PAYCHEX INC (PAYX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PAYX • US7043261079
Current stock price
91.71 USD
+1.07 (+1.18%)
At close:
91.71 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This PAYX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PAYX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- PAYX had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year PAYX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years PAYX has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years PAYX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of PAYX (9.66%) is better than 80.46% of its industry peers.
- PAYX's Return On Equity of 41.13% is amongst the best of the industry. PAYX outperforms 91.95% of its industry peers.
- PAYX's Return On Invested Capital of 19.25% is amongst the best of the industry. PAYX outperforms 86.21% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PAYX is significantly above the industry average of 12.57%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (28.05%) for PAYX is well above the current ROIC(19.25%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.66% | ||
| ROE | 41.13% | ||
| ROIC | 19.25% |
ROA(3y)13.68%
ROA(5y)13.48%
ROE(3y)43.07%
ROE(5y)42.31%
ROIC(3y)28.05%
ROIC(5y)28.53%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 26.45%, PAYX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PAYX has grown nicely.
- PAYX has a Operating Margin of 39.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PAYX outperforms 97.70% of its industry peers.
- PAYX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of PAYX (91.14%) is better than 98.85% of its industry peers.
- PAYX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 39.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.45% | ||
| GM | 91.14% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y2.95%
PM growth 3Y-0.51%
PM growth 5Y1.82%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
2. PAYX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PAYX is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for PAYX remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, PAYX has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for PAYX is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- PAYX has an Altman-Z score of 2.69. This is not the best score and indicates that PAYX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 2.69, PAYX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.02% of the companies in the same industry.
- PAYX has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.53. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as PAYX would need 2.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.53, PAYX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- PAYX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.18, PAYX is doing worse than 74.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
ROIC/WACC2.35
WACC8.2%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.27 indicates that PAYX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.27, PAYX is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.27 indicates that PAYX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- PAYX has a Quick ratio of 1.27. This is in the lower half of the industry: PAYX underperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 |
3. PAYX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.50% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, PAYX shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.74% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 12.37% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.64% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.5%
EPS 3Y9.82%
EPS 5Y10.74%
EPS Q2Q%10.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.37%
Revenue growth 3Y6.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.64%
Sales Q2Q%18.28%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.20% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- PAYX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y10.01%
EPS Next 3Y8.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.2%
Revenue Next Year16.9%
Revenue Next 2Y11.26%
Revenue Next 3Y9.47%
Revenue Next 5Y7.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. PAYX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.77, PAYX is valued on the expensive side.
- PAYX's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PAYX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.79), we can say PAYX is valued slightly cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.22, PAYX is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PAYX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- PAYX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- PAYX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PAYX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- PAYX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- PAYX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)1.65
EPS Next 2Y10.01%
EPS Next 3Y8.91%
5. PAYX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- PAYX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.71%, which is a nice return.
- PAYX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.71. PAYX pays more dividend than 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- PAYX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.71% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of PAYX grows each year by 10.17%, which is quite nice.
- PAYX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- PAYX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.17%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
- PAYX pays out 95.21% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of PAYX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP95.21%
EPS Next 2Y10.01%
EPS Next 3Y8.91%
PAYX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
91.71
+1.07 (+1.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)12-19 2025-12-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-25 2026-03-25/bmo
Inst Owners84.56%
Inst Owner Change4.95%
Ins Owners10.31%
Ins Owner Change-2.84%
Market Cap32.92B
Revenue(TTM)6.03B
Net Income(TTM)1.60B
Analysts53.91
Price Target123.02 (34.14%)
Short Float %6.22%
Short Ratio5.23
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.71% |
Yearly Dividend4.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.17%
DP95.21%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date01-28 2026-01-28 (1.08)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.85%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.94%
Max EPS beat(4)0.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.69%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.63%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.85%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.26%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.09%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.71%
PT rev (3m)-8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.22 | ||
| P/S | 5.46 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.78 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.81 | ||
| P/B | 8.48 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
EPS(TTM)5.16
EY5.63%
EPS(NY)6.03
Fwd EY6.57%
FCF(TTM)5.46
FCFY5.96%
OCF(TTM)6.19
OCFY6.75%
SpS16.81
BVpS10.81
TBVpS-6.85
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)1.65
Graham Number35.42
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.66% | ||
| ROE | 41.13% | ||
| ROCE | 25.31% | ||
| ROIC | 19.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.93% | ||
| ROICexgc | 111.92% | ||
| OM | 39.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.45% | ||
| GM | 91.14% | ||
| FCFM | 32.51% |
ROA(3y)13.68%
ROA(5y)13.48%
ROE(3y)43.07%
ROE(5y)42.31%
ROIC(3y)28.05%
ROIC(5y)28.53%
ROICexc(3y)39.45%
ROICexc(5y)39.54%
ROICexgc(3y)122.07%
ROICexgc(5y)118.33%
ROCE(3y)36.92%
ROCE(5y)37.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.68%
ROICexc growth 3Y-20.58%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.53%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y2.95%
PM growth 3Y-0.51%
PM growth 5Y1.82%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.66 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 75.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 122.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
F-Score5
WACC8.2%
ROIC/WACC2.35
Cap/Depr(3y)100.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.37%
Profit Quality(3y)100.66%
Profit Quality(5y)101.87%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.5%
EPS 3Y9.82%
EPS 5Y10.74%
EPS Q2Q%10.53%
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y10.01%
EPS Next 3Y8.91%
EPS Next 5Y8.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.37%
Revenue growth 3Y6.51%
Revenue growth 5Y6.64%
Sales Q2Q%18.28%
Revenue Next Year16.9%
Revenue Next 2Y11.26%
Revenue Next 3Y9.47%
Revenue Next 5Y7.57%
EBIT growth 1Y6.35%
EBIT growth 3Y8.18%
EBIT growth 5Y9.79%
EBIT Next Year28.83%
EBIT Next 3Y13.69%
EBIT Next 5Y10.88%
FCF growth 1Y8.26%
FCF growth 3Y5.13%
FCF growth 5Y5.19%
OCF growth 1Y11.67%
OCF growth 3Y6.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.7%
PAYCHEX INC / PAYX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYCHEX INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PAYX.
What is the valuation status of PAYCHEX INC (PAYX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PAYCHEX INC (PAYX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PAYX stock?
PAYCHEX INC (PAYX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for PAYX stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAYCHEX INC (PAYX) is 17.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.48.
How financially healthy is PAYCHEX INC?
The financial health rating of PAYCHEX INC (PAYX) is 4 / 10.