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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (1AAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1AAL - Euronext Milan - US02376R1023 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

10.604  -0.07 (-0.64%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall 1AAL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated 1AAL against 14 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of 1AAL have multiple concerns. 1AAL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1AAL was profitable.
1AAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 1AAL reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years 1AAL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.09%, 1AAL is doing worse than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1AAL (5.98%) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.
1AAL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.54%. This is below the industry average of 8.66%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.54%) for 1AAL is below the current ROIC(5.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.09%
ROE N/A
ROIC 5.98%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1AAL (1.26%) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1AAL has declined.
The Operating Margin of 1AAL (5.50%) is worse than 64.29% of its industry peers.
1AAL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1AAL's Gross Margin of 64.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1AAL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.5%
PM (TTM) 1.26%
GM 64.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1AAL is destroying value.
1AAL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1AAL has more shares outstanding
1AAL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1AAL.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

1AAL has an Altman-Z score of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
1AAL's Altman-Z score of 0.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
1AAL has a debt to FCF ratio of 18.68. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1AAL would need 18.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1AAL (18.68) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 18.68
Altman-Z 0.69
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC6.56%
1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

1AAL has a Current Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.52, 1AAL is not doing good in the industry: 92.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1AAL has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1AAL's Quick ratio of 0.42 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AAL is outperformed by 92.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.42
1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1AAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -26.22%.
Measured over the past years, 1AAL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.21% on average per year.
1AAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.92%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-73.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.92%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%-0.15%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.02% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
1AAL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.27% yearly.
EPS Next Y-53.31%
EPS Next 2Y2.52%
EPS Next 3Y11.2%
EPS Next 5Y17.02%
Revenue Next Year1.29%
Revenue Next 2Y3.58%
Revenue Next 3Y4.02%
Revenue Next 5Y3.27%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.52, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1AAL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1AAL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.35, 1AAL is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.21, the valuation of 1AAL can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1AAL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1AAL is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.54, 1AAL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.52
Fwd PE 6.21
1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

1AAL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1AAL is more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1AAL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.22
EV/EBITDA 4.3
1AAL.MI Per share data1AAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.52%
EPS Next 3Y11.2%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1AAL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

BIT:1AAL (7/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

10.604

-0.07 (-0.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)04-24 2025-04-24/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-17 2025-07-17/bmo
Inst Owners67.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.33%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.99B
Analysts73.33
Price Target11.92 (12.41%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)21.44%
Min EPS beat(2)9.67%
Max EPS beat(2)33.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)33.85%
Min EPS beat(4)2.97%
Max EPS beat(4)89.57%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)45.93%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)31.66%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)25.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.97%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.41%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.58%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.46%
PT rev (1m)-0.92%
PT rev (3m)-31.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-60.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.52
Fwd PE 6.21
P/S 0.15
P/FCF 5.22
P/OCF 1.93
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.3
EPS(TTM)1.41
EY13.3%
EPS(NY)1.71
Fwd EY16.1%
FCF(TTM)2.03
FCFY19.17%
OCF(TTM)5.49
OCFY51.8%
SpS69.9
BVpS-5.81
TBVpS-13.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.09%
ROE N/A
ROCE 8.16%
ROIC 5.98%
ROICexc 7.67%
ROICexgc 9.77%
OM 5.5%
PM (TTM) 1.26%
GM 64.23%
FCFM 2.91%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.55%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.25%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y2.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.79%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.63%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 18.68
Debt/EBITDA 4.73
Cap/Depr 119.51%
Cap/Sales 4.95%
Interest Coverage 1.57
Cash Conversion 81.53%
Profit Quality 230.07%
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 0.69
F-Score7
WACC6.56%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)120.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%-73.53%
EPS Next Y-53.31%
EPS Next 2Y2.52%
EPS Next 3Y11.2%
EPS Next 5Y17.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.92%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%-0.15%
Revenue Next Year1.29%
Revenue Next 2Y3.58%
Revenue Next 3Y4.02%
Revenue Next 5Y3.27%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.55%
EBIT Next Year43.06%
EBIT Next 3Y26.24%
EBIT Next 5Y28.36%
FCF growth 1Y-11.41%
FCF growth 3Y64.51%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-1.43%
OCF growth 3Y78.19%
OCF growth 5Y0.87%