AES CORP (1AES.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1AES • US00130H1059

Current stock price

12.556 EUR
-0.08 (-0.6%)
Last:

This 1AES.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. 1AES.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1AES was profitable.
  • 1AES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years 1AES reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1AES had a positive operating cash flow.
1AES.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1AES.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1AES has a Return On Assets (1.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • 1AES has a Return On Equity of 22.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1AES outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AES has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.35%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.06%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.86%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROIC 3.35%
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.06%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
1AES.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1AES.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.36%, 1AES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AES's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • 1AES has a Operating Margin of 15.79%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1AES outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1AES has declined.
  • 1AES's Gross Margin of 18.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1AES is outperformed by 65.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AES's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
1AES.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1AES.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

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1

2. 1AES.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1AES is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 1AES has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for 1AES has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • 1AES has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1AES.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1AES.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
1AES.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1AES.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.46, we must say that 1AES is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of 1AES (0.46) is worse than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1AES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of 1AES (6.59) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.46
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC5.22%
1AES.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1AES.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that 1AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.77, 1AES is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that 1AES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of 1AES (0.69) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
1AES.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1AES.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. 1AES.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • 1AES shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.23% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, 1AES shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, 1AES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.68% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1AES will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
1AES.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1AES.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
1AES.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1AES.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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5

4. 1AES.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • 1AES is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.82.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1AES is valued cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.18, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1AES.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1AES is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1AES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.82
Fwd PE 6.18
1AES.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1AES.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1AES is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.36
1AES.MI Per share data1AES.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. 1AES.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.98%, 1AES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.60, 1AES pays a better dividend. On top of this 1AES pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 1AES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of 1AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • 1AES pays out 55.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of 1AES is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
1AES.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1AES.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
1AES.MI Dividend Payout.1AES.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1AES.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1AES.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AES CORP

BIT:1AES (3/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

12.556

-0.08 (-0.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)03-31
Inst Owners88.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.95B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts73.68
Price Target13.56 (8%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)6.33%
PT rev (3m)3.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.82
Fwd PE 6.18
P/S 0.85
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.36
P/B 2.54
P/tB 6.15
EV/EBITDA 11.36
EPS(TTM)1.84
EY14.65%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY16.17%
FCF(TTM)-1.88
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)5.33
OCFY42.42%
SpS14.86
BVpS4.93
TBVpS2.04
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)0.74
Graham Number14.29
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROCE 4.46%
ROIC 3.35%
ROICexc 3.47%
ROICexgc 3.68%
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.06%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
ROICexc(3y)4.25%
ROICexc(5y)5.36%
ROICexgc(3y)4.55%
ROICexgc(5y)5.81%
ROCE(3y)5.41%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.96%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.9
Cap/Depr 406.93%
Cap/Sales 48.47%
Interest Coverage 1.6
Cash Conversion 129.39%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.46
F-Score4
WACC5.22%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.61%
EBIT Next Year72.01%
EBIT Next 3Y25.11%
EBIT Next 5Y16.94%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%

AES CORP / 1AES.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (1AES.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to 1AES.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for AES CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (1AES.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AES CORP?

AES CORP (1AES.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for 1AES stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AES CORP (1AES.MI) is expected to grow by 2.32% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of AES CORP (1AES.MI) stock?

The dividend rating of AES CORP (1AES.MI) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 55.67%.