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Wall Street Slips as Growth Fears Meet Rate Jitters

By Kristoff De Turck - reviewed by Aldwin Keppens

Last update: Sep 26, 2025

Market Monitor News

Strong Growth Data, Weak Market Mood

Wall Street closed lower across the board: the Dow Jones fell 0.4% and the Nasdaq lost 0.5%.

Ironically, the trigger wasn’t bad economic news but rather stronger-than-expected growth. The U.S. economy expanded 3.8% in Q2 (annualized), well above the prior 3.3% estimate. Consumer spending was revised up sharply to 2.5% (from 1.6%), and business investment surged 7.3%, powered in part by AI-driven data center demand.

That all sounds positive, but here’s the catch: solid growth and sticky inflation reduce the likelihood of further Fed rate cuts this year. Treasury yields climbed, and futures markets pared back bets on two additional cuts before year-end.

Company Highlights

IBM (IBM | +5.2%) popped after HSBC announced a breakthrough in applying its Heron quantum processor to financial market predictions.

Tests reportedly improved bond price forecasting by 34%. While it sounds flashy, some experts dismissed it as more milestone than market mover. As one fund manager quipped: “Storm in a teacup.” Investors didn’t mind; they happily bid up the stock.

Used-car retailer CarMax (KMX | -20.07%) crashed after reporting a 6.3% drop in same-store sales for Q2.

EPS came in at $0.64, far below consensus of $1.03. Analysts at Wedbush slashed their target from $84 to $54, warning that the company is losing market share faster than expected.

JPMorgan echoed the disappointment. It was one of the day’s biggest losers on Wall Street.

IBM KMX daily charts

Consulting giant Accenture (ACN | -2.73%) flagged slower growth for fiscal 2026 due to U.S. government budget tightening.

The impact could trim 1–1.5% off annual revenue. Still, Q4 looked solid with revenue up 7% to $17.6B and EPS at $3.03, slightly ahead of estimates. AI-related bookings remain a bright spot, but cautious guidance kept shares under pressure.

Oracle (ORCL | -5.55%) slid after Rothschild & Co Redburn initiated coverage with a “Sell” rating and a $175 price target, nearly 40% below current levels. Analysts argued the market overestimates Oracle’s cloud revenue potential.

ORCL ANALYST RATINGS

The stock may also have been hit by reports linking Oracle to the TikTok U.S. spin-off deal.

ACN ORCL daily charts

Intel (INTC | +8.87%) jumped after Bloomberg reported early talks with Apple (AAPL | +1.81%) about investment and deeper cooperation. The news sparked hopes of stabilization for Intel’s struggling foundry ambitions.

INTC AAPL daily charts

Macro & Commodities

  • Jobless claims fell to 218,000 - the lowest since July - signaling resilience in the labor market.

  • Durable goods orders rose 2.9% in August, surprising to the upside.

  • Core PCE inflation for Q2 was revised slightly higher at 2.6%. Investors now look to the August PCE release on Friday.

  • Dollar strength: EUR/USD slipped under 1.17.

  • Treasuries: the 10-year yield pushed up to 4.175%.

  • Commodities: Oil paused after recent gains; silver hit a 14-year high, while gold cooled slightly below its recent peak.

Geopolitical Spotlight: TikTok Deal Moves Forward

President Trump signed an executive order approving the sale of TikTok’s U.S. operations to a consortium led by Oracle’s Larry Ellison, with backing from Silver Lake and Abu Dhabi’s MGX. ByteDance will retain a minority stake of 19.9%, while leasing its algorithm under U.S. oversight.

Valuation of the new entity is pegged at $14 billion. Legal and regulatory hurdles remain, but the path is clearer than before.

My Take

Markets don’t like “too good to be true.” Strong GDP should be a win, but traders see it as a Fed headache.

Combine that with mixed corporate earnings and a TikTok sideshow, and it’s no wonder indexes stalled.


Kristoff - ChartMill

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