BARRICK GOLD CORP (GOLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOLD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0679011084 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
GOLD gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While GOLD belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GOLD is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings would make GOLD suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOLD had positive earnings in the past year.
GOLD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GOLD had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
GOLD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GOLD has a better Return On Assets (4.83%) than 72.90% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.50%, GOLD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.55% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GOLD (7.34%) is better than 70.97% of its industry peers.
GOLD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.32%. This is below the industry average of 8.82%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.34%) for GOLD is above the 3 year average (5.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.5% | ||
| ROIC | 7.34% |
ROA(3y)2.74%
ROA(5y)3.51%
ROE(3y)5.39%
ROE(5y)6.92%
ROIC(3y)5.32%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
1.3 Margins
GOLD's Profit Margin of 17.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GOLD outperforms 86.45% of its industry peers.
GOLD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GOLD (36.66%) is better than 91.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOLD has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 41.30%, GOLD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.94% of the companies in the same industry.
GOLD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.46% | ||
| GM | 41.3% |
OM growth 3Y-2.73%
OM growth 5Y7.55%
PM growth 3Y-0.55%
PM growth 5Y-16.49%
GM growth 3Y-2.05%
GM growth 5Y5.86%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GOLD is destroying value.
GOLD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GOLD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GOLD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GOLD has an Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that GOLD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GOLD has a worse Altman-Z score (1.42) than 64.52% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOLD is 2.85, which is a good value as it means it would take GOLD, 2.85 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOLD's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.85 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOLD outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19 indicates that GOLD is not too dependend on debt financing.
GOLD has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.19) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC8.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.87 indicates that GOLD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GOLD (2.87) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
GOLD has a Quick Ratio of 2.16. This indicates that GOLD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.16, GOLD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOLD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 60.67%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, GOLD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.55% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 15.69% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.87% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)60.67%
EPS 3Y2.77%
EPS 5Y19.55%
EPS Q2Q%84.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.69%
Revenue growth 3Y2.54%
Revenue growth 5Y5.87%
Sales Q2Q%13.94%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.03% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
GOLD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.49% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.68%
EPS Next 2Y21.39%
EPS Next 3Y14.5%
EPS Next 5Y8.03%
Revenue Next Year12.94%
Revenue Next 2Y11%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y2.49%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.19, which indicates a correct valuation of GOLD.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GOLD indicates a rather cheap valuation: GOLD is cheaper than 85.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GOLD to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.82), we can say GOLD is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.08, the valuation of GOLD can be described as very reasonable.
76.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOLD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GOLD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.76.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOLD indicates a rather cheap valuation: GOLD is cheaper than 89.03% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GOLD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GOLD is cheaper than 79.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GOLD has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GOLD's earnings are expected to grow with 14.50% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.67
EPS Next 2Y21.39%
EPS Next 3Y14.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOLD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%.
GOLD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.00. GOLD pays more dividend than 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GOLD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GOLD has a limited annual growth rate of 1.44%.
GOLD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GOLD has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.44%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
29.83% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GOLD. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GOLD is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP29.83%
EPS Next 2Y21.39%
EPS Next 3Y14.5%
18.86
+18.86 (+Infinity%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.18%
Inst Owner Change-6.58%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap32.57B
Analysts81.25
Price Target26.99 (43.11%)
Short Float %0.87%
Short Ratio0.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.44%
DP29.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.82%
Min EPS beat(2)10.98%
Max EPS beat(2)22.67%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.73%
Max EPS beat(4)22.67%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.69%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)15.63%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)13.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-11.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.17%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.17%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.15%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.81%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.62%
PT rev (1m)58.15%
PT rev (3m)16.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)8.75%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.08 | ||
| P/S | 2.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.59 | ||
| P/B | 1.33 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.93 |
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY7.58%
EPS(NY)1.87
Fwd EY9.92%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY5.1%
OCF(TTM)2.86
OCFY15.18%
SpS7.7
BVpS14.16
TBVpS12.28
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.67
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.5% | ||
| ROCE | 10.76% | ||
| ROIC | 7.34% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.75% | ||
| OM | 36.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.46% | ||
| GM | 41.3% | ||
| FCFM | 12.48% |
ROA(3y)2.74%
ROA(5y)3.51%
ROE(3y)5.39%
ROE(5y)6.92%
ROIC(3y)5.32%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
ROICexc(3y)5.89%
ROICexc(5y)6.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.46%
ROICexgc(5y)7.43%
ROCE(3y)7.8%
ROCE(5y)8.7%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-3.04%
ROICexcg growth 5Y11.36%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.6%
OM growth 3Y-2.73%
OM growth 5Y7.55%
PM growth 3Y-0.55%
PM growth 5Y-16.49%
GM growth 3Y-2.05%
GM growth 5Y5.86%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.7 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 177.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 71.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
F-Score7
WACC8.6%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)156.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)135.67%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.19%
Profit Quality(3y)70.74%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)60.67%
EPS 3Y2.77%
EPS 5Y19.55%
EPS Q2Q%84.21%
EPS Next Y27.68%
EPS Next 2Y21.39%
EPS Next 3Y14.5%
EPS Next 5Y8.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.69%
Revenue growth 3Y2.54%
Revenue growth 5Y5.87%
Sales Q2Q%13.94%
Revenue Next Year12.94%
Revenue Next 2Y11%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y2.49%
EBIT growth 1Y61.74%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y13.86%
EBIT Next Year68.06%
EBIT Next 3Y24.48%
EBIT Next 5Y13.26%
FCF growth 1Y1207.09%
FCF growth 3Y-12.16%
FCF growth 5Y3.07%
OCF growth 1Y51.95%
OCF growth 3Y0.85%
OCF growth 5Y9.65%