By Mill Chart
Last update: Aug 29, 2025
CF Industries Holdings Inc (NYSE:CF) has become a notable candidate on the Caviar Cruise quality investing screen, a method built to find companies with lasting competitive strengths, sound financial condition, and steady profitability. This approach focuses on long-term ownership of businesses that show better operational metrics, including solid revenue and earnings growth, high returns on invested capital, effective debt management, and reliable earnings. The strategy focuses on measurable financial performance while noting that some non-quantitative factors, such as management skill, industry standing, and global presence, need more fundamental review.
The company fits several main criteria of the Caviar Cruise screen, making it an interesting prospect for more review by investors focused on quality:
Profitability and Efficiency: CF shows a 5-year EBIT CAGR of 12.87%, easily above the screen’s 5% minimum. More importantly, this growth is faster than its 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.56%, pointing to better operational efficiency and possible scale benefits. Such a pattern is important in quality investing, as it shows pricing strength and the capacity to increase margins without depending only on revenue growth.
Return on Invested Capital: With an ROIC excluding cash, goodwill, and intangibles of 18.89%, CF is well above the screen’s 15% minimum. This figure is important to the quality investing view, as it tracks how well a company produces returns from its operational investments. A high ROIC frequently points to a lasting competitive edge and skillful capital use, important features for long-term growth.
Debt Management: The company’s debt-to-free-cash-flow ratio is 1.66, much lower than the screen’s top limit of 5. This shows that CF could pay off all its debt in less than two years using its present cash flow, highlighting financial strength and lower leverage risk. For quality investors, a sound balance sheet aids sustainability through economic cycles and allows for strategic moves or shareholder benefits.
Earnings Quality: CF’s 5-year average profit quality, measured as free cash flow compared to net income, is very high at 188.35%, greatly exceeding the 75% benchmark. This indicates that the company not only creates accounting profits but also turns them effectively into cash, supporting the trustworthiness of its financial results. High cash conversion aids dividend consistency, share repurchases, and reinvestment without needing too much outside funding.
A look at the full fundamental analysis report gives more background to these strengths. CF receives an overall fundamental rating of 8/10, with very good scores in profitability (9/10) and financial health (8/10). The report notes better margins compared to industry competitors, a maintainable dividend with a record of increases, and an attractive valuation based on earnings and cash flow measures. Some aspects, like slower future growth forecasts, need consideration but do not weaken the main quality traits.
It is important to remember that while number-based screening finds good candidates, non-quantitative review is still necessary. CF’s attention on low-carbon ammonia and fertilizers matches long-term worldwide movements in agriculture and clean energy. Its wide distribution system and operational footprint in North America and the UK indicate scalability and geographic spread. Investors should further assess management’s strategy, competitive place, and industry cycles before any investment choice.
For readers wanting to look into other companies that fit similar criteria, the Caviar Cruise screen is available here. The screen provides both simple and detailed filters to adjust results based on particular investment tastes.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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