MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1MPC • US56585A1025

Current stock price

186.66 EUR
+9.4 (+5.3%)
Last:

This 1MPC.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. 1MPC.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1MPC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year 1MPC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years 1MPC has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1MPC had a positive operating cash flow.
1MPC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1MPC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.82%, 1MPC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1MPC's Return On Equity of 23.35% is amongst the best of the industry. 1MPC outperforms 91.46% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.66%, 1MPC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1MPC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.95%. This is above the industry average of 8.92%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROIC 10.66%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
1MPC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1MPC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of 1MPC (2.99%) is worse than 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • 1MPC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 6.01%, 1MPC is not doing good in the industry: 71.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1MPC has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 11.55%, 1MPC is not doing good in the industry: 81.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • 1MPC's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
1MPC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1MPC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. 1MPC.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1MPC is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1MPC has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1MPC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • 1MPC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1MPC.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1MPC.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
1MPC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1MPC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1MPC has an Altman-Z score of 3.23. This indicates that 1MPC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.23, 1MPC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1MPC has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.90. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1MPC would need 6.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.90, 1MPC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1MPC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.76. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • 1MPC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.76. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1MPC underperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Altman-Z 3.23
ROIC/WACC1.47
WACC7.23%
1MPC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1MPC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that 1MPC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1MPC has a Current ratio of 1.26. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1MPC outperforms 45.12% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that 1MPC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of 1MPC (0.74) is worse than 79.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
1MPC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1MPC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. 1MPC.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for 1MPC have been decreasing by -25.91% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, 1MPC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.80% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.39% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.08% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • 1MPC is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.47%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue Next Year-2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y0.76%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1MPC.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1MPC.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
1MPC.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1MPC.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

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4

4. 1MPC.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.84, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of 1MPC.
  • 1MPC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 1MPC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.71.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.46, which indicates a correct valuation of 1MPC.
  • 1MPC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. 1MPC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.84
Fwd PE 16.46
1MPC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1MPC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 1MPC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1MPC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1MPC is cheaper than 75.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.24
EV/EBITDA 8.12
1MPC.MI Per share data1MPC.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • 1MPC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • 1MPC's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. 1MPC.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1MPC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.74%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.49, 1MPC is paying slightly less dividend.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, 1MPC has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of 1MPC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.94%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • 28.20% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1MPC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of 1MPC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP28.2%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
1MPC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1MPC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B
1MPC.MI Dividend Payout.1MPC.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1MPC.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1MPC.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

BIT:1MPC (3/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

186.66

+9.4 (+5.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners76.98%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap55.02B
Revenue(TTM)135.05B
Net Income(TTM)4.04B
Analysts72.8
Price Target177.68 (-4.81%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.94%
DP28.2%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)17.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)40.04%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)55.08%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)575.13%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)392%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)299.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.55%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.22%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.55%
PT rev (1m)2.03%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.84
Fwd PE 16.46
P/S 0.47
P/FCF 13.24
P/OCF 7.65
P/B 3.65
P/tB 12.04
EV/EBITDA 8.12
EPS(TTM)9.41
EY5.04%
EPS(NY)11.34
Fwd EY6.07%
FCF(TTM)14.09
FCFY7.55%
OCF(TTM)24.4
OCFY13.07%
SpS399.27
BVpS51.19
TBVpS15.51
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number104.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.82%
ROE 23.35%
ROCE 12.63%
ROIC 10.66%
ROICexc 11.31%
ROICexgc 14.12%
OM 6.01%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 11.55%
FCFM 3.53%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)9.59%
ROE(3y)27.46%
ROE(5y)34.38%
ROIC(3y)12.95%
ROIC(5y)13.78%
ROICexc(3y)14.48%
ROICexc(5y)15.91%
ROICexgc(3y)17.29%
ROICexgc(5y)18.8%
ROCE(3y)15.34%
ROCE(5y)16.33%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.48%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.23%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-8.77%
GM growth 5Y19.8%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.76
Debt/FCF 6.9
Debt/EBITDA 2.68
Cap/Depr 107.23%
Cap/Sales 2.58%
Interest Coverage 6.66
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 117.91%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 3.23
F-Score7
WACC7.23%
ROIC/WACC1.47
Cap/Depr(3y)80.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)71.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.64%
Profit Quality(3y)140.82%
Profit Quality(5y)109.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y20.47%
EPS Next 2Y13.33%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.95%
Revenue growth 5Y14.39%
Sales Q2Q%-0.1%
Revenue Next Year-2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y0.76%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y19.95%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.46%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year71.17%
EBIT Next 3Y19.47%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-22.26%
FCF growth 3Y-30.07%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.75%
OCF growth 3Y-20.4%
OCF growth 5Y27.82%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / 1MPC.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1MPC.MI.


What is the valuation status of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1MPC stock?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

The financial health rating of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for 1MPC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (1MPC.MI) is expected to grow by 20.47% in the next year.