CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1CF • US1252691001

Current stock price

108.14 EUR
+27.62 (+34.3%)
Last:

This 1CF.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. 1CF.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1CF had positive earnings in the past year.
  • 1CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1CF has been profitable.
  • 1CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1CF.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1CF.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.33%, 1CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CF's Return On Equity of 30.07% is amongst the best of the industry. 1CF outperforms 98.57% of its industry peers.
  • 1CF's Return On Invested Capital of 14.76% is amongst the best of the industry. 1CF outperforms 95.71% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1CF is significantly above the industry average of 7.16%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.07%) for 1CF is below the current ROIC(14.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROIC 14.76%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
1CF.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1CF.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • 1CF has a better Profit Margin (20.54%) than 97.14% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1CF has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of 1CF (33.53%) is better than 98.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1CF has grown nicely.
  • 1CF has a Gross Margin (38.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • 1CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
1CF.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1CF.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

8

2. 1CF.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • 1CF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1CF has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • 1CF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1CF.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1CF.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
1CF.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1CF.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.93 indicates that 1CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.93, 1CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1CF has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.78. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.78, 1CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that 1CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.66, 1CF is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Although 1CF's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Altman-Z 2.93
ROIC/WACC1.71
WACC8.65%
1CF.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1CF.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1CF has a Current Ratio of 3.37. This indicates that 1CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of 1CF (3.37) is better than 87.14% of its industry peers.
  • 1CF has a Quick Ratio of 2.93. This indicates that 1CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of 1CF (2.93) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
1CF.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1CF.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

5

3. 1CF.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 54.03% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, 1CF shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 45.21% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 19.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.43% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%

3.2 Future

  • 1CF is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -1.18% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-7.58%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
EPS Next 5Y-1.18%
Revenue Next Year-6.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.64%
Revenue Next 5Y0.91%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1CF.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1CF.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
1CF.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1CF.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

6

4. 1CF.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.81, the valuation of 1CF can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1CF is valued a bit cheaper than 72.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say 1CF is valued slightly cheaper.
  • 1CF is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.87.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1CF indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1CF is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, 1CF is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.81
Fwd PE 13.87
1CF.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1CF.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 77.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1CF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 1CF's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. 1CF is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.66
EV/EBITDA 6.22
1CF.MI Per share data1CF.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of 1CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as 1CF's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.08% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%

4

5. 1CF.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • 1CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.35.
  • 1CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of 1CF grows each year by 10.93%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • 22.41% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP22.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
1CF.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1CF.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
1CF.MI Dividend Payout.1CF.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1CF.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

1CF.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

BIT:1CF (4/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

108.14

+27.62 (+34.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners106.44%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.62B
Revenue(TTM)7.08B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts68
Price Target83.59 (-22.7%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%
Yearly Dividend1.74
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
DP22.41%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.83%
Min EPS beat(2)0.72%
Max EPS beat(2)24.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.77%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.79%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.36%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.07%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.83%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)-1.16%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)20.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.86%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.81
Fwd PE 13.87
P/S 2.71
P/FCF 10.66
P/OCF 6.98
P/B 3.97
P/tB 10.26
EV/EBITDA 6.22
EPS(TTM)8.44
EY7.8%
EPS(NY)7.8
Fwd EY7.21%
FCF(TTM)10.15
FCFY9.38%
OCF(TTM)15.5
OCFY14.33%
SpS39.9
BVpS27.25
TBVpS10.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number71.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROCE 17.99%
ROIC 14.76%
ROICexc 17.37%
ROICexgc 23.62%
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
FCFM 25.44%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
ROICexc(3y)15.27%
ROICexc(5y)22.16%
ROICexgc(3y)20.8%
ROICexgc(5y)29.06%
ROCE(3y)15.93%
ROCE(5y)22.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y29.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.31%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 105.79%
Cap/Sales 13.41%
Interest Coverage 17.34
Cash Conversion 84.08%
Profit Quality 123.85%
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
Altman-Z 2.93
F-Score8
WACC8.65%
ROIC/WACC1.71
Cap/Depr(3y)73.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.31%
Profit Quality(3y)138.61%
Profit Quality(5y)154.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
EPS Next Y-7.58%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
EPS Next 5Y-1.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%
Revenue Next Year-6.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.64%
Revenue Next 5Y0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y38.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.18%
EBIT growth 5Y30.18%
EBIT Next Year15.44%
EBIT Next 3Y1.47%
EBIT Next 5Y3.5%
FCF growth 1Y2.8%
FCF growth 3Y-19.09%
FCF growth 5Y14.34%
OCF growth 1Y21.18%
OCF growth 3Y-10.63%
OCF growth 5Y17.46%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / 1CF.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1CF stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 1CF.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI) is 12.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.97.


Can you provide the financial health for 1CF stock?

The financial health rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (1CF.MI) is 7 / 10.