AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1AAL • US02376R1023

Current stock price

9.204 EUR
+0.17 (+1.87%)
Last:

This 1AAL.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. 1AAL.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AAL was profitable.
  • In the past year 1AAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years 1AAL 4 years were profitable.
  • 1AAL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.97%, 1AAL is not doing good in the industry: 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • 1AAL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.03% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1AAL is below the industry average of 8.81%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.03%
ROA(3y)0.95%
ROA(5y)0.01%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

  • 1AAL has a Profit Margin of 1.11%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1AAL underperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1AAL has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 4.22%, 1AAL is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AAL has declined.
  • 1AAL has a Gross Margin of 65.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1AAL outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • 1AAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
OM growth 3Y-6.82%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-7.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y8.11%
1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

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1

2. 1AAL.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1AAL is destroying value.
  • 1AAL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • 1AAL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for 1AAL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1AAL.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1AAL has an Altman-Z score of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.69, 1AAL is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AAL has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1AAL would need 32.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1AAL's Debt to FCF ratio of 32.56 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Altman-Z 0.69
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC5.82%
1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.54 indicates that 1AAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.54, 1AAL is doing worse than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AAL has a Quick Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1AAL's Quick ratio of 0.42 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL is outperformed by 81.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. 1AAL.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1AAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -81.68%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.27% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.78% in the past year.
  • 1AAL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.80% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-81.68%
EPS 3Y5.27%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-81.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.78%
Revenue growth 3Y3.71%
Revenue growth 5Y25.8%
Sales Q2Q%2.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 74.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • 1AAL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y118.34%
EPS Next 2Y164.71%
EPS Next 3Y107.57%
EPS Next 5Y74.14%
Revenue Next Year10.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.55%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y5.72%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

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4

4. 1AAL.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.68, the valuation of 1AAL can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1AAL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1AAL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say 1AAL is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.10, which indicates a correct valuation of 1AAL.
  • 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1AAL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • 1AAL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.68
Fwd PE 14.1
1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as 1AAL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1AAL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AAL is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.07
EV/EBITDA 4.8
1AAL.MI Per share data1AAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • 1AAL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • 1AAL's earnings are expected to grow with 107.56% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y164.71%
EPS Next 3Y107.57%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. 1AAL.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for 1AAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

1AAL.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

BIT:1AAL (4/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

9.204

+0.17 (+1.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-27
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners71.08%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.08B
Revenue(TTM)54.63B
Net Income(TTM)602.00M
Analysts74
Price Target13.38 (45.37%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)29.97%
Min EPS beat(2)20.33%
Max EPS beat(2)39.61%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)9.67%
Max EPS beat(4)39.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)44.85%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)34.95%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)28.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.52%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.53%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.53%
PT rev (1m)-9.97%
PT rev (3m)-1.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.97%
EPS NY rev (1m)-58.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-58.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.68
Fwd PE 14.1
P/S 0.13
P/FCF 8.07
P/OCF 1.89
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.8
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY3.26%
EPS(NY)0.65
Fwd EY7.09%
FCF(TTM)1.14
FCFY12.39%
OCF(TTM)4.88
OCFY52.98%
SpS70.21
BVpS-5.12
TBVpS-13.05
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.97%
ROE N/A
ROCE 6.11%
ROIC 4.03%
ROICexc 5.03%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 4.22%
PM (TTM) 1.11%
GM 65.01%
FCFM 1.62%
ROA(3y)0.95%
ROA(5y)0.01%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.19%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.69%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.62%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.95%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y0.11%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-6.82%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-7.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y8.11%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 32.56
Debt/EBITDA 5.57
Cap/Depr 130.19%
Cap/Sales 5.32%
Interest Coverage 1.31
Cash Conversion 83.6%
Profit Quality 146.51%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 0.69
F-Score7
WACC5.82%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)135%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-81.68%
EPS 3Y5.27%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-81.4%
EPS Next Y118.34%
EPS Next 2Y164.71%
EPS Next 3Y107.57%
EPS Next 5Y74.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.78%
Revenue growth 3Y3.71%
Revenue growth 5Y25.8%
Sales Q2Q%2.48%
Revenue Next Year10.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.55%
Revenue Next 3Y6.58%
Revenue Next 5Y5.72%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.36%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year149.36%
EBIT Next 3Y53.41%
EBIT Next 5Y34.07%
FCF growth 1Y259.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y68.8%
OCF growth 3Y12.56%
OCF growth 5YN/A

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC / 1AAL.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to 1AAL.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) stock?

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.