GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

43.59 USD
+2.26 (+5.47%)
Last: Feb 13, 2026, 12:33 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years GFL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL's Return On Assets of 18.38% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 98.75% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GFL (46.75%) is better than 97.50% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 51.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin (6.26%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 20.38%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 76.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
  • GFL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.43, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.43, GFL is doing worse than 66.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (34.89) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.43
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.31%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.69, GFL is doing worse than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.40%.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.4%
EPS 3Y16.19%
EPS 5Y34.67%
EPS Q2Q%60.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.32%

3.2 Future

  • GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.31% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.29%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
EPS Next 5Y24.31%
Revenue Next Year7.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.23%
Revenue Next 3Y7.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 79.25, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.67), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 56.45, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.69, GFL is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 79.25
Fwd PE 56.45
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 93.89
EV/EBITDA 15.3
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.02
PEG (5Y)2.29
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.14%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.80, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (2/13/2026, 12:33:03 PM)

43.59

+2.26 (+5.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner Change-16.47%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.60B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.2 (22.05%)
Short Float %1.81%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-0.8%
PT rev (3m)-1.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 79.25
Fwd PE 56.45
P/S 3.06
P/FCF 93.89
P/OCF 14.76
P/B 2.78
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.3
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.26%
EPS(NY)0.77
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)2.95
OCFY6.78%
SpS14.22
BVpS15.66
TBVpS-1.85
PEG (NY)2.02
PEG (5Y)2.29
Graham Number13.92
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 1.99%
ROICexgc 3.94%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.43
F-Score6
WACC7.31%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.4%
EPS 3Y16.19%
EPS 5Y34.67%
EPS Q2Q%60.41%
EPS Next Y39.29%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
EPS Next 5Y24.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.32%
Revenue Next Year7.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.23%
Revenue Next 3Y7.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y39.87%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to grow by 39.29% in the next year.