GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
49.32 USD
-0.31 (-0.62%)
49.32 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GFL was profitable.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GFL has a better Return On Assets (19.14%) than 97.62% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GFL (46.28%) is better than 96.43% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (2.08%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.78%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.08%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.14% | ||
| ROE | 46.28% | ||
| ROIC | 2.08% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL's Profit Margin of 49.00% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 98.81% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Operating Margin (6.08%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.03%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 49% | ||
| GM | 20.03% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.80. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.80. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 37.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 37.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (37.92) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92 indicates that GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 61.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a Current ratio of 0.67. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 86.90% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL's Quick ratio of 0.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 82.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.60%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
GFL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.22%.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
3.2 Future
GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.27% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-22.04%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.27%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y3.97%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 94.85, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.17.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.76 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.78. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 60.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 129.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.8 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 21.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.11%, which is pretty low.
GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.36.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.11, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.11% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
GFL pays out 0.86% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.86%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
49.32
-0.31 (-0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.89%
Inst Owner Change-2.67%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.92B
Analysts76.92
Price Target55.46 (12.45%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio6.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.11% |
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.86%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-340.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-167.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.31%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-39.7%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.15%
PT rev (1m)2.16%
PT rev (3m)8.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-45.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)-37.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 60.76 | ||
| P/S | 3.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 129.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.71 | ||
| P/B | 3.22 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.8 |
EPS(TTM)0.52
EY1.05%
EPS(NY)0.81
Fwd EY1.65%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY0.77%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY5.65%
SpS14.48
BVpS15.33
TBVpS-1.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.14% | ||
| ROE | 46.28% | ||
| ROCE | 2.63% | ||
| ROIC | 2.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.16% | ||
| OM | 6.08% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 49% | ||
| GM | 20.03% | ||
| FCFM | 2.63% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.92 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 82.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.82 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 5.36% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
F-Score6
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
EPS Next Y-22.04%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y3.97%
EBIT growth 1Y40.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year264.02%
EBIT Next 3Y61.98%
EBIT Next 5Y40.44%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.86%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%