GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

39.4 USD
-1.08 (-2.67%)
At close:
39.4 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 19.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 51.81%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL's Return On Invested Capital of 1.83% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 45.12% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.18%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.42%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.83%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 57.19%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.04%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 57.32% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 20.67%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 75.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. GFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.37, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.37, GFL is doing worse than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 45.44. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 45.44 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (45.44) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 68.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.37
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC7.67%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.58. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 87.80% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.58, GFL is doing worse than 84.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -8.54% in the last year.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.92% yearly.
  • The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -15.85% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.47% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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3

4. GFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 71.64.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.54, GFL is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 55.01, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 71.64
Fwd PE 55.01
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 110.89
EV/EBITDA 16.17
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.59% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.45
PEG (5Y)2.05
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%

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5

5. GFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.14%, which is pretty low.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.84.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GFL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.61%!
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of GFL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (3/24/2026, 5:46:03 PM)

After market: 39.4 0 (0%)

39.4

-1.08 (-2.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners101.56%
Inst Owner Change-13.12%
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.12B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.72 (36.35%)
Short Float %1.99%
Short Ratio4.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)0.97%
PT rev (3m)-0.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 71.64
Fwd PE 55.01
P/S 2.93
P/FCF 110.89
P/OCF 14.71
P/B 2.65
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.17
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.4%
EPS(NY)0.72
Fwd EY1.82%
FCF(TTM)0.36
FCFY0.9%
OCF(TTM)2.68
OCFY6.8%
SpS13.46
BVpS14.86
TBVpS-2.75
PEG (NY)2.45
PEG (5Y)2.05
Graham Number13.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.83%
ROICexc 1.84%
ROICexgc 3.69%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.33%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.37
F-Score7
WACC7.67%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year189.5%
EBIT Next 3Y52.5%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to grow by 29.19% in the next year.