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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

45.13 USD
-0.51 (-1.12%)
Last: 10/15/2025, 8:04:00 PM
45.13 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 10/15/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 19.14%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL's Return On Equity of 46.28% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
GFL's Return On Invested Capital of 2.08% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.17%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.20%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(2.08%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROIC 2.08%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

GFL has a Profit Margin of 49.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 98.81% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.08%, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.57% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Gross Margin value of 20.03%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 73.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.72. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of GFL (1.72) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 37.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 37.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 37.92, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.05% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92 indicates that GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.92, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 61.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Altman-Z 1.72
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC7.39%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL's Current ratio of 0.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 86.90% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.67) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.60%, which is quite good.
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.56% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GFL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.22% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.45% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 88.49 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.55, GFL is valued quite expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.04. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 88.49
Fwd PE 56.73
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 120.43
EV/EBITDA 16.01
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 21.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.41.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.13, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.43.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.86% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.86%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (10/15/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 45.13 0 (0%)

45.13

-0.51 (-1.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners100.72%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.97%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.28B
Analysts76.25
Price Target53.67 (18.92%)
Short Float %1.68%
Short Ratio4.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.86%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date07-14 2025-07-14 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-340.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-167.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.31%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-39.7%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.15%
PT rev (1m)-3.22%
PT rev (3m)1.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 88.49
Fwd PE 56.73
P/S 3.16
P/FCF 120.43
P/OCF 16.45
P/B 2.99
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.01
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY1.13%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY1.76%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY0.83%
OCF(TTM)2.74
OCFY6.08%
SpS14.26
BVpS15.1
TBVpS-1.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROCE 2.63%
ROIC 2.08%
ROICexc 2.1%
ROICexgc 4.16%
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
FCFM 2.63%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Debt/EBITDA 3.73
Cap/Depr 82.98%
Cap/Sales 16.61%
Interest Coverage 0.82
Cash Conversion 73.72%
Profit Quality 5.36%
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
Altman-Z 1.72
F-Score6
WACC7.39%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%
EBIT growth 1Y40.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year257.18%
EBIT Next 3Y63.05%
EBIT Next 5Y42.41%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.86%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%