SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SCVL - Nasdaq - US8248891090 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall SCVL gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated SCVL against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. SCVL has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. SCVL is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. SCVL also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make SCVL suitable for value and dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years SCVL has been profitable.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.56%, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of SCVL (11.37%) is better than 67.77% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.99%, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.29% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.38%. This is below the industry average of 12.74%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 6.99% |
ROA(3y)8.24%
ROA(5y)9.26%
ROE(3y)14.96%
ROE(5y)16.86%
ROIC(3y)9.38%
ROIC(5y)11.19%
1.3 Margins
SCVL has a Profit Margin of 6.13%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 79.34% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.60%, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SCVL has a Gross Margin (35.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.13% | ||
| GM | 35.65% |
OM growth 3Y-21.41%
OM growth 5Y7.37%
PM growth 3Y-19.24%
PM growth 5Y8.18%
GM growth 3Y-3.44%
GM growth 5Y3.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SCVL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
SCVL has an Altman-Z score of 3.41. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of SCVL (3.41) is better than 76.86% of its industry peers.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC9.84%
2.3 Liquidity
SCVL has a Current Ratio of 4.11. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
SCVL's Current ratio of 4.11 is amongst the best of the industry. SCVL outperforms 95.04% of its industry peers.
SCVL has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SCVL has a better Quick ratio (1.15) than 76.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.74% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, SCVL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.49% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.30% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SCVL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.74%
EPS 3Y-20.48%
EPS 5Y13.49%
EPS Q2Q%-8.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-6.15%
3.2 Future
SCVL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.07% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.49% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.13%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.91, the valuation of SCVL can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued cheaper than 89.26% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.48 indicates a reasonable valuation of SCVL.
SCVL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 80.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.76. SCVL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.48 |
4.2 Price Multiples
91.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SCVL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
SCVL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 85.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SCVL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.09%, SCVL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
SCVL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.22. SCVL pays more dividend than 86.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, SCVL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.09% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SCVL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 22.78%!
SCVL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SCVL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
SCVL pays out 19.94% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
SCVL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP19.94%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
18.8
-0.71 (-3.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.23%
Inst Owner Change5.68%
Ins Owners32.66%
Ins Owner Change3.9%
Market Cap513.80M
Analysts80
Price Target28.56 (51.91%)
Short Float %23.67%
Short Ratio6.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.09% |
Yearly Dividend0.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
DP19.94%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.03%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)22.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)7.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.35%
Max EPS beat(4)22.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.51%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.02%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.52%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.84%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.06%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-42.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-62.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.48 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.01 | ||
| P/B | 0.79 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.23 |
EPS(TTM)2.72
EY14.47%
EPS(NY)1.98
Fwd EY10.54%
FCF(TTM)2.54
FCFY13.52%
OCF(TTM)3.76
OCFY19.98%
SpS44.01
BVpS23.75
TBVpS21.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 9.2% | ||
| ROIC | 6.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.56% | ||
| OM | 7.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.13% | ||
| GM | 35.65% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)8.24%
ROA(5y)9.26%
ROE(3y)14.96%
ROE(5y)16.86%
ROIC(3y)9.38%
ROIC(5y)11.19%
ROICexc(3y)10.44%
ROICexc(5y)13.23%
ROICexgc(3y)11.1%
ROICexgc(5y)14.18%
ROCE(3y)12.35%
ROCE(5y)14.73%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-36.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.33%
OM growth 3Y-21.41%
OM growth 5Y7.37%
PM growth 3Y-19.24%
PM growth 5Y8.18%
GM growth 3Y-3.44%
GM growth 5Y3.45%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.75% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.76% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 322.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 94.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.41 |
F-Score5
WACC9.84%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)211.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)175.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.74%
EPS 3Y-20.48%
EPS 5Y13.49%
EPS Q2Q%-8.47%
EPS Next Y-27.13%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-6.15%
Revenue Next Year-1.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-2.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.01%
EBIT growth 5Y10.61%
EBIT Next Year6.93%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y4.52%
FCF growth 3Y-15.83%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-16.39%
OCF growth 3Y-11.47%
OCF growth 5Y8.94%