SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SCVL • US8248891090
Current stock price
17.86 USD
+1.06 (+6.31%)
At close:
17.86 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SCVL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SCVL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SCVL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SCVL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years SCVL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SCVL (4.35%) is better than 66.13% of its industry peers.
- SCVL has a Return On Equity of 7.58%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 63.71% of its industry peers.
- SCVL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.80%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SCVL outperforms 57.26% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SCVL is significantly below the industry average of 13.35%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.35% | ||
| ROE | 7.58% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% |
ROA(3y)5.98%
ROA(5y)9.63%
ROE(3y)10.51%
ROE(5y)17.34%
ROIC(3y)6.46%
ROIC(5y)11.27%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SCVL (4.60%) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
- SCVL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 5.89%, SCVL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
- SCVL has a Gross Margin of 36.57%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SCVL outperforms 52.42% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.6% | ||
| GM | 36.57% |
OM growth 3Y-20.26%
OM growth 5Y18.1%
PM growth 3Y-19.19%
PM growth 5Y22.96%
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y4.99%
2. SCVL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SCVL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- There is no outstanding debt for SCVL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.08 indicates that SCVL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.08, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
- There is no outstanding debt for SCVL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.08 |
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC8.93%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.76 indicates that SCVL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- SCVL has a better Current ratio (3.76) than 91.94% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that SCVL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.99, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 |
3. SCVL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SCVL have decreased strongly by -30.15% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 28.14% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has decreased by -5.62% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.05% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.15%
EPS 3Y-21.71%
EPS 5Y28.14%
EPS Q2Q%-38.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.47%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-3.37%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.07% on average per year.
- SCVL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y-17.86%
EPS Next 2Y-3.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.35%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SCVL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.40, which indicates a very decent valuation of SCVL.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued cheaper than 91.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SCVL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say SCVL is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.44, the valuation of SCVL can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SCVL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SCVL is cheaper than 79.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.68. SCVL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SCVL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 94.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SCVL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of SCVL may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as SCVL's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.33
EPS Next 2Y-3.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. SCVL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.24%, SCVL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- SCVL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.07. SCVL pays more dividend than 87.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, SCVL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.24% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SCVL grows each year by 22.78%, which is quite nice.
- SCVL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SCVL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
5.3 Sustainability
- SCVL pays out 32.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP32.04%
EPS Next 2Y-3.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
SCVL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
17.86
+1.06 (+6.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-26 2026-03-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-28 2026-05-28
Inst Owners72.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners33.32%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap488.83M
Revenue(TTM)1.14B
Net Income(TTM)52.27M
Analysts77.78
Price Target23.46 (31.35%)
Short Float %18.43%
Short Ratio8.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.24% |
Yearly Dividend0.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
DP32.04%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
Ex-Date04-06 2026-04-06 (0.17)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)7.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)19.01%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)7.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.26%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)0.62%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.48%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.89%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.58%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.56%
PT rev (1m)6.98%
PT rev (3m)6.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)31.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.44 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.39 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.86 | ||
| P/B | 0.71 | ||
| P/tB | 0.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.4 |
EPS(TTM)1.9
EY10.64%
EPS(NY)1.56
Fwd EY8.74%
FCF(TTM)0.97
FCFY5.44%
OCF(TTM)2.61
OCFY14.59%
SpS41.48
BVpS25.2
TBVpS23.04
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.33
Graham Number32.82
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.35% | ||
| ROE | 7.58% | ||
| ROCE | 6.41% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.87% | ||
| OM | 5.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.6% | ||
| GM | 36.57% | ||
| FCFM | 2.34% |
ROA(3y)5.98%
ROA(5y)9.63%
ROE(3y)10.51%
ROE(5y)17.34%
ROIC(3y)6.46%
ROIC(5y)11.27%
ROICexc(3y)7.37%
ROICexc(5y)13.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.86%
ROICexgc(5y)14.24%
ROCE(3y)8.62%
ROCE(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-27.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.86%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.47%
OM growth 3Y-20.26%
OM growth 5Y18.1%
PM growth 3Y-19.19%
PM growth 5Y22.96%
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y4.99%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.94
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 130.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 237.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.86% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.08 |
F-Score5
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)144.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.52%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.83%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.99%
Profit Quality(3y)78.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.15%
EPS 3Y-21.71%
EPS 5Y28.14%
EPS Q2Q%-38.89%
EPS Next Y-17.86%
EPS Next 2Y-3.07%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.47%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-3.37%
Revenue Next Year-0.35%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.86%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.03%
EBIT growth 5Y21.71%
EBIT Next Year30.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-61.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.22%
OCF growth 1Y-30.53%
OCF growth 3Y12.26%
OCF growth 5Y2.38%
SHOE CARNIVAL INC / SCVL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SCVL.
What is the valuation status for SCVL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) stock?
SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of SHOE CARNIVAL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) is 9.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.71.
How sustainable is the dividend of SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) stock?
The dividend rating of SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 32.04%.