LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
78.5 USD
+1.28 (+1.66%)
78.5 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LPX. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making LPX a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. While showing a medium growth rate, LPX is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LPX was profitable.
In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years LPX has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LPX has a Return On Assets of 11.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX has a better Return On Equity (17.05%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.03%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LPX is significantly above the industry average of 5.72%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(13.03%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 10.31%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LPX has a Operating Margin of 14.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPX has grown nicely.
LPX has a better Gross Margin (25.30%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPX is creating value.
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
LPX has an Altman-Z score of 6.33. This indicates that LPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
LPX has a better Altman-Z score (6.33) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX is 1.25, which is an excellent value as it means it would take LPX, only 1.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LPX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.25. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LPX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: LPX outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.33 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.84 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.84, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.67 indicates that LPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.67, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -34.23% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 73.82% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.95% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.22% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.51 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
LPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.24 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LPX.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
LPX is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 32.73, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of LPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.45%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.60, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, LPX is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.78%!
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LPX has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
25.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
LPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP25.59%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
78.5
+1.28 (+1.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change-4.91%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap5.47B
Revenue(TTM)2.94B
Net Income(TTM)297.00M
Analysts72
Price Target111.38 (41.89%)
Short Float %5.87%
Short Ratio4.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.45% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP25.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(2)6.47%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(4)37.28%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.42%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)57.15%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)44.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.72%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.18%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)3.02%
PT rev (3m)2.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-59.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-34.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.24 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.66 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.59 | ||
| P/B | 3.14 | ||
| P/tB | 3.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.86 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.65%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY5.8%
FCF(TTM)3.99
FCFY5.09%
OCF(TTM)7.41
OCFY9.44%
SpS41.37
BVpS25.01
TBVpS24.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
Graham Number45.32
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROCE | 18.03% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.58% | ||
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% | ||
| FCFM | 9.65% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 177.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.6% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.33 |
F-Score5
WACC8.4%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-28.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y240.4%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.49%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 25.59%.