worse than 76.00% of its industry peers.
1KDP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.40%. This is below the industry average of 8.63%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.58%) for 1KDP is above the 3 year average (5.40%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% |
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.39%, 1KDP is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1KDP has a Operating Margin (22.12%) which is in line with its industry peers.
1KDP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
1KDP's Gross Margin of 55.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
1KDP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.39% | ||
| GM | 55.56% |
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1KDP is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1KDP has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for 1KDP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1KDP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.52, we must say that 1KDP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of 1KDP (1.52) is worse than 76.00% of its industry peers.
1KDP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.27. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1KDP would need 10.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1KDP (10.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1KDP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63. This is a neutral value indicating 1KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.63, 1KDP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC7.4%
2.3 Liquidity
1KDP has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that 1KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1KDP's Current ratio of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP is outperformed by 88.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.32, 1KDP is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.26% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1KDP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.49% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.62% in the past year.
1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.26%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%5.25%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.06% on average over the next years.
1KDP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue Next Year5.48%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.43, the valuation of 1KDP can be described as rather expensive.
1KDP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
1KDP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.41.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.22, 1KDP is valued on the expensive side.
1KDP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.88, 1KDP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
1KDP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1KDP is more expensive than 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1KDP.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1KDP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)1.94
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.78%, 1KDP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
1KDP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.85.
1KDP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of 1KDP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.69%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
1KDP pays out 82.86% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP82.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
BIT:1KDP (3/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
32.435
+32.44 (+Infinity%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners80.71%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap44.01B
Analysts74.17
Price Target37.21 (14.72%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP82.86%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.55%
Max EPS beat(2)0.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.91%
Max EPS beat(4)8.8%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.72%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.81%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.22%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.78%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.19%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.18%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.78%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.22 | ||
| P/S | 3.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.59 | ||
| P/B | 1.98 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.73 |
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY5.43%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY5.81%
FCF(TTM)1.08
FCFY3.33%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY4.63%
SpS10.39
BVpS16.41
TBVpS-13.16
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)1.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.94% | ||
| ROCE | 7.49% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 93.53% | ||
| OM | 22.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.39% | ||
| GM | 55.56% | ||
| FCFM | 10.4% |
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 112.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score7
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.26%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.45%
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%5.25%
Revenue Next Year5.48%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
EBIT growth 1Y6.09%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year19.33%
EBIT Next 3Y9.07%
EBIT Next 5Y4.99%
FCF growth 1Y88.33%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y66.97%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%