LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LPX - US5463471053 - Common Stock
74.57 USD
-0.42 (-0.56%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to LPX. LPX was compared to 9 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. LPX has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LPX has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LPX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
LPX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LPX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.18%, LPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LPX (17.05%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LPX has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.03%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
LPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 5.66%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LPX is well above the current ROIC(13.03%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
1.3 Margins
LPX has a Profit Margin of 10.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LPX outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LPX (14.65%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
LPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 25.30%, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% |
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LPX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
LPX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.17 indicates that LPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.17, LPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX is 1.25, which is an excellent value as it means it would take LPX, only 1.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPX (1.25) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that LPX is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.20, LPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.17 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.39%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.84 indicates that LPX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.84, LPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that LPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LPX has a better Quick ratio (1.67) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LPX have decreased strongly by -34.23% in the last year.
LPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 73.82% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LPX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.95% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
3.2 Future
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.22% yearly.
LPX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LPX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.43.
LPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LPX is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
LPX is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.38.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LPX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.42), we can say LPX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than LPX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
LPX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
LPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%, LPX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of LPX dropped by -24.62% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.83, LPX has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, LPX is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.80%!
LPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of LPX decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
25.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
LPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP25.59%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
NYSE:LPX (11/20/2025, 1:51:24 PM)
74.57
-0.42 (-0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.65%
Inst Owner Change0.83%
Ins Owners1.45%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap5.19B
Revenue(TTM)2.94B
Net Income(TTM)297.00M
Analysts72
Price Target111.38 (49.36%)
Short Float %5.85%
Short Ratio4.32
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.8%
DP25.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(2)6.47%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)14.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.47%
Max EPS beat(4)37.28%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.42%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)57.15%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)44.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.72%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.18%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)3.02%
PT rev (3m)2.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-37.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-34.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.38 | ||
| P/S | 1.8 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.06 | ||
| P/B | 2.98 | ||
| P/tB | 3.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.42 |
EPS(TTM)3.65
EY4.89%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY6.11%
FCF(TTM)3.99
FCFY5.35%
OCF(TTM)7.41
OCFY9.94%
SpS41.37
BVpS25.01
TBVpS24.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number45.32
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.18% | ||
| ROE | 17.05% | ||
| ROCE | 18.03% | ||
| ROIC | 13.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.58% | ||
| OM | 14.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.31% | ||
| GM | 25.3% | ||
| FCFM | 9.65% |
ROA(3y)23.29%
ROA(5y)31.31%
ROE(3y)37.45%
ROE(5y)52.86%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)33.4%
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)41.73%
ROICexgc(3y)30.19%
ROICexgc(5y)44.61%
ROCE(3y)33.53%
ROCE(5y)46.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y42.51%
OM growth 3Y-25.58%
OM growth 5Y44.59%
PM growth 3Y-25.95%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-17.4%
GM growth 5Y16.59%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 177.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.6% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.17 |
F-Score5
WACC8.39%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)261.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)213.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-24.9%
EPS 5Y73.82%
EPS Q2Q%-70.49%
EPS Next Y-50.14%
EPS Next 2Y-11.93%
EPS Next 3Y-2.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.95%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-8.17%
Revenue Next Year-4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y3.59%
Revenue Next 5Y4.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-28.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.35%
EBIT growth 5Y51.74%
EBIT Next Year-16.98%
EBIT Next 3Y8.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.54%
FCF growth 1Y240.4%
FCF growth 3Y-30.01%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.49%
OCF growth 3Y-25.87%
OCF growth 5Y30.64%
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP / LPX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LPX.
What is the valuation status of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 9 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) stock?
The dividend rating of LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP (LPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 25.59%.