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CARNIVAL CORP (NYSE:CCL) Shows Strong Technical Breakout Potential with Bullish Momentum and Consolidation Setup

By Mill Chart

Last update: Aug 8, 2025

Technical breakout strategies help identify stocks with strong momentum that are consolidating before their next upward move. By using ChartMill’s Technical Rating and Setup Quality Rating, investors can find stocks with solid technical health and clear entry points. Carnival Corp (NYSE:CCL) is one such candidate, with a Technical Rating of 10 and a Setup Rating of 8.

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Technical Strength: A Market Leader in Its Sector

Carnival Corp’s Technical Rating of 10 reflects its strong momentum across different timeframes. Key factors behind this score include:

  • Positive Trends: Both short-term and long-term trends are upward, supporting the stock’s rise.
  • Relative Strength: CCL has outperformed 94% of all stocks over the past year and ranks in the top 7% of its Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry peers.
  • Moving Averages: The stock is above its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, with the longer-term averages (50, 100, 200) still rising, indicating continued bullish momentum.
  • 52-Week Performance: Despite recent consolidation, CCL remains near its 52-week high, having gained nearly 100% over the past year.

These metrics align with breakout trading principles, where stocks with strong relative strength and upward trends are more likely to continue rising.

Setup Quality: A Consolidation Before the Next Move

While technical strength shows which stocks to watch, the Setup Rating highlights when to consider an entry. CCL’s Setup Rating of 8 points to a favorable consolidation pattern:

  • Reduced Volatility: Recent price action shows tighter ranges, often a sign of an upcoming breakout.
  • Support Zones: A clear support level sits at $29.00, offering a logical stop-loss area.
  • Bull Flag Pattern: The stock is forming a bull flag, a continuation pattern often seen after strong upward moves, suggesting potential for further gains.
  • Resistance Breakout Level: A move above $29.97 could trigger a breakout, with resistance near $29.53,$29.96 acting as the immediate hurdle.

The setup’s quality is further confirmed by the stock’s average true range (ATR) of 2.79%, indicating enough volatility for meaningful price movement without excessive risk.

Trade Considerations

The technical report suggests a potential trade setup with:

  • Entry: $29.97 (a buy-stop above resistance)
  • Stop-loss: $28.99 (just below support)
  • Risk: ~3.27% per share

While the setup is sound, traders should evaluate broader market conditions, sector performance, and upcoming catalysts (e.g., earnings, travel demand trends) before executing.

Finding More Breakout Candidates

Carnival Corp is one of several stocks showing breakout signals. For investors looking for more opportunities, the Technical Breakout Setups screener provides a list of high-probability setups updated daily.

Disclaimer: This analysis is not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management strategies before trading.

CARNIVAL CORP

NYSE:CCL (8/7/2025, 8:14:48 PM)

Premarket: 29.05 +0.04 (+0.14%)

29.01

-0.23 (-0.79%)



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