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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (NYSE:CF): A Peter Lynch-Style Investment for Long-Term Growth

By Mill Chart

Last update: Sep 5, 2025

In the world of long-term investing, few strategies have shown the lasting success of Peter Lynch’s approach, which centers on finding companies with solid growth potential trading at fair prices. Often called a mix of growth and value investing, Lynch’s method highlights lasting earnings growth, good financial condition, and a clear business model. By filtering for companies that fit certain financial markers, like strong profitability, acceptable debt, and good valuation measures, investors can find opportunities that match a disciplined, long-term wealth-building outlook.

CF Industries Holdings

Investment Criteria and CF Industries’ Alignment

CF Industries Holdings Inc (NYSE:CF) stands out as a strong candidate based on important measures drawn from Lynch’s strategy. The company, a leading name in nitrogen fertilizer production, shows financial traits that match Lynch’s ideas of investing in well-managed, fairly priced growth companies.

  • Earnings Growth: Lynch liked companies with a steady record of earnings increases, usually between 15% and 30% per year to steer clear of unstable growth. CF Industries has achieved a notable 5-year EPS growth rate of 24.81%, placing it well within this ideal range and showing its capacity to grow profitability in a changing industry.
  • Valuation (PEG Ratio): Key to Lynch’s method is the PEG ratio, which modifies the P/E ratio for growth, with a figure under 1 hinting at possible undervaluation. CF’s PEG ratio of 0.45 is well below this mark, implying the market may not completely account for its past growth, giving investors a buffer.
  • Financial Health: Lynch favored companies with solid balance sheets. CF Industries reports a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, matching Lynch’s liking for companies financed more by equity than debt. Also, its current ratio of 3.22 shows good liquidity to cover near-term needs, lowering financial risk.
  • Profitability (ROE): Return on equity is a vital gauge of how well a company produces profits from shareholder funds. CF’s ROE of 26.23% is much higher than Lynch’s minimum bar of 15%, highlighting management’s skill in using capital.

Fundamental Strength and Industry Position

Beyond Lynch’s particular filter criteria, CF Industries displays wider basic strengths that back its fit for long-term investors. The company has an overall fundamental rating of 8 out of 10, showing high quality in profitability and financial condition, along with a valuation that seems low next to its competitors. Its operating margin of 29.21% is near the best in the chemicals sector, and its careful capital use is shown by a good return on invested capital. Although future growth estimates are more modest compared to past results, the company’s focus on decarbonization and operational effectiveness could support continued importance and cash flow production. For a complete overview, readers can see the full fundamental analysis report.

Analyst Perspectives and Market Context

While Lynch’s strategy minimizes short-term market timing, it is useful to note that CF works in a sector linked to farm demand and energy shifts, giving access to long-term worldwide trends. The company’s careful financial management, including share repurchases and a fair dividend yield, further fits with Lynch’s focus on shareholder-oriented actions. In a market where the S&P 500 displays good movement both near- and long-term, CF’s valuation appears especially low, possibly offering cushion in unstable times while seeking growth over longer periods.

Conclusion

CF Industries is a notable example of a company that fits the strict criteria of Peter Lynch’s investment strategy, showing good growth, solid finances, and a good valuation. For investors looking for exposure to a steady industry with clear operational advantages and a fair starting price, CF deserves more study and thought as part of a varied long-term portfolio.

For those wanting to look into other companies that fit this strategy, more screening outcomes are available using the Peter Lynch Stock Screener.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.