GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
42.21 USD
+0.52 (+1.25%)
42.21 USD
0 (0%)
GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While GFL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, GFL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GFL (18.38%) is better than 98.75% of its industry peers.
GFL has a better Return On Equity (46.75%) than 97.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 42.50% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.60%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 57.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 72.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.46, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.46, GFL is doing worse than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 63.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC7.14%
2.3 Liquidity
GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 82.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 78.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.87% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
GFL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.83% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 93.80.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.00.
GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 55.66.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 92.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
42.21
+0.52 (+1.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.16B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.63 (27.06%)
Short Float %2.12%
Short Ratio4.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.44%
PT rev (3m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.66 | ||
| P/S | 3.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 92.75 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.58 | ||
| P/B | 2.75 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.62 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY1.07%
EPS(NY)0.76
Fwd EY1.8%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY1.08%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY6.86%
SpS13.94
BVpS15.35
TBVpS-1.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.94% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.46 |
F-Score6
WACC7.14%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 0 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.