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LAREDO PETROLEUM INC (LPI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:LPI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5168062058 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

48.09  +0.54 (+1.14%)

After market: 48.13 +0.04 (+0.08%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, LPI scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LPI was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of LPI while its profitability can be described as average. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LPI.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LPI was profitable.
In the past year LPI had a positive cash flow from operations.
LPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B

1.2 Ratios

LPI's Return On Assets of 26.00% is amongst the best of the industry. LPI outperforms 87.96% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 72.91%, LPI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.13% of the companies in the same industry.
LPI's Return On Invested Capital of 39.96% is amongst the best of the industry. LPI outperforms 92.13% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LPI is significantly below the industry average of 23.55%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (39.96%) for LPI is above the 3 year average (12.39%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 26%
ROE 72.91%
ROIC 39.96%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1K -1K 2K 3K 4K

1.3 Margins

LPI's Profit Margin of 35.99% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LPI outperforms 78.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LPI has declined.
LPI has a better Operating Margin (56.87%) than 81.02% of its industry peers.
LPI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.87%
PM (TTM) 35.99%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5Y29.85%
PM growth 3Y-29.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
LPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -100 -200 -300

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LPI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LPI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LPI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
LPI Yearly Shares OutstandingLPI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M
LPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.35, we must say that LPI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.35, LPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.22% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LPI is 3.42, which is a good value as it means it would take LPI, 3.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.42, LPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.94% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18 is on the high side and indicates that LPI has dependencies on debt financing.
LPI has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.18) than 70.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 3.42
Altman-Z 1.35
ROIC/WACC4.29
WACC9.31%
LPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.47 indicates that LPI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LPI's Current ratio of 0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LPI is outperformed by 85.19% of its industry peers.
LPI has a Quick Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that LPI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LPI has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: LPI underperforms 83.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.47
LPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 152.65% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, LPI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.47% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 82.29% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 18.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)152.65%
EPS 3Y-22.24%
EPS 5Y-2.47%
EPS Q2Q%188.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)82.29%
Revenue growth 3Y8.03%
Revenue growth 5Y18.47%
Sales Q2Q%22.38%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 40.89% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
LPI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y171.8%
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%
EPS Next 5Y40.89%
Revenue Next Year33.14%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y7.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
LPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 2.24 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LPI.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LPI is valued cheaper than 97.69% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.31, LPI is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.49 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LPI.
LPI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LPI is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. LPI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.24
Fwd PE 1.49
LPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LPI is valued cheaper than 98.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LPI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.34
EV/EBITDA 1.33
LPI Per share dataLPI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LPI's earnings are expected to grow with 56.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LPI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LAREDO PETROLEUM INC

NYSE:LPI (1/6/2023, 9:16:20 PM)

After market: 48.13 +0.04 (+0.08%)

48.09

+0.54 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-03 2022-11-03/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2023-02-20
Inst Owners165.19%
Inst Owner Change4.27%
Ins Owners380.65%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap808.56M
Analysts73.33
Price Target87.98 (82.95%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.34%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.66%
Max EPS beat(4)0.49%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)20.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.36%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)28.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)19.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)43.7%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.68%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.24
Fwd PE 1.49
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 2.34
P/OCF 0.87
P/B 0.81
P/tB 0.81
EV/EBITDA 1.33
EPS(TTM)21.45
EY44.6%
EPS(NY)32.37
Fwd EY67.3%
FCF(TTM)20.53
FCFY42.69%
OCF(TTM)55.33
OCFY115.05%
SpS120.55
BVpS59.52
TBVpS59.52
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 26%
ROE 72.91%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 39.96%
ROICexc 40.86%
ROICexgc 40.86%
OM 56.87%
PM (TTM) 35.99%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y26.49%
ROICexcg growth 5Y46.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5Y29.85%
PM growth 3Y-29.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF 3.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.81
Cap/Depr 194.29%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 47.31%
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.35
F-Score9
WACC9.31%
ROIC/WACC4.29
Cap/Depr(3y)204.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)260.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)152.65%
EPS 3Y-22.24%
EPS 5Y-2.47%
EPS Q2Q%188.04%
EPS Next Y171.8%
EPS Next 2Y93.44%
EPS Next 3Y56.92%
EPS Next 5Y40.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)82.29%
Revenue growth 3Y8.03%
Revenue growth 5Y18.47%
Sales Q2Q%22.38%
Revenue Next Year33.14%
Revenue Next 2Y9.46%
Revenue Next 3Y7.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%
EBIT growth 1Y170.17%
EBIT growth 3Y22.35%
EBIT growth 5Y53.83%
EBIT Next Year229.22%
EBIT Next 3Y56.48%
EBIT Next 5Y32.04%
FCF growth 1Y280.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y143.65%
OCF growth 3Y-2.62%
OCF growth 5Y6.87%