HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HFC

Current stock price

36.39
+0.71 (+1.99%)
At close:
36.33
-0.06 (-0.16%)
After Hours:

This HFC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. HFC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HFC had positive earnings in the past year.
HFC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHFC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 12.42%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HFC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHFC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.38%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HFC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHFC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 5 -5 10 15 20

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2

2. HFC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, HFC has more shares outstanding
  • HFC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HFC Yearly Shares OutstandingHFC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M
HFC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHFC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.10 indicates that HFC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HFC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. This is a neutral value indicating HFC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
HFC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHFC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HFC has a Current Ratio of 1.82. This is a normal value and indicates that HFC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HFC has a Quick Ratio of 1.82. This is a bad value and indicates that HFC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
HFC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHFC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

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9

3. HFC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 273.56% over the past year.
  • HFC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.83% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, HFC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 95.76%.
  • Measured over the past years, HFC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)273.56%
EPS 3Y-38.37%
EPS 5Y22.83%
EPS Q2Q%85.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)95.76%
Revenue growth 3Y1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.78%
Sales Q2Q%93.83%

3.2 Future

  • HFC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 77.46% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 18.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y182.64%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
EPS Next 5Y77.46%
Revenue Next Year7.53%
Revenue Next 2Y18.8%
Revenue Next 3Y18.61%
Revenue Next 5Y18.8%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HFC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHFC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B
HFC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHFC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10

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4

4. HFC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.10, HFC is valued on the expensive side.
  • HFC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.53 indicates a reasonable valuation of HFC.
  • HFC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 8.53
HFC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHFC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6
HFC Per share dataHFC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HFC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HFC's earnings are expected to grow with 76.43% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%

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6

5. HFC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.30%, HFC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • HFC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HFC has a limited annual growth rate of 1.98%.
  • HFC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.98%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
HFC Yearly Dividends per shareHFC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • HFC pays out 8.16% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • HFC's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP8.16%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
HFC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHFC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B
HFC Dividend Payout.HFC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HFC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HFC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HOLLYFRONTIER CORP

NYSE:HFC (3/14/2022, 8:07:00 PM)

After market: 36.33 -0.06 (-0.16%)

36.39

+0.71 (+1.99%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)05-03
Inst Owners1.26%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.48%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.93B
Revenue(TTM)21.89B
Net Income(TTM)706.52M
Analysts66.67
Price Target42.01 (15.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%
Yearly Dividend1.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.98%
DP8.16%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 8.53
P/S 0.27
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.04
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6
EPS(TTM)1.51
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)4.27
Fwd EY11.73%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS134.32
BVpS34.9
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.06
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 12.42%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.38%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
Altman-Z 3.1
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)273.56%
EPS 3Y-38.37%
EPS 5Y22.83%
EPS Q2Q%85.14%
EPS Next Y182.64%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
EPS Next 5Y77.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)95.76%
Revenue growth 3Y1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.78%
Sales Q2Q%93.83%
Revenue Next Year7.53%
Revenue Next 2Y18.8%
Revenue Next 3Y18.61%
Revenue Next 5Y18.8%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

HOLLYFRONTIER CORP / HFC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HFC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HFC.


What is the valuation status for HFC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) stock?

HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HFC stock?

The financial health rating of HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) is 6 / 10.


Is the dividend of HOLLYFRONTIER CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 8.16%.