AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1AAL • US02376R1023

13.46 EUR
+0.56 (+4.32%)
Last: Jan 5, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall 1AAL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated 1AAL against 14 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. 1AAL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. 1AAL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AAL was profitable.
  • In the past year 1AAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 1AAL reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • 1AAL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1AAL's Return On Assets of 0.97% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL is outperformed by 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • 1AAL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.48%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1AAL underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1AAL is below the industry average of 9.03%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.48%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.11%, 1AAL is doing worse than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1AAL has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of 1AAL (4.22%) is worse than 72.22% of its industry peers.
  • 1AAL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • 1AAL has a Gross Margin of 65.01%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1AAL outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1AAL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1AAL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AAL has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1AAL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for 1AAL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1AAL.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.72, we must say that 1AAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.72, 1AAL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of 1AAL is 32.56, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1AAL, 32.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 32.56, 1AAL is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Altman-Z 0.72
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC6.96%
1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1AAL has a Current Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1AAL has a Current ratio of 0.54. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1AAL underperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.42 indicates that 1AAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.42, 1AAL is doing worse than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • 1AAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -21.64%.
  • 1AAL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -17.21% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, 1AAL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.27% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-156.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%

3.2 Future

  • 1AAL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.67% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1AAL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.83% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-67.3%
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%
EPS Next 5Y14.67%
Revenue Next Year1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y4.52%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.96, which indicates a correct valuation of 1AAL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1AAL indicates a rather expensive valuation: 1AAL more expensive than 83.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 1AAL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.46, the valuation of 1AAL can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1AAL is valued a bit more expensive than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AAL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.05.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.96
Fwd PE 8.46
1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1AAL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 1AAL is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 72.22% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1AAL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.7
EV/EBITDA 5.48
1AAL.MI Per share data1AAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for 1AAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

BIT:1AAL (1/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

13.46

+0.56 (+4.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)10-23
Earnings (Next)01-27
Inst Owners70.53%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.37%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.88B
Revenue(TTM)54.29B
Net Income(TTM)602.00M
Analysts72.67
Price Target14.86 (10.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)29.97%
Min EPS beat(2)20.33%
Max EPS beat(2)39.61%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)9.67%
Max EPS beat(4)39.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)44.85%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)34.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)28.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.52%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.53%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.53%
PT rev (1m)11.07%
PT rev (3m)27.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-16.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)38.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.96
Fwd PE 8.46
P/S 0.19
P/FCF 11.7
P/OCF 2.74
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.48
EPS(TTM)0.9
EY6.69%
EPS(NY)1.59
Fwd EY11.82%
FCF(TTM)1.15
FCFY8.55%
OCF(TTM)4.92
OCFY36.54%
SpS70.8
BVpS-5.17
TBVpS-13.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.11%
ROIC 4.48%
ROICexc 5.6%
ROICexgc 7.04%
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
FCFM 1.62%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.55%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.25%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y2.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Debt/EBITDA 5.54
Cap/Depr 128.69%
Cap/Sales 5.32%
Interest Coverage 1.31
Cash Conversion 83.12%
Profit Quality 146.51%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 0.72
F-Score7
WACC6.96%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)120.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-156.67%
EPS Next Y-67.3%
EPS Next 2Y-1.62%
EPS Next 3Y10.45%
EPS Next 5Y14.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%
Revenue Next Year1.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y4.52%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.23%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.55%
EBIT Next Year30.87%
EBIT Next 3Y24.28%
EBIT Next 5Y23.05%
FCF growth 1Y-64.31%
FCF growth 3Y64.51%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.52%
OCF growth 3Y78.19%
OCF growth 5Y0.87%

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC / 1AAL.MI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to 1AAL.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1AAL stock?

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for 1AAL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) is 14.96 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.61.


How sustainable is the dividend of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) stock?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.