By Mill Chart
Last update: Nov 7, 2025
BioAge Labs Inc (NASDAQ:BIOA) reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, delivering a mixed performance against analyst expectations that has resulted in modest after-hours trading volatility. The clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company's latest earnings reveal both promising revenue growth and ongoing operational losses characteristic of developmental-stage biotech firms.
Financial Performance Versus Estimates
The company's third quarter results presented a complex picture when measured against Wall Street projections. While BioAge demonstrated significant revenue outperformance, its bottom-line results met expectations in a sector where precision matters.
The substantial revenue beat stems primarily from the company's collaboration with Novartis, marking BioAge's transition to recognizing partnership revenue as work commenced under their multi-year research agreement. This development provides validation of the company's platform and approach to targeting metabolic diseases through aging biology.
Market Reaction and Trading Activity
Following the earnings release, BioAge shares experienced moderate downward pressure in after-hours trading, declining approximately 2.3%. This reaction appears tempered considering the revenue beat, suggesting investors are balancing the positive financial metrics against the company's ongoing cash burn and developmental timeline expectations.
The stock's recent performance shows mixed signals:
The contrasting performance across different timeframes indicates ongoing investor uncertainty about the company's valuation and developmental progress, with the earnings release providing fresh data points for this assessment.
Business Highlights and Clinical Progress
Beyond the financial metrics, BioAge achieved several significant operational milestones during the quarter. The company advanced its lead product candidate, BGE-102, into clinical development with the dosing of the first participant in its Phase 1 trial. This orally available NLRP3 inhibitor represents BioAge's most advanced program, targeting obesity and cardiovascular risk factors.
Management confirmed that initial single ascending dose data from the Phase 1 trial remains on track for release by year-end, providing investors with a near-term catalyst. Following successful Phase 1 completion, the company plans to initiate a proof-of-concept clinical trial with top-line data anticipated in the second half of 2026.
The company also continued advancement of its APJ agonist programs, with both oral and parenteral formulations targeting IND submissions in 2026. These programs benefit from partnerships, including an exclusive option agreement with JiKang Therapeutics for a novel APJ agonist nanobody demonstrating significantly greater potency than apelin.
Financial Position and Runway
BioAge maintains a robust balance sheet with approximately $295.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of September 30, 2025. Management estimates this provides sufficient funding for operations and capital expenses through 2029, offering substantial runway for clinical development without immediate dilution concerns.
Research and development expenses decreased to $18.5 million from $20.0 million in the prior year period, primarily due to reduced costs following the termination of azelaprag development in January 2025. This was partially offset by increased investment in the BGE-102 program and APJ agonist development.
Forward Outlook and Analyst Expectations
Looking ahead, analysts project Q4 2025 revenue of approximately $1.06 million with an EPS estimate of -$0.67. For the full year 2025, sales estimates stand at $4.71 million. The company did not provide specific financial guidance in its earnings release, leaving investors to rely on these external projections.
The absence of forward financial guidance is typical for clinical-stage biotech companies and doesn't necessarily indicate positive or negative underlying business trends. Investors will likely focus on clinical milestones, particularly the upcoming BGE-102 Phase 1 data, as more significant valuation drivers than quarterly financial metrics.
For detailed earnings estimates and future projections, view the complete earnings analysis for BIOA.
Disclaimer: This article provides financial analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or endorsement of any security or investment strategy. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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