SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)
US8248891090 - Common Stock
SCVL gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. SCVL scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. SCVL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years SCVL has been profitable.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 7.04%, SCVL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.57%, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of SCVL (7.72%) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SCVL is in line with the industry average of 13.62%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.99%) for SCVL is well above the current ROIC(7.72%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.04% | ||
| ROE | 12.57% | ||
| ROIC | 7.72% |
ROA(3y)12.41%
ROA(5y)9.31%
ROE(3y)22.58%
ROE(5y)17.47%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)11.39%
1.3 Margins
SCVL has a Profit Margin of 6.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SCVL outperforms 80.16% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SCVL has a Operating Margin of 7.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SCVL has a Gross Margin (35.84%) which is in line with its industry peers.
SCVL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.24% | ||
| GM | 35.84% |
OM growth 3Y45.92%
OM growth 5Y10.46%
PM growth 3Y56.16%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y7.73%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SCVL is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SCVL has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for SCVL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.02 indicates that SCVL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 4.02, SCVL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC9.02%
2.3 Liquidity
SCVL has a Current Ratio of 3.76. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
SCVL has a Current ratio of 3.76. This is amongst the best in the industry. SCVL outperforms 96.03% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicates that SCVL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SCVL has a better Quick ratio (1.05) than 69.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.05 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SCVL have decreased strongly by -31.82% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 17.32% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, SCVL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.85% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.69% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.82%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y17.32%
EPS growth Q2Q-25.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.85%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Revenue growth Q2Q-3.66%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.46%
EPS Next 2Y7.52%
EPS Next 3Y8.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.59%
Revenue Next 2Y5.52%
Revenue Next 3Y6.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.76, the valuation of SCVL can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SCVL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.15.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.82, SCVL is valued correctly.
SCVL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 75.40% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SCVL to the average of the S&P500 Index (20.20), we can say SCVL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
73.02% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SCVL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
SCVL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SCVL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y7.52%
EPS Next 3Y8.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SCVL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.52%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.36, SCVL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
SCVL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.52% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SCVL grows each year by 24.73%, which is quite nice.
SCVL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SCVL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.73%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
16.63% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SCVL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
SCVL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP16.63%
EPS Next 2Y7.52%
EPS Next 3Y8.06%
SHOE CARNIVAL INC
NASDAQ:SCVL (5/17/2024, 7:25:32 PM)
After market: 34.45 0 (0%)34.45
-0.05 (-0.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap934.63M
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.52% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
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EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
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Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.82 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.04% | ||
| ROE | 12.57% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 7.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.24% | ||
| GM | 35.84% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.05 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.82%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y-0.46%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.85%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
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