NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:NTR - CA67077M1086 - Common Stock
57.32 USD
+0.33 (+0.58%)
57.32 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, NTR scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NTR was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While NTR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on NTR.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NTR was profitable.
NTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NTR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years NTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.49%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.20%, NTR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.86%, NTR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
NTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is above the industry average of 6.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.49% | ||
| ROE | 7.2% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.79%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NTR has declined.
NTR has a better Operating Margin (12.63%) than 68.29% of its industry peers.
NTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.20%, NTR is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.88% of the companies in the same industry.
NTR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 30.2% |
OM growth 3Y-13.46%
OM growth 5Y2.09%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NTR is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NTR has less shares outstanding
NTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
NTR has an Altman-Z score of 1.77. This is a bad value and indicates that NTR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
NTR has a Altman-Z score of 1.77. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NTR outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
NTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.46. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NTR would need 6.46 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.46, NTR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.61% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53 indicates that NTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NTR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.53) than 67.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.27%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that NTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NTR has a worse Current ratio (1.41) than 75.61% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that NTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, NTR is doing worse than 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NTR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.48%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.65% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, NTR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.25% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.48%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%148.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%18.13%
3.2 Future
NTR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.51% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, NTR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.65% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.62%
EPS Next 2Y14.92%
EPS Next 3Y7.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.51%
Revenue Next Year2.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y1.15%
Revenue Next 5Y0.65%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.19, which indicates a correct valuation of NTR.
NTR's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NTR is cheaper than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.56), we can say NTR is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.40, the valuation of NTR can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NTR is cheaper than 62.20% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.62.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NTR is valued a bit cheaper than 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
80.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NTR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
NTR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of NTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y14.92%
EPS Next 3Y7.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.76%, NTR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
NTR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.00.
NTR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NTR has a limited annual growth rate of 2.94%.
NTR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
NTR has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
58.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NTR. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
NTR's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP58.76%
EPS Next 2Y14.92%
EPS Next 3Y7.79%
57.32
+0.33 (+0.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners71.84%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap27.85B
Revenue(TTM)26.62B
Net Income(TTM)1.81B
Analysts72.59
Price Target48.14 (-16.02%)
Short Float %0.93%
Short Ratio1.7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.76% |
Yearly Dividend2.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
DP58.76%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.52%
Min EPS beat(2)1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-16.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(4)9.5%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.79%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-17.34%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.18%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.33%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.06%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)-0.13%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)21.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.4 | ||
| P/S | 1.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.71 | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | 2.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.72 |
EPS(TTM)4.04
EY7.05%
EPS(NY)4.62
Fwd EY8.06%
FCF(TTM)4.52
FCFY7.88%
OCF(TTM)8.55
OCFY14.91%
SpS54.8
BVpS51.69
TBVpS23.24
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number68.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.49% | ||
| ROE | 7.2% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.93% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 12.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 30.2% | ||
| FCFM | 8.24% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.25%
ROICexgc(3y)13.18%
ROICexgc(5y)11.36%
ROCE(3y)13.73%
ROCE(5y)11.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.99%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.12%
OM growth 3Y-13.46%
OM growth 5Y2.09%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.31 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 81.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.36% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 121.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
F-Score8
WACC7.27%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)112.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.55%
Profit Quality(3y)156.44%
Profit Quality(5y)184.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.48%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%148.72%
EPS Next Y32.62%
EPS Next 2Y14.92%
EPS Next 3Y7.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%18.13%
Revenue Next Year2.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y1.15%
Revenue Next 5Y0.65%
EBIT growth 1Y19.73%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.31%
EBIT growth 5Y7.48%
EBIT Next Year98.5%
EBIT Next 3Y24.26%
EBIT Next 5Y13.41%
FCF growth 1Y-22.69%
FCF growth 3Y-13.08%
FCF growth 5Y-4.89%
OCF growth 1Y-26.52%
OCF growth 3Y-3.11%
OCF growth 5Y-0.72%
NUTRIEN LTD / NTR FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NTR.
What is the valuation status of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to NUTRIEN LTD (NTR). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) is 14.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.11.
Is the dividend of NUTRIEN LTD sustainable?
The dividend rating of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 58.76%.