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GECINA SA (GFC.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:GFC - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0010040865 - REIT - Currency: EUR

94.5  +0.4 (+0.43%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, GFC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFC was compared to 41 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. GFC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFC is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFC was profitable.
In the past year GFC had a positive cash flow from operations.
GFC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
GFC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

GFC's Return On Assets of 1.73% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 46.34% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.95%, GFC is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.46% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.39%, GFC is not doing good in the industry: 73.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFC is in line with the industry average of 3.55%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.39%) for GFC is above the 3 year average (2.16%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 2.95%
ROIC 2.39%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
GFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

GFC has a Profit Margin (44.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GFC has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 79.23%, GFC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFC has remained more or less at the same level.
The Gross Margin of GFC (91.97%) is better than 80.49% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
GFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFC is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GFC remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GFC has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GFC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFC has an Altman-Z score of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that GFC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFC's Altman-Z score of 1.21 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 75.61% of its industry peers.
GFC has a debt to FCF ratio of 46.20. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFC would need 46.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFC (46.20) is worse than 73.17% of its industry peers.
GFC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. This is a neutral value indicating GFC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.59, GFC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 46.2
Altman-Z 1.21
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC4.54%
GFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.72 indicates that GFC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.72, GFC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
GFC has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that GFC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.72, GFC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
GFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.82%.
GFC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.53% yearly.
GFC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.15%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.38% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.82%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%5.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%5.24%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GFC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.83% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.53% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y4.89%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.65%
Revenue Next 2Y2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.72, GFC is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFC.
GFC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.52.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.03, which indicates a correct valuation of GFC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GFC is valued a bit more expensive than 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.25. GFC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 14.03
GFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GFC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.41% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.61% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 49.95
EV/EBITDA 22.95
GFC.PA Per share dataGFC.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)3.01
PEG (5Y)9.61
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.79%, GFC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
GFC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.48.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, GFC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.79%

5.2 History

The dividend of GFC decreases each year by -0.70%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
GFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareGFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

126.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP126.65%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
GFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
GFC.PA Dividend Payout.GFC.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFC.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GECINA SA

EPA:GFC (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

94.5

+0.4 (+0.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)04-17 2025-04-17
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23
Inst Owners62.39%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.25B
Analysts78.18
Price Target112.33 (18.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.79%
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
DP126.65%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.45%
PT rev (3m)-3.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 14.03
P/S 10.44
P/FCF 49.95
P/OCF 12.09
P/B 0.69
P/tB 0.7
EV/EBITDA 22.95
EPS(TTM)6.42
EY6.79%
EPS(NY)6.73
Fwd EY7.13%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY2%
OCF(TTM)7.82
OCFY8.27%
SpS9.05
BVpS136.9
TBVpS134.59
PEG (NY)3.01
PEG (5Y)9.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 2.95%
ROCE 3.42%
ROIC 2.39%
ROICexc 2.41%
ROICexgc 2.44%
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
FCFM 20.9%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
ROICexc(3y)2.18%
ROICexc(5y)2.06%
ROICexgc(3y)2.2%
ROICexgc(5y)2.08%
ROCE(3y)3.06%
ROCE(5y)2.88%
ROICexcg growth 3Y11.07%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y11.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.34%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 46.2
Debt/EBITDA 11.03
Cap/Depr 3707.94%
Cap/Sales 65.47%
Interest Coverage 7.71
Cash Conversion 106.64%
Profit Quality 46.87%
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 1.21
F-Score8
WACC4.54%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)4148.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)3166.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)60.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)56.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.82%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%5.19%
EPS Next Y4.89%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%5.24%
Revenue Next Year3.65%
Revenue Next 2Y2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%
EBIT growth 1Y5.05%
EBIT growth 3Y5.7%
EBIT growth 5Y0.87%
EBIT Next Year5.63%
EBIT Next 3Y4.43%
EBIT Next 5Y4.58%
FCF growth 1Y0.51%
FCF growth 3Y6.25%
FCF growth 5Y15.9%
OCF growth 1Y12.13%
OCF growth 3Y7.59%
OCF growth 5Y-0.67%