AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (1AXP.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1AXP • US0258161092

Current stock price

269.6 EUR
-12.1 (-4.3%)
Last:

This 1AXP.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. 1AXP.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AXP was profitable.
  • 1AXP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years 1AXP has always been profitable.
  • 1AXP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1AXP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AXP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1AXP has a Return On Assets of 3.57%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1AXP outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AXP has a better Return On Equity (31.97%) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of 1AXP (3.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1AXP is below the industry average of 5.99%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.79%) for 1AXP is above the 3 year average (3.68%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROIC 3.79%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
1AXP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AXP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 13.78%, 1AXP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1AXP has grown nicely.
  • 1AXP's Operating Margin of 17.73% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AXP outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AXP has grown nicely.
  • 1AXP's Gross Margin of 61.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AXP outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1AXP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.73%
PM (TTM) 13.78%
GM 61.51%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
1AXP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AXP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

3

2. 1AXP.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1AXP is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AXP has less shares outstanding
  • 1AXP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • 1AXP has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
1AXP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AXP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
1AXP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AXP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1AXP has an Altman-Z score of 0.78. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AXP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • 1AXP's Altman-Z score of 0.78 is amongst the best of the industry. 1AXP outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • 1AXP has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.14. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1AXP would need 13.14 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1AXP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (13.14) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • 1AXP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 6.28, 1AXP is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Altman-Z 0.78
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC6.89%
1AXP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AXP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1AXP has a Current Ratio of 0.65. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AXP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1AXP's Current ratio of 0.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1AXP outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that 1AXP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1AXP's Quick ratio of 0.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1AXP outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
1AXP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AXP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B

6

3. 1AXP.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.28% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, 1AXP shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.56% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.57% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 15.25% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%

3.2 Future

  • 1AXP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.95% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.10% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.87%
EPS Next 3Y14.46%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue Next Year10.13%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1AXP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AXP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
1AXP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AXP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15 20 25

4

4. 1AXP.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.46 indicates a rather expensive valuation of 1AXP.
  • 1AXP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1AXP is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AXP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of 1AXP.
  • 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1AXP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1AXP to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.68), we can say 1AXP is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.46
Fwd PE 17.74
1AXP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AXP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as 1AXP.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1AXP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.49
EV/EBITDA 14.5
1AXP.MI Per share data1AXP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • 1AXP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of 1AXP may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • 1AXP's earnings are expected to grow with 14.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y14.87%
EPS Next 3Y14.46%

5

5. 1AXP.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1AXP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.17%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • 1AXP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.35.
  • 1AXP's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.17%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of 1AXP grows each year by 12.38%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 21.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1AXP. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of 1AXP is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP21.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.87%
EPS Next 3Y14.46%
1AXP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1AXP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B
1AXP.MI Dividend Payout.1AXP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1AXP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

1AXP.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO

BIT:1AXP (4/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

269.6

-12.1 (-4.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryConsumer Finance
Industry Strength59.01
Industry Growth96.89
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners64.99%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap184.89B
Revenue(TTM)77.65B
Net Income(TTM)10.70B
Analysts70.86
Price Target312.94 (16.08%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.17%
Yearly Dividend2.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
DP21.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(2)2.58%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(4)4.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)2.65%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.17%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.41%
PT rev (1m)-3.18%
PT rev (3m)-3.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.46
Fwd PE 17.74
P/S 2.78
P/FCF 13.49
P/OCF 11.72
P/B 6.45
P/tB 6.45
EV/EBITDA 14.5
EPS(TTM)13.18
EY4.89%
EPS(NY)15.19
Fwd EY5.64%
FCF(TTM)19.98
FCFY7.41%
OCF(TTM)23.01
OCFY8.53%
SpS96.95
BVpS41.79
TBVpS41.79
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number111.324 (-58.71%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROCE 10.47%
ROIC 3.79%
ROICexc 4.54%
ROICexgc 5.05%
OM 17.73%
PM (TTM) 13.78%
GM 61.51%
FCFM 20.61%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
ROICexc(3y)4.43%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.86%
ROCE(3y)10.22%
ROCE(5y)10.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.17%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Debt/EBITDA 13.52
Cap/Depr 136.47%
Cap/Sales 3.12%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 118.53%
Profit Quality 149.55%
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 0.78
F-Score6
WACC6.89%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)115.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.7%
Cap/Sales(5y)3%
Profit Quality(3y)158.99%
Profit Quality(5y)180.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.87%
EPS Next 3Y14.46%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%
Revenue Next Year10.13%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%
EBIT growth 1Y11.18%
EBIT growth 3Y11.71%
EBIT growth 5Y26.29%
EBIT Next Year-4.41%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y31.83%
FCF growth 3Y-5.93%
FCF growth 5Y31.22%
OCF growth 1Y31.16%
OCF growth 3Y-4.38%
OCF growth 5Y26.94%

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO / 1AXP.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to 1AXP.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (1AXP.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of 1AXP stock?

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (1AXP.MI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is AMERICAN EXPRESS CO?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (1AXP.MI) is 3 / 10.


Is the dividend of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO sustainable?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (1AXP.MI) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 21.22%.