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Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY) Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat but Faces Pre-Market Decline Amid Market Skepticism

By Mill Chart

Last update: Aug 7, 2025

ELI LILLY & CO (NYSE:LLY) reported second-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, yet the stock faced significant pre-market declines, suggesting a more complex market reaction.

Earnings and Revenue Beat Estimates

  • Revenue: $15.56 billion, up 38% year-over-year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $14.86 billion.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.31, compared to the estimated $5.62.

The growth was primarily driven by strong demand for the company’s weight loss and diabetes drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which continue to dominate the GLP-1 market.

Market Reaction: Pre-Market Drop Despite Strong Results

Despite the earnings beat, LLY shares fell ~13% in pre-market trading. This could reflect:

  • Profit-taking after a prolonged rally—LLY has been one of the best-performing large-cap pharma stocks in recent years.
  • Heightened expectations—investors may have priced in even stronger growth, given the blockbuster trajectory of Mounjaro and Zepbound.
  • Pipeline concerns—while the oral obesity drug orforglipron showed promising results (12%+ weight loss in trials), some may question its competitive edge against injectables.

Raised Full-Year Guidance

Lilly increased its 2025 revenue outlook, aligning with analyst expectations:

  • Analyst estimates for full-year 2025 revenue: $60.6 billion.
  • Q3 2025 revenue estimate: $15.68 billion.

The company’s confidence stems from robust demand for its key therapies and manufacturing expansions to meet supply constraints.

Key Takeaways from the Earnings Release

  • Cardiometabolic strength: Mounjaro demonstrated cardio-protective benefits in type 2 diabetes patients, reinforcing its long-term potential.
  • Obesity pipeline advances: Positive late-stage data for orforglipron positions Lilly to capture more of the oral GLP-1 market.
  • Oncology and immunology progress: The company highlighted advancements in radiopharmaceuticals and inflammatory disease treatments.

For a deeper dive into Eli Lilly’s earnings and future estimates, review the full earnings breakdown here.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

ELI LILLY & CO

NYSE:LLY (8/29/2025, 10:33:07 PM)

After market: 730.753 -1.83 (-0.25%)

732.58

+0.62 (+0.08%)



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