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LAREDO PETROLEUM INC (LPI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:LPI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5168062058 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

48.09  +0.54 (+1.14%)

After market: 48.13 +0.04 (+0.08%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall LPI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LPI against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of LPI while its profitability can be described as average. LPI may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LPI had positive earnings in the past year.
LPI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 26.00%, LPI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.96% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LPI (72.91%) is better than 92.13% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 39.96%, LPI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.13% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LPI is significantly below the industry average of 23.86%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.39%) for LPI is below the current ROIC(39.96%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 26%
ROE 72.91%
ROIC 39.96%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1K -1K 2K 3K 4K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of LPI (35.99%) is better than 78.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPI has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 56.87%, LPI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.02% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LPI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.87%
PM (TTM) 35.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5Y29.85%
PM growth 3Y-29.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
LPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -100 -200 -300

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LPI is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LPI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
LPI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LPI Yearly Shares OutstandingLPI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M
LPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

LPI has an Altman-Z score of 1.35. This is a bad value and indicates that LPI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LPI has a Altman-Z score (1.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPI is 3.42, which is a good value as it means it would take LPI, 3.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LPI has a Debt to FCF ratio (3.42) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18 is on the high side and indicates that LPI has dependencies on debt financing.
LPI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.18. This is in the lower half of the industry: LPI underperforms 70.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 3.42
Altman-Z 1.35
ROIC/WACC4.29
WACC9.31%
LPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.47 indicates that LPI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.47, LPI is doing worse than 85.19% of the companies in the same industry.
LPI has a Quick Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that LPI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LPI's Quick ratio of 0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LPI is outperformed by 83.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.47
LPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LPI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 152.65%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, LPI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.47% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, LPI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 82.29%.
Measured over the past years, LPI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)152.65%
EPS 3Y-22.24%
EPS 5Y-2.47%
EPS Q2Q%188.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)82.29%
Revenue growth 3Y8.03%
Revenue growth 5Y18.47%
Sales Q2Q%22.38%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LPI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 40.89% on average per year.
LPI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y171.8%
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%
EPS Next 5Y40.89%
Revenue Next Year33.14%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y7.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
LPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 2.24, the valuation of LPI can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPI is valued cheaper than 97.69% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.82. LPI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.49 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LPI.
LPI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LPI is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LPI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.21.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.24
Fwd PE 1.49
LPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LPI is valued cheaper than 98.61% of the companies in the same industry.
94.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LPI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.34
EV/EBITDA 1.33
LPI Per share dataLPI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LPI's earnings are expected to grow with 56.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LPI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LAREDO PETROLEUM INC

NYSE:LPI (1/6/2023, 9:16:20 PM)

After market: 48.13 +0.04 (+0.08%)

48.09

+0.54 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-03 2022-11-03/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2023-02-20
Inst Owners165.19%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners380.65%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap808.56M
Analysts73.33
Price Target87.98 (82.95%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.34%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.66%
Max EPS beat(4)0.49%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)20.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.36%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)28.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)19.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)43.7%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.68%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.24
Fwd PE 1.49
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 2.34
P/OCF 0.87
P/B 0.81
P/tB 0.81
EV/EBITDA 1.33
EPS(TTM)21.45
EY44.6%
EPS(NY)32.37
Fwd EY67.3%
FCF(TTM)20.53
FCFY42.69%
OCF(TTM)55.33
OCFY115.05%
SpS120.55
BVpS59.52
TBVpS59.52
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 26%
ROE 72.91%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 39.96%
ROICexc 40.86%
ROICexgc 40.86%
OM 56.87%
PM (TTM) 35.99%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y26.49%
ROICexcg growth 5Y46.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5Y29.85%
PM growth 3Y-29.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 3.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.81
Cap/Depr 194.29%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 47.31%
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.35
F-Score9
WACC9.31%
ROIC/WACC4.29
Cap/Depr(3y)204.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)260.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)152.65%
EPS 3Y-22.24%
EPS 5Y-2.47%
EPS Q2Q%188.04%
EPS Next Y171.8%
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%
EPS Next 5Y40.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)82.29%
Revenue growth 3Y8.03%
Revenue growth 5Y18.47%
Sales Q2Q%22.38%
Revenue Next Year33.14%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y7.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%
EBIT growth 1Y170.17%
EBIT growth 3Y22.35%
EBIT growth 5Y53.83%
EBIT Next Year229.22%
EBIT Next 3Y56.48%
EBIT Next 5Y32.04%
FCF growth 1Y280.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y143.65%
OCF growth 3Y-2.62%
OCF growth 5Y6.87%