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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GFL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

50.43  +1.18 (+2.4%)

After market: 50.43 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, GFL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of GFL (14.32%) is better than 92.77% of its industry peers.
GFL has a better Return On Equity (34.64%) than 92.77% of its industry peers.
GFL has a worse Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) than 60.24% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 11.34%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.20%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.32%
ROE 34.64%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 36.58%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.59% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Operating Margin value of 5.72%, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.81% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a worse Gross Margin (19.37%) than 73.49% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.72%
PM (TTM) 36.58%
GM 19.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.74. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of GFL (1.74) is worse than 62.65% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 31.28, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 31.28 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 31.28, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.78% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91. This is a neutral value indicating GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 62.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 31.28
Altman-Z 1.74
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC6.85%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL's Current ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 81.93% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFL (0.82) is worse than 75.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.82
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.87%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
GFL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.37%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.87%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-900%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.37%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-13.4%

3.2 Future

GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 26.93% yearly.
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.24%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
EPS Next 5Y26.93%
Revenue Next Year-14.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.48%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.24%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 93.39.
61.45% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GFL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.25), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 51.17 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.15, GFL is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 93.39
Fwd PE 51.17
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 106.87
EV/EBITDA 16.29
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.12%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.56, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.12%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 1.07% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.07%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (5/30/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 50.43 0 (0%)

50.43

+1.18 (+2.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)05-02 2025-05-02/dmh
Earnings (Next)07-29 2025-07-29/amc
Inst Owners80.23%
Inst Owner Change11.23%
Ins Owners2.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap18.49B
Analysts76.25
Price Target51.16 (1.45%)
Short Float %3.15%
Short Ratio5.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.12%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.07%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-14 2025-04-14 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-342.25%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)9.55%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-172.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)9.55%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-85.33%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-28.68%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.51%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.98%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.37%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.79%
PT rev (1m)7.29%
PT rev (3m)9.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-20.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-19.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 93.39
Fwd PE 51.17
P/S 3.35
P/FCF 106.87
P/OCF 17.62
P/B 3.18
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.29
EPS(TTM)0.54
EY1.07%
EPS(NY)0.99
Fwd EY1.95%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY0.94%
OCF(TTM)2.86
OCFY5.67%
SpS15.03
BVpS15.88
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)3.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.32%
ROE 34.64%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 2.03%
ROICexgc 4.09%
OM 5.72%
PM (TTM) 36.58%
GM 19.37%
FCFM 3.14%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF 31.28
Debt/EBITDA 3.75
Cap/Depr 79.51%
Cap/Sales 15.89%
Interest Coverage 0.75
Cash Conversion 74.03%
Profit Quality 8.58%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.82
Altman-Z 1.74
F-Score6
WACC6.85%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.87%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-900%
EPS Next Y24.24%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
EPS Next 5Y26.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.37%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-13.4%
Revenue Next Year-14.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.48%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.24%
EBIT growth 1Y51.76%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year264.02%
EBIT Next 3Y61.98%
EBIT Next 5Y39.73%
FCF growth 1Y-9.05%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y30.35%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%