DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1DLTR • US2567461080

103.72 EUR
+18.86 (+22.22%)
Last: Dec 8, 2025, 07:00 PM

This 1DLTR.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 1DLTR. 1DLTR was compared to 24 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. 1DLTR has an average financial health and profitability rating. 1DLTR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. 1DLTR.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • 1DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years 1DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1DLTR had a positive operating cash flow.
1DLTR.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1DLTR.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -21.38%, 1DLTR is doing worse than 84.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1DLTR's Return On Equity of -84.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1DLTR is outperformed by 88.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of 1DLTR (11.62%) is better than 76.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1DLTR is in line with the industry average of 9.11%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for 1DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
1DLTR.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1DLTR.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of 1DLTR (11.41%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1DLTR has grown nicely.
  • 1DLTR has a better Gross Margin (45.09%) than 96.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
1DLTR.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1DLTR.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

6

2. 1DLTR.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • 1DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for 1DLTR is higher compared to a year ago.
1DLTR.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1DLTR.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
1DLTR.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1DLTR.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.18. This indicates that 1DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • 1DLTR has a Altman-Z score (3.18) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of 1DLTR is 1.90, which is an excellent value as it means it would take 1DLTR, only 1.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • 1DLTR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1DLTR outperforms 96.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating 1DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • 1DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1DLTR outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • Although 1DLTR's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.18
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8%
1DLTR.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1DLTR.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that 1DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 0.96, 1DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that 1DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.22, 1DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 88.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
1DLTR.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1DLTR.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2

3. 1DLTR.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for 1DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.75% in the last year.
  • 1DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, 1DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -55.28% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, 1DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1DLTR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
1DLTR.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1DLTR.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
1DLTR.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1DLTR.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

2

4. 1DLTR.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of 1DLTR.
  • 1DLTR's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1DLTR is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1DLTR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.58, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of 1DLTR.
  • 1DLTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1DLTR is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1DLTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.57
Fwd PE 18.58
1DLTR.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1DLTR.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1DLTR is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • 1DLTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.01
EV/EBITDA 13.96
1DLTR.MI Per share data1DLTR.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • 1DLTR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.32
PEG (5Y)10.5
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%

0

5. 1DLTR.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

1DLTR.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DOLLAR TREE INC

BIT:1DLTR (12/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

103.72

+18.86 (+22.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap20.62B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target100.42 (-3.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.57
Fwd PE 18.58
P/S 1.73
P/FCF 15.01
P/OCF 10.17
P/B 6.97
P/tB 7.94
EV/EBITDA 13.96
EPS(TTM)4.4
EY4.24%
EPS(NY)5.58
Fwd EY5.38%
FCF(TTM)6.91
FCFY6.66%
OCF(TTM)10.2
OCFY9.84%
SpS59.95
BVpS14.88
TBVpS13.06
PEG (NY)4.32
PEG (5Y)10.5
Graham Number38.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.18
F-Score4
WACC8%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year42.99%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / 1DLTR.MI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1DLTR.MI.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for DOLLAR TREE INC?

DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for 1DLTR stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) is 23.57 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.97.


What is the earnings growth outlook for DOLLAR TREE INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of DOLLAR TREE INC (1DLTR.MI) is expected to grow by 5.46% in the next year.