PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A (PGY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PGY • IL0011858912
Current stock price
10.64 USD
-0.39 (-3.54%)
At close:
10.8 USD
+0.16 (+1.5%)
Pre-Market:
This PGY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PGY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year PGY was profitable.
- In the past year PGY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years PGY reported 4 times negative net income.
- PGY had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- PGY has a better Return On Assets (5.00%) than 74.10% of its industry peers.
- PGY has a Return On Equity of 15.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PGY outperforms 82.73% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.20%, PGY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.37% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5% | ||
| ROE | 15.16% | ||
| ROIC | 14.2% |
ROA(3y)-12.24%
ROA(5y)-17.91%
ROE(3y)-35.09%
ROE(5y)-41.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.94%, PGY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- PGY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 20.27%, PGY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PGY has remained more or less at the same level.
- PGY's Gross Margin of 42.43% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PGY is outperformed by 74.46% of its industry peers.
- PGY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.94% | ||
| GM | 42.43% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.14%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.66%
GM growth 3Y2.18%
GM growth 5Y-3.39%
2. PGY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- PGY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PGY has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for PGY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for PGY is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.99 indicates that PGY is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.99, PGY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- PGY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.67. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as PGY would need 3.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.67, PGY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.62 is on the high side and indicates that PGY has dependencies on debt financing.
- PGY's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PGY is outperformed by 79.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
ROIC/WACC1.78
WACC7.96%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.00 indicates that PGY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 3.00, PGY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.00 indicates that PGY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.00, PGY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 |
3. PGY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 126.91% over the past year.
- PGY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 59.53% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, PGY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 26.07%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 67.40% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)126.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y59.53%
EPS Q2Q%111.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.07%
Revenue growth 3Y20.22%
Revenue growth 5Y67.4%
Sales Q2Q%16.46%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, PGY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.44% on average per year.
- PGY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y-16.52%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y25.44%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.31%
Revenue Next 2Y13.25%
Revenue Next 3Y12.83%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. PGY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.19, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of PGY.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PGY indicates a rather cheap valuation: PGY is cheaper than 92.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. PGY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.61, the valuation of PGY can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PGY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.42. PGY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PGY is valued cheaper than 96.04% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PGY is valued cheaper than 98.20% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as PGY's earnings are expected to grow with 25.44% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.12
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y25.44%
5. PGY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- PGY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
PGY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
10.64
-0.39 (-3.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-09 2026-02-09/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners62.52%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.45%
Ins Owner Change3.03%
Market Cap878.12M
Revenue(TTM)1.30B
Net Income(TTM)77.32M
Analysts84
Price Target28.1 (164.1%)
Short Float %21.13%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.59%
Min EPS beat(2)3.74%
Max EPS beat(2)25.43%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)41.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.37%
Max EPS beat(4)143.41%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1445.45%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-992.63%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.29%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.51%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.14%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.21%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-31.31%
PT rev (3m)-32.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-22.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.61 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.68 | ||
| P/B | 1.72 | ||
| P/tB | 1.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.99 |
EPS(TTM)1.48
EY13.91%
EPS(NY)1.24
Fwd EY11.61%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY25.59%
OCF(TTM)2.89
OCFY27.17%
SpS15.77
BVpS6.18
TBVpS5.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.12
Graham Number14.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5% | ||
| ROE | 15.16% | ||
| ROCE | 17.98% | ||
| ROIC | 14.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.92% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.35% | ||
| OM | 20.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.94% | ||
| GM | 42.43% | ||
| FCFM | 17.27% |
ROA(3y)-12.24%
ROA(5y)-17.91%
ROE(3y)-35.09%
ROE(5y)-41.13%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.25%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.14%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.66%
GM growth 3Y2.18%
GM growth 5Y-3.39%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.8 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 46.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | 290.62% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
F-Score7
WACC7.96%
ROIC/WACC1.78
Cap/Depr(3y)77.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)280.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.94%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.04%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)126.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y59.53%
EPS Q2Q%111.25%
EPS Next Y-16.52%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y25.44%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.07%
Revenue growth 3Y20.22%
Revenue growth 5Y67.4%
Sales Q2Q%16.46%
Revenue Next Year12.31%
Revenue Next 2Y13.25%
Revenue Next 3Y12.83%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y294.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y65.49%
EBIT Next Year61.77%
EBIT Next 3Y29.61%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y419.18%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y134.63%
OCF growth 1Y258.72%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y123.73%
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A / PGY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A (PGY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PGY.
Can you provide the valuation status for PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A (PGY). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A?
PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A (PGY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAGAYA TECHNOLOGIES LTD -A (PGY) is expected to decline by -16.52% in the next year.