AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AEPPZ • US02557T3077

Current stock price

47.12 USD
-0.52 (-1.09%)
At close:
47.4 USD
+0.28 (+0.59%)
After Hours:

This AEPPZ fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. AEPPZ Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AEPPZ had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AEPPZ had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AEPPZ Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAEPPZ Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.07%, AEPPZ is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEPPZ's Return On Equity of 8.29% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AEPPZ outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • AEPPZ has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.18%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • AEPPZ had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.40%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.07%
ROE 8.29%
ROIC 3.18%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)2.67%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)10.25%
ROIC(3y)3.4%
ROIC(5y)3.38%
AEPPZ Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAEPPZ Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • AEPPZ has a Profit Margin (10.20%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AEPPZ has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 17.91%, AEPPZ is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEPPZ's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AEPPZ's Gross Margin of 63.21% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AEPPZ outperforms 57.78% of its industry peers.
  • AEPPZ's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.91%
PM (TTM) 10.2%
GM 63.21%
OM growth 3Y2.56%
OM growth 5Y-2.79%
PM growth 3Y-1.64%
PM growth 5Y-1.08%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-4.59%
AEPPZ Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAEPPZ Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20 40 60 80

0

2. AEPPZ Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AEPPZ is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AEPPZ has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AEPPZ is higher compared to a year ago.
AEPPZ Yearly Shares OutstandingAEPPZ Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
AEPPZ Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAEPPZ Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.64, we must say that AEPPZ is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AEPPZ's Altman-Z score of 0.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AEPPZ is outperformed by 71.11% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.70 is on the high side and indicates that AEPPZ has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AEPPZ (1.70) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.64
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC5.03%
AEPPZ Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAEPPZ Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.61 indicates that AEPPZ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AEPPZ has a Current ratio of 0.61. This is in the lower half of the industry: AEPPZ underperforms 75.56% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that AEPPZ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.48, AEPPZ is doing worse than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.61
Quick Ratio 0.48
AEPPZ Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAEPPZ Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

4

3. AEPPZ Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.66% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.82% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, AEPPZ shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.67% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.95% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.66%
EPS 3Y6.2%
EPS 5Y6.82%
EPS Q2Q%-5.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y8.07%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-5.76%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AEPPZ will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.23% on average per year.
  • AEPPZ is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.63%
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.86%
EPS Next 5Y6.23%
Revenue Next Year10.37%
Revenue Next 2Y6.74%
Revenue Next 3Y5.84%
Revenue Next 5Y5.11%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AEPPZ Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAEPPZ Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B 20B
AEPPZ Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAEPPZ Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

5

4. AEPPZ Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AEPPZ is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.60.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AEPPZ is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.66, AEPPZ is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.33, the valuation of AEPPZ can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AEPPZ is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AEPPZ to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.00), we can say AEPPZ is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.6
Fwd PE 8.33
AEPPZ Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAEPPZ Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AEPPZ's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AEPPZ is cheaper than 75.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.51
AEPPZ Per share dataAEPPZ EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AEPPZ does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.07
PEG (5Y)1.41
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.86%

0

5. AEPPZ Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AEPPZ does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AEPPZ Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23

NASDAQ:AEPPZ (8/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 47.4 +0.28 (+0.59%)

47.12

-0.52 (-1.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)07-27
Earnings (Next)10-25
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.28B
Revenue(TTM)19.47B
Net Income(TTM)1.99B
Analysts72.17
Price Target58.57 (24.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP85.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.45%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.45%
Max EPS beat(4)5.28%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)10.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)37.53%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-4.57%
PT rev (3m)0.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.6
Fwd PE 8.33
P/S 1.25
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.81
P/B 1.01
P/tB 1.02
EV/EBITDA 9.51
EPS(TTM)4.91
EY10.42%
EPS(NY)5.66
Fwd EY12.01%
FCF(TTM)-6.82
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.11
OCFY17.21%
SpS37.79
BVpS46.52
TBVpS46.42
PEG (NY)2.07
PEG (5Y)1.41
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.07%
ROE 8.29%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 3.18%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 3.2%
OM 17.91%
PM (TTM) 10.2%
GM 63.21%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)2.67%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)10.25%
ROIC(3y)3.4%
ROIC(5y)3.38%
ROICexc(3y)3.43%
ROICexc(5y)3.4%
ROICexgc(3y)3.43%
ROICexgc(5y)3.4%
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.47%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.26%
OM growth 3Y2.56%
OM growth 5Y-2.79%
PM growth 3Y-1.64%
PM growth 5Y-1.08%
GM growth 3Y-7.1%
GM growth 5Y-4.59%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.07
Cap/Depr 239.73%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.61
Quick Ratio 0.48
Altman-Z 0.64
F-Score4
WACC5.03%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)210.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)226.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.66%
EPS 3Y6.2%
EPS 5Y6.82%
EPS Q2Q%-5.83%
EPS Next Y4.63%
EPS Next 2Y5.43%
EPS Next 3Y5.86%
EPS Next 5Y6.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y8.07%
Revenue growth 5Y4.95%
Sales Q2Q%-5.76%
Revenue Next Year10.37%
Revenue Next 2Y6.74%
Revenue Next 3Y5.84%
Revenue Next 5Y5.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.93%
EBIT growth 3Y10.83%
EBIT growth 5Y2.02%
EBIT Next Year90.81%
EBIT Next 3Y30.64%
EBIT Next 5Y-12.54%
FCF growth 1Y-27.66%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y33.49%
OCF growth 3Y7.39%
OCF growth 5Y4.37%

AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 / AEPPZ Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AEPPZ.


What is the valuation status for AEPPZ stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) stock?

AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AEPPZ stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) is 0 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AEPPZ stock?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER - AEP 6 1/8 08/15/23 (AEPPZ) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 85.86%.