MDF COMMERCE INC (MDF.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:MDF • CA55283M1032

Current stock price

5.8 CAD
0 (0%)
Last:

This MDF.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MDF.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MDF had negative earnings in the past year.
  • MDF had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MDF had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years MDF 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MDF.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMDF.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M

1.2 Ratios

  • MDF has a better Return On Assets (-4.62%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • MDF has a better Return On Equity (-5.90%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.62%
ROE -5.9%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.17%
ROA(5y)-10.41%
ROE(3y)-14.9%
ROE(5y)-15.27%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MDF.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMDF.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of MDF (57.94%) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • MDF's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MDF does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.99%
MDF.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMDF.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

3

2. MDF.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MDF does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MDF remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MDF has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MDF.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingMDF.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
MDF.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMDF.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.00 indicates that MDF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MDF has a better Altman-Z score (2.00) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • MDF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MDF (0.02) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.22%
MDF.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMDF.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • MDF has a Current Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that MDF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MDF has a Current ratio (0.71) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MDF has a Quick Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that MDF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.71, MDF is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.71
MDF.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMDF.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

4

3. MDF.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MDF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 48.44%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.03% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MDF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.65% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.44%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y19.37%
Revenue growth 5Y9.65%
Sales Q2Q%-4.62%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MDF will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.07% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y48.53%
EPS Next 2Y36.88%
EPS Next 3Y23.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y0.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MDF.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMDF.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
MDF.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMDF.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 -1

1

4. MDF.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MDF reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MDF. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
MDF.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMDF.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 81.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MDF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 46.64
MDF.CA Per share dataMDF.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MDF's earnings are expected to grow with 23.07% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.88%
EPS Next 3Y23.07%

0

5. MDF.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MDF does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

MDF.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MDF COMMERCE INC

TSX:MDF (5/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

5.8

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryInteractive Media & Services
Earnings (Last)02-13
Earnings (Next)06-25
Inst Owners6.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap255.03M
Revenue(TTM)123.17M
Net Income(TTM)-14.07M
Analysts76.67
Price Target5.51 (-5%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-53.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-170%
Max EPS beat(2)62.87%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-58.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-170%
Max EPS beat(4)62.87%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-71.19%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-82.87%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-158.13%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.32%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.68%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.76%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.11%
PT rev (1m)-3.57%
PT rev (3m)5.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 2.07
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.07
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 46.64
EPS(TTM)-0.33
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.07
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.08
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.01
OCFYN/A
SpS2.8
BVpS5.42
TBVpS-0.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.62%
ROE -5.9%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.94%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.17%
ROA(5y)-10.41%
ROE(3y)-14.9%
ROE(5y)-15.27%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.19%
GM growth 5Y-5.99%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.77
Cap/Depr 15.3%
Cap/Sales 2.32%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 2
F-Score5
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)31.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.7%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.44%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
EPS Next Y48.53%
EPS Next 2Y36.88%
EPS Next 3Y23.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y19.37%
Revenue growth 5Y9.65%
Sales Q2Q%-4.62%
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y0.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year158.66%
EBIT Next 3Y40.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-305.9%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

MDF COMMERCE INC / MDF.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MDF stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to MDF.CA.


What is the valuation status for MDF stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MDF COMMERCE INC (MDF.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is MDF COMMERCE INC (MDF.CA) stock?

MDF COMMERCE INC (MDF.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MDF COMMERCE INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MDF COMMERCE INC (MDF.CA) is expected to grow by 48.53% in the next year.